Official GA/AL/TN/NC/SC Cold Winter Rain Thread.

[whereverwx]

Wahoo, I might have a chance of snow in the near future!

Sunday
Partly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Highs in the middle 40s. Chance of snow 40 percent.

Monday Night
Partly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers. Lows in the middle 20s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.

But I think it will all be a bust.

[gotoman38]

Pic from the Greenville (SC) News



That neighborhood is closed.

[JenyEliza]

Pic from the Greenville (SC) News



That neighborhood is closed.

That's what my neighborhood looked like in January 2000. I had two tree tops on my roof, one on my car...

I really feel for people who just got clobbered like that. Been there, done that...never need to do it again.

Jen

[Brent]

Birmingham, Alabama Hazardous Weather Outlook:

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL BRING RAIN BACK INTO
THE AREA SATURDAY AND INTO EARLY SUNDAY. WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR
FREEZING OR JUST SLIGHTLY ABOVE, RAIN COULD BE MIXED IN WITH SNOW
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM ONEONTA...PELL
CITY...SYLACAUGA...TO ROANOKE. THE MAIN TIME FRAME THAT THIS AREA
MAY SEE A RAIN/SNOW MIX WILL BE FROM 700 PM CST SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH 300 AM CST SUNDAY MORNING. AS OF RIGHT NOW...PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT SO NO ACCUMULATIONS OR TRAVEL HAZARDS ARE
ANTICIPATED.

I am in one of the towns named...

[whereverwx]

Here's an updated forecast, I love being right.

Sunday
Rain ending in the afternoon. Windy with highs in the lower 40s...except highs in the middle 40s near the beaches. North winds 20 to 25 mph.

Monday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows around 30.

Lovely rain.

[Brent]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
335 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>023-170845-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE
335 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE IN NORTH GEORGIA SATURDAY NIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE WILL BE DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO SATURDAY...
AND THIS WILL SPREAD SOME PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD ACROSS GEORGIA
SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS
POSSIBLE OVER NORTH GEORGIA...GENERALLY NORTH OF A TALLAPOOSA TO
GAINESVILLE LINE. THE MOST LIKELY TIME WOULD BE BETWEEN LATE
SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION IS
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE IN THE
LOW TO MID 30S...SO NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. AT
WORST...THERE COULD BE A LIGHT DUSTING ON GRASSY AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.

[txwatcher91]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
341 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-043-073>076-083-084-171000-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...
WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM
341 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY...

ANOTHER ROUND OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY OVER A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF
COAST REGION SATURDAY AND MOVE EAST TO OFF THE SOUTHEAST MID
ATLANTIC COAST BY SUNDAY. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST...IT WILL
SPREAD ABUNDANT MOISTURE INTO NORTH CAROLINA WITH A CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING SATURDAY NIGHT...AND CONTINUING INTO
SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION AT THIS TIME IS EXPECTED TO PRIMARILY BE IN
THE FORM OF WET SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW AND RAIN.

UNCERTAINTY REMAIN AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME...ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED
AS PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WARM. HOWEVER IF THE
STORM TRACK IS FURTHER NORTH...IT COULD RESULT HEAVIER SNOW
AMOUNTS OVER THE NORTHWEST SECTIONS...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS ON ROADS...AND ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVER
PASSES.

[JenyEliza]

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
335 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>023-170845-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-
CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE
335 PM EST FRI DEC 16 2005

...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE IN NORTH GEORGIA SATURDAY NIGHT...

LOW PRESSURE WILL BE DEVELOPING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO SATURDAY...
AND THIS WILL SPREAD SOME PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD ACROSS GEORGIA
SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS
POSSIBLE OVER NORTH GEORGIA...GENERALLY NORTH OF A TALLAPOOSA TO
GAINESVILLE LINE. THE MOST LIKELY TIME WOULD BE BETWEEN LATE
SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRECIPITATION IS
FORECAST TO BE LIGHT AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE IN THE
LOW TO MID 30S...SO NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. AT
WORST...THERE COULD BE A LIGHT DUSTING ON GRASSY AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR UPDATES
ON THIS SITUATION.

