Winter Weather in the deep south thread

[Brent]

BLIZZARD!!!!!!!!!

[HarlequinBoy]

Heheh. That's a fun run.

[Lowpressure]

Charlotte already stating this bears watching.

BRIEF PERIOD OF WEAK UPPER RIDGING IS IN STORE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH PART OF WEDNESDAY...THEN ANOTHER LOW IS FORECAST BY THE GFS
AND ECMWF TO DEVELOP OVER THE GULF AND TRACK NORTHEAST. THERE ARE
SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE TIMING OF THE LOW BETWEEN THE GFS AND
ECMWF. THE GFS MOVES THE LOW FASTER TO THE CAROLINA COAST PUTTING
IT ON THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AT 12Z THURSDAY WITH THREE QUARTER
INCH QPF WRAPPING INTO THE CLT AND SVH AREA. THE ECMWF AT THAT TIME
STILL HAS THE LOW OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST. BOTH MODELS TAKE
THE LOW NORTH OF THE OUTER BANKS BY LATE THURSDAY EVENING. WITH THE
LOW MOVING NEAR THE CAROLINA COAST AND AS OUR FORECAST AREA WILL BE
ON THE COLD SIDE COMBINED WITH A WEAK HIGH TO THE NORTH...WE HAVE
WINTRY PRECIP CONCERNS. AT THIS POINT...DO NOT WANT TO GO TOO FAR
WITH ANY WINTER STORM PROJECTIONS...BUT THERE IS CERTAINLY SOME
CAUSE FOR CONCERN. NEED TO WAIT FOR FURTHER MODEL RUNS TO SEE WHERE
THE TRENDS ARE GOING WITH THIS SYSTEM

[Ivanhater]

Still got it!

[jdray]

If that verifies, I will be ecstatic.

My son has yet to see snow.

[Brent]

ABC 33/40 blog!

After 14 hours in the Stormchaser with Brian Peters yesterday, maybe I’m tired and my forecasting is off. But, models are in fairly good agreement that a surge of cold air will move into Alabama next week, and at some point a low will develop in the northern Gulf, bringing rain or snow in here.

The GFS is perhaps the most aggressive on the snow possibility, showing one gulf Low on Wednesday, with the possibility of snow at least in extreme north Alabama, then another Gulf low forming on Friday, with colder air in place and significant snow over the northern half of Alabama.

The European model also hints at Gulf low development late next week, with cold air coming south.

The Canadian shows the Gulf low also, bringing precipitation in here by Wednesday night. It shows the cold air a little farther to the north, so maybe just a cold rain.

The NOGAPS is drier, but shows very cold air coming south late next week.

We’ll see.



I guess the stores will be empty of bread and milk by tomorrow.

[HarlequinBoy]

I hope you get some snow Brent! I'm not sure if we have any chances over here.

Edit: Well there is a chance late next week. We'll see.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Brent has about as much chance of getting snow as I do growing a 3rd nipple..

[Brent]

Brent has about as much chance of getting snow as I do growing a 3rd nipple..

I don't know why I'm even looking at this storm, had dozens of potential storms that didn't happen.

[Brent]

18z buries the entire deep south... I don't believe it. The consistency is INCREDIBLE and it's only 7 days out.

[Lowpressure]

Starting to pay close attention here in Charlotte.

[PTrackerLA]

Starting to look quite interesting, but I'll be out of town for this system...go figure!!

[Cristina]

If this system verifies, will we get snow here in north georgia? Thanks!

[Brent]

If this system verifies, will we get snow here in north georgia? Thanks!

If it verifies, ummmm YES! Lots of it(and I'm talking like historic), but I urge a lot of caution here for obvious reasons.

[Opal storm]

18z buries the entire deep south... I don't believe it. The consistency is INCREDIBLE and it's only 7 days out.

SHHHHHhhhhhh!!!!!! They might hear you. Don't jinx it!

If it turns out to be in the 90's next week then it's your fault.

[Brent]

[HarlequinBoy]

So what are the models showing for Memphis, Nashville, Jackson and Birmingham?

[icicle]

man, if only that would really happen.

[Brent]

33/40 in Birmingham!



SOME WINTER ACTION NEXT WEEKEND? A second system will follow quickly on the heels of the first one. And colder air may well be in place for this one. One plausible solution is that moisture will spread into the colder air starting Friday morning and areas generally along and north of I-59 could see all snow for the event. Colder air will spread in through the day, and snow could be seen as far south as I-85. This could be a significant snowfall event for parts of Alabama, but we caution that it is way early in the game. A few flurries could continue over the northern half of the area for part of the day on Saturday.

Friday - 01/18

Snow.
Low: 28 High: 34
Wind: N 5-10 mph Sun Percentage: 0% Hours Of Rain: 6
Rain Potential: 0.75" Severe Weather Threat: None

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

0.75" of liquid-a RIDICULOUS amount of snow.

I can't believe they actually did that when it's 6 days out!

[HarlequinBoy]

Wow!


That has major bust potential, they went out on a limb!