Upcoming cold for the South (Models, Maps, Discussions)

cheezyWXguy · #1541 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:41 am

Man, Tyler I hope youre rite about freezing rain or snow hitting the red river border, but I also hope it goes far enough south for yall to get at least a few flurries.

#1542 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:42 am

gfs showing ice all the way down to central alabama and frozen rain down to central texas

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/g ... c_ptyp.gif

Tyler · #1543 Postby **Tyler** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:44 am

ivanhater wrote:

Yup. Overrunning pattern, combined with cold air trying to move south, will likley yeild freezing rain for parts of North Texas, and West Texas, if it wasn't for the crappy upper air pattern, all of that would be snow...

A major Ice Storm may be upcoming for Parts of Arkansas, Texas, Oklahoma, northern AL, GA... We need to watch this...

The farthest south I see this reaching is Dallas, even that is a stretch, Austin, San Antonio should be fine.

cheezyWXguy · #1544 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:44 am

Ur link isnt working, Ivanhater

cheezyWXguy · #1545 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:45 am

Oh wait mybad LOL!! sry...i forgot to paste it up tope in website place

#1546 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:46 am

working now?

cheezyWXguy · #1547 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:46 am

wait no my computer was just screwed up or something like that

#1548 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:46 am

cheezyWXguy · #1549 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:47 am

WOW!!! thanx man!!! that shows freezing rain all over my area!!!!

cheezyWXguy · #1550 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:47 am

I hope it verifies

#1551 Postby **Ivanhater** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:49 am

cheezywxman wrote:I hope it verifies

well just rain for me right now, but who knows, its still early..lol

Tyler · #1552 Postby **Tyler** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:50 am

Cheezy, if I were you, I'd be watching this closely. Freezing rain is my major concern the weekend for North Texas. The air will be very shallow, but cold, and with overrunning will produce a possilbe icing event. Meanwhile, SE TX will be cool as well, as highs will likley be stuck in the 50s, as the bitterly cold air is locked up in the Plains.

Again, Ice Storm possibilites are beggining to show up, we need to watch this closely.

cheezyWXguy · #1553 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:53 am

WOW!!! awesome! I'm stepping back on the WINTER EXPRESS!!!

cheezyWXguy · #1554 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:54 am

Tyler, do you think we will actually have accumulations up her in Dallas( just a 1st guess)

PTrackerLA · #1555 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:55 am

For some reason our official low only hit 35 last night? Temperatures actually warmed after midnight when some wind picked up. Our low the night before was 31, so much for this "arctic" outbreak. It's really pathetic how warm the winter has been, I'd have to check on it but I'd be willing to bet this is the least amount of freezes/cold weather we've had since the early 90's. Hopefully we don't fall into drought this spring (we've been in a mild/moderate drought for months now anyway) but it seems like the past few years have become very dry. If it's going to be a warm winter, at least give me a green spring!

Tyler · #1556 Postby **Tyler** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:57 am

PTrackerLA wrote:For some reason our official low only hit 35 last night? Temperatures actually warmed after midnight when some wind picked up. Our low the night before was 31, so much for this "arctic" outbreak. It's really pathetic how warm the winter has been, I'd have to check on it but I'd be willing to bet this is the least amount of freezes/cold weather we've had since the early 90's. Hopefully we don't fall into drought this spring (we've been in a mild/moderate drought for months now anyway) but it seems like the past few years have become very dry. If it's going to be a warm winter, at least give me a green spring!

03-04 was worse... Believe it or not, at leats for Houston. If it wasn't for December, this winter would tie with 03-04 as far as warmth goes. But that arctic outbreak last December saved this winter as being the warmest I've ever seen.

Tyler · #1557 Postby **Tyler** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 11:59 am

cheezywxman wrote:Tyler, do you think we will actually have accumulations up her in Dallas( just a 1st guess)

Too early to give out any accumulations of sleet or freezing rain. My advice to you is to keep checking in with the Dallas NWS forecasts, and the local forecasts in your area, and also keep a check to the latest model runs, as this could get ugly for your area...

Again, the air will not be cold enough for snow, but freezing rain and sleet will be possible. Meanwhile, Houston will be in the 50s with plain old rain. I hate you Gulf ridge. If its not the EPO or pacific jet, its something else that keeps Houston away from arctic air.

cheezyWXguy · #1558 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:00 pm

Thats weird...In the winter of 2003 -04 on Valentine's day2004, I had about 6-7 in in my neighborhood and the rest of the month was pretty rainy, i think

cheezyWXguy · #1559 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:01 pm

"ugly" is not the rite word for it, Tyler, AWESOME is(I'm a big fan of icestorms...theyre the only way i can ever get school cancelled)

Tyler · #1560 Postby **Tyler** » Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:02 pm

cheezywxman wrote:Thats weird...In the winter of 2003 -04 on Valentine's day2004, I had about 6-7 in in my neighborhood and the rest of the month was pretty rainy, i think

Ya, 03-04 was good for ya'll. However, down in Houston, it was the WARMEST winter I had ever seen, we only had maybe 2 or 3 freezes... This year I've had at least 6 or 7...

Upcoming cold for the South (Models, Maps, Discussions)

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