Well....it's snow...not cold rain.

But it's just a smidge north of me.

[gotoman38]

500,000 dark on Friday night

http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/12/16/i ... index.html

Duke Power, the leading electricity provider in the hard-hit areas, said the storm inflicted "extreme structural damage" that kept 536,000 customers in the Carolinas without power Friday evening, down from 683,000 at the height of the storm.

Let's hope that the weekend storm isn't ICE!

[gotoman38]

We're under all sorts of warnings and advisories - have cut & paste a brief synopsis of the NWS forecast discussion below. Has not gotten out of the upper 20's here today. I've lived in this area most of my life and have to say this has the makings of a classic ice storm from near NC/SC border in Tryon and continuing up the eastern slope of the Blue Ridge - so Tryon/Saluda>Lake Lure>Marion>Morganton>Lenoir>Mt. Airy. Winston Salem might get slammed. The higher elevations should be OK with inversion limiting icing time.

Good call dude!

[Lowpressure]

Storm appears to be staying pretty far south- North Florida, This lessens the threat of winter precip for the Charlotte area it seems as of now. They are still calling for some snow/sleet to mix in but have backed of the accumulation word.

[JenyEliza]

Well, they bumped the line down below me just a smidge...and they took out the *s* word.

Looks kind of like their pre-storm predictions Wednesday night. "No significant accumulations expected".

After FFC's performance with that storm, not sure I really put a lot of stock in this SWS.

It's cold (33), overcast, with the "snowy" looking clouds around here...guess we'll have to see what happens again.

Brent....what do you think?

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
227 AM EST SAT DEC 17 2005

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>051-055-057-171930-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-FLOYD-BARTOW-CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-CLAYTON-HENRY-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CALHOUN...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...
ROME...CARTERSVILLE...GAINESVILLE...MARIETTA...ATLANTA...
LAWRENCEVILLE...ATHENS...CARROLLTON...DOUGLASVILLE...EAST POINT...DECATUR...CONYERS...COVINGTON
227 AM EST SAT DEC 17 2005

...WINTER WEATHER POSSIBLE IN NORTH GEORGIA TONIGHT...

DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF TODAY...THEN ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AND INTO THE ATLANTIC BY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL SPREAD PRECIPITATION OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN TODAY...HOWEVER AS TEMPERATURES FALL TONIGHT...THE RAIN COULD BE MIXED WITH SLEET NORTH OF A LINE FROM CARROLLTON...TO COVINGTON...TO WASHINGTON. IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR FREEZING CREATING A MIXTURE OF RAIN...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND THEREFORE NO
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET OR ICE IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER BRIDGES AND OVER PASSES COULD BECOME SLICK.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ON THIS SITUATION.

$$

[Brent]

Temperatures will warmup today... and I'm doubting how much moisture will even get up there.

[JenyEliza]

Temperatures will warmup today... and I'm doubting how much moisture will even get up there.

We're about 40 and holding right now. Very overcast and cloudy.

Windchill: 36
Humidity: 60%
Dewpoint: 28

Winds about 5mph from the east and a large band of precip just below Atlanta right now.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/ffc.shtml

[JenyEliza]

[beachbum_al]

Yes and it stinks down here in Dixie. Cold, Wet rain. And a chance of snow where I used to live~Sylacauga.

Also I got an email from my sil in NC. They have been a day without power due to a bad ice storm near Shelby. They just got their power back on today.

[Brent]

The chance for anything other than a brief period of sleet is gone. Temperatures are in the low 40's and the rain isn't spreading north(and the rain south of Atlanta is only reaching the ground in spots).

[Brent]

As usual...

