Texas Winter 2023-2024

Winter Weather Discussion

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Cpv17
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2021 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 09, 2024 8:27 pm

Gotwood wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Idk about y’all but I’m getting the feeling that this upcoming cold blast is just the beginning of a very fun January and February.

I just want some snow. Let me rephrase I want a lot of snow lol. This is the first year I wasn’t able to take the family to Colorado to see snow, so I’m counting on something to come through.


Snow is mainly what I want too. The severe cold is awesome too but nothing beats a good snowstorm for me.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2022 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 09, 2024 8:47 pm

Calling out the Euro without calling out the Euro

 https://x.com/SoonerTom/status/1744893865277247603

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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2023 Postby Wthrfan » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:41 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Quixotic wrote:I can’t believe I’m going to miss this. I’ll be in Las Vegas.


My fear anytime I schedule to be out of town in winter. Heck, I'm going to Cozumel for Spring Break and although chances in mid march are always slim, I still realize how pissed I would be were it to snow at home (yes I know I would be in Cozumel so poor me, but that is how my mind works with winter weather at home :lol: )


I left the day before the 2021 Blast for Cancun,ended up having to stay four days extra due to travel delays and missed all the extreme weather. I know, poor me, but for a weather lover, I missed one of the more wild weather runs of my life.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2024 Postby Quixotic » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:45 pm

Wthrfan wrote:
Texas Snow wrote:
Quixotic wrote:I can’t believe I’m going to miss this. I’ll be in Las Vegas.


My fear anytime I schedule to be out of town in winter. Heck, I'm going to Cozumel for Spring Break and although chances in mid march are always slim, I still realize how pissed I would be were it to snow at home (yes I know I would be in Cozumel so poor me, but that is how my mind works with winter weather at home :lol: )


I left the day before the 2021 Blast for Cancun,ended up having to stay four days extra due to travel delays and missed all the extreme weather. I know, poor me, but for a weather lover, I missed one of the more wild weather runs of my life.


Ted Cruz? Welcome senator!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2025 Postby Quixotic » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:46 pm

Suppression. Dont say I didn’t warn y’all .
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2026 Postby Itryatgolf » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:50 pm

Itryatgolf wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:
Orientation. The Euro runs that really hit are more North-South, which allows the s/w to dig into the SW. The GFS is more zonal, and the s/w races into the base of the TPV. This would be a good example for a QG theory discussion :double:


Lol considering the nightmares I still occasionally have over my college differential equations class, I think I’ll pass on that discussion

Unfortunately we have the TPV in wrong location when we don't need it! That's why it's tough to get the right setup for winter storms here for this system next week
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2027 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:51 pm

Quixotic wrote:Suppression. Dont say I didn’t warn y’all .


There will be more chances for wintry precip besides on Monday over the next couple weeks.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2028 Postby Itryatgolf » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:51 pm

Quixotic wrote:Suppression. Dont say I didn’t warn y’all .

Suppression leads to depression lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2029 Postby Wthrfan » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:54 pm

Quixotic wrote:
Wthrfan wrote:
Texas Snow wrote:
My fear anytime I schedule to be out of town in winter. Heck, I'm going to Cozumel for Spring Break and although chances in mid march are always slim, I still realize how pissed I would be were it to snow at home (yes I know I would be in Cozumel so poor me, but that is how my mind works with winter weather at home :lol: )


I left the day before the 2021 Blast for Cancun,ended up having to stay four days extra due to travel delays and missed all the extreme weather. I know, poor me, but for a weather lover, I missed one of the more wild weather runs of my life.


Ted Cruz? Welcome senator!

Dang it, blew my cover!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2030 Postby Stratton23 » Tue Jan 09, 2024 9:58 pm

wintry precipitation is still very much on the table, the storm is still out in the pacific so every run should be taken lightly, their will definitely be more opportunities to see wintry precipitation as the pattern locks in for an extended period, models will continue to struggle with the energy until the system moves in land and it can finally be sampled, for example the CMC was the driest model and even at its 12z run it shows some more moisture to work with, long ways to go folks
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2031 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:28 pm

00z ICON with some better spacing b/w the WCAN TPV, the NPAC s/w, and the cutoff near Hawaii. Not as good as the Euro, but better than the 12z ICON.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2032 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:39 pm

bubba hotep wrote:00z ICON with some better spacing b/w the WCAN TPV, the NPAC s/w, and the cutoff near Hawaii. Not as good as the Euro, but better than the 12z ICON.


Oh well, in the end, it didn't really change anything.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2033 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:40 pm

I dont know exactly what the Euro extreme forecast index is but apparently it likes Sunday's storm

Like as could be a bigger storm is the impression I get
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2034 Postby Cpv17 » Tue Jan 09, 2024 10:56 pm

Brent wrote:I dont know exactly what the Euro extreme forecast index is but apparently it likes Sunday's storm

Like as could be a bigger storm is the impression I get


I wouldn’t worry too much if I were you. And over the next couple months, you’ll be measuring snow in feet, not inches.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2035 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 09, 2024 11:02 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:I dont know exactly what the Euro extreme forecast index is but apparently it likes Sunday's storm

Like as could be a bigger storm is the impression I get


I wouldn’t worry too much if I were you. And over the next couple months, you’ll be measuring snow in feet, not inches.


Even Friday we may get an inch or two it appears. Much colder version of this morning kind of
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2036 Postby Quixotic » Tue Jan 09, 2024 11:31 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Quixotic wrote:Suppression. Dont say I didn’t warn y’all .


There will be more chances for wintry precip besides on Monday over the next couple weeks.


I jest mostly. Any big outbreak starts with a big storm and ends with a big storm. I’ll be here for either.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2037 Postby SnowintheFalls » Tue Jan 09, 2024 11:38 pm

I take it the GFS was not helpful towards getting precip?
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2038 Postby Brent » Tue Jan 09, 2024 11:42 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:I take it the GFS was not helpful towards getting precip?


Nope. Only a couple inches here even and we definitely have higher potential than that
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2039 Postby Gotwood » Wed Jan 10, 2024 12:00 am

If this ends up being a dry cold I will be disappointed.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#2040 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Jan 10, 2024 12:03 am

SnowintheFalls wrote:I take it the GFS was not helpful towards getting precip?


Canadian took a small step towards the Euro. The GFS is trending towards no snow south of Chicago lol
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