Birmingham AFD:

CENTRAL ALABAMA IS CURRENTLY IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A
STRONG 150KT JET...WITH EVIDENCE OF CLOUD TOP COOLING ON LATEST IR
IMAGERY. THE PROBLEM IS THAT WE ARE MOISTURE STARVED. THE BOUNDARY
LAYER IS VERY DRY...GENERALLY BELOW 800 MB ON 12Z BMX...JAN...AND
LIX SOUNDINGS. AREA RADARS INDICATE GENERALLY LIGHT SHOWERS FROM
JUST EAST OF NEW ORLEANS TO DESTIN. A FEW OBSERVATIONS INLAND HAVE
REPORTED LIGHT RAIN BUT NOTHING MEASURABLE CLOSE TO THE FORECAST
AREA. WITH THE WEAK LOW FORMING WELL OFFSHORE AND NOT STRENGTHENING
TIL IT PASSES WELL EAST...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL HAVE TO SATURATE TOP
DOWN WITH NO GREAT MOISTURE ENHANCER IN THE LOW LEVELS. WITH ALL
THAT SAID...HAVE INCREASED THE GRADIENT OF POPS ACROSS THE AREA.
WILL GO WITH NEAR 100 PERCENT FAR SOUTHEAST AND 10 NORTHWEST. WILL
REMOVE MENTION OF ANY WINTRY PRECIP AS EVAPORATIONAL COOLING WILL
NOT SUFFICIENTLY COOL THE LAYER AS PRECIP QUICKLY MOVES PAST THE
AREA TO THE EAST BY MIDNIGHT. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FLAKE
OR A PELLET...BUT IT WILL BE A FEW AND FAR BETWEEN OCCURRENCE. NAM
AND GFS ARE MUCH CLOSER AND A MIXED SOLUTION GENERALLY FITS THIS
SCENARIO.

[JenyEliza]

As usual...

Birmingham AFD:

CENTRAL ALABAMA IS CURRENTLY IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A
STRONG 150KT JET...WITH EVIDENCE OF CLOUD TOP COOLING ON LATEST IR
IMAGERY. THE PROBLEM IS THAT WE ARE MOISTURE STARVED. THE BOUNDARY
LAYER IS VERY DRY...GENERALLY BELOW 800 MB ON 12Z BMX...JAN...AND
LIX SOUNDINGS. AREA RADARS INDICATE GENERALLY LIGHT SHOWERS FROM
JUST EAST OF NEW ORLEANS TO DESTIN. A FEW OBSERVATIONS INLAND HAVE
REPORTED LIGHT RAIN BUT NOTHING MEASURABLE CLOSE TO THE FORECAST
AREA. WITH THE WEAK LOW FORMING WELL OFFSHORE AND NOT STRENGTHENING
TIL IT PASSES WELL EAST...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL HAVE TO SATURATE TOP
DOWN WITH NO GREAT MOISTURE ENHANCER IN THE LOW LEVELS. WITH ALL
THAT SAID...HAVE INCREASED THE GRADIENT OF POPS ACROSS THE AREA.
WILL GO WITH NEAR 100 PERCENT FAR SOUTHEAST AND 10 NORTHWEST. WILL
REMOVE MENTION OF ANY WINTRY PRECIP AS EVAPORATIONAL COOLING WILL
NOT SUFFICIENTLY COOL THE LAYER AS PRECIP QUICKLY MOVES PAST THE
AREA TO THE EAST BY MIDNIGHT. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FLAKE
OR A PELLET...BUT IT WILL BE A FEW AND FAR BETWEEN OCCURRENCE. NAM
AND GFS ARE MUCH CLOSER AND A MIXED SOLUTION GENERALLY FITS THIS
SCENARIO.

Yeah...FFC did that to us too.

Of course, you *do* know that this is a "NC storm", right? I hear NC is supposed to get 6-7 inches tonight (according to someone in the know).

[Brent]

Of course, you *do* know that this is a "NC storm", right? I hear NC is supposed to get 6-7 inches tonight (according to someone in the know).