Texas Winter 2020-2021

[Brent]

0z is going to be nailbiters again! Though I don't believe there will be any drastic changes in the overall pattern, as mentioned before once you get under 100 hours (even less now) the models are really good nowadays with the broad view. We'll be looking for pixels of thundersnow and who gets the most!

2nd time in a week and a half close by at least

[cheezyWXguy]

It may be worth noting that the NAM 3k shows more areas of sub freezing temps at hour 60 (6z Sunday) across north Texas than the NAM 12k does. If the higher resolution equivalent is picking up colder temps, I imagine we will see surface temp depictions for the event cool on the other models as we get closer.

I'm not sure you want it to get too much colder though if you're a fan of more snow across North Texas. Globals are always a bit warm with these scenarios and so I would expect HI Res to come in a few degrees colder, however that could make all the difference in terms of where the best QPF lines up as mentioned above.

Depends. Seems like most models are showing 33-34 across the dfw area during the event, so I wouldn’t mind shaving off a degree or two.

[TropicalTundra]

18z GFS ENS moved a bit south with totals. Still showing highest amounts from Lubbock (3.5 inches) increasing to just NW of Waco (4.7 inches). Not sure how to post images on here. Quick drop off the further north you go at least on this run.

Quick tutorial:
1: Take photo of whatever you want to post and upload to Imgur.
2: Tap on the photo of your post and press the “Copy Post link” button on your uploaded Imgur post. Ex:
3: When making post on storm2k, press the “Img” button on the top right of making your post. Ex:
4: Now, you should the two [image] boxes on your post. Paste the link between your two boxes. Ex:

Now post your Imgur images and it should work.

[Texas Snow]

Also on TROPICAL TIDBITS some of the outputs you can right click and pick "COPY IMAGE LOCATION" then copy and just paste like the last step above without imgur.

Only works if it ends in jpg, png, gif etc but I find it much easier.

Many other model sites don’t present those files in such a manor so you must upload to hosting site like mentioned above.

[funster]

May the snow odds be ever in your favor. Let the snow games begin! hopefully

[TexasF6]

Can someone post where the storm is in the ocean?

[HockeyTx82]

Can someone post where the storm is in the ocean?

Back one page, I think McCauley's FB post showed it

[gpsnowman]

0z is going to be nailbiters again! Though I don't believe there will be any drastic changes in the overall pattern, as mentioned before once you get under 100 hours (even less now) the models are really good nowadays with the broad view. We'll be looking for pixels of thundersnow and who gets the most!

Thundersnow. Yes please. I've heard thundersleet a couple times but never thundersnow I don't believe. I think I would channel my inner Jim Cantore if I did.

[Ntxw]

Can someone post where the storm is in the ocean?

It's currently just to the west offshore of Washington state and Oregon. It will get blocked (-AO/NAO) and head south-east and meander through Texas.

[bubba hotep]

18z Euro with a slight north shift but nothing major.

[gpsnowman]

Thank the sweet snow God this is mainly a Sunday event. If I were indoors working while all this was going on I would contemplate a cliff. Hopefully most of us are off work Sunday. Should be fun!!!

[Ntxw]

18z Euro with a slight north shift but nothing major.

https://i.ibb.co/101wbTN/download.png

At least for this run it's resembles a lot like the NAM and RGEM runs.

[Brent]

18z Euro with a slight north shift but nothing major.

https://i.ibb.co/101wbTN/download.png

I am loving most of these runs

The op gfs not included

[EnnisTx]

18z Euro with a slight north shift but nothing major.

https://i.ibb.co/101wbTN/download.png

I am loving most of these runs

The op gfs not included

That would make a lot of folks happy around here. I know I'd be happy with 5 inches! No pun intended....

[AubreyStorm]

Bastardi mentioned 3-6 inches for metroplex via Twitter an hour ago.

Let it snow ❄️

[Texas Snow]

That would make a lot of folks happy around here. I know I'd be happy with 5 inches! No pun intended....

[gpsnowman]

18z Euro with a slight north shift but nothing major.

https://i.ibb.co/101wbTN/download.png

I am loving most of these runs

The op gfs not included

That would make a lot of folks happy around here. I know I'd be happy with 5 inches! No pun intended....

A 2 to 3 inch snowfall that melts on Monday is a huge win in these parts. Just witnessing something so naturally magical that everyone can enjoy is so rare. Winter time is here snow starved Texans.

[Cerlin]

I will take anything as long as it breaks the drought. Even if that’s just an inch. Especially if it overperforms a la 2010.

[Brent]

I am loving most of these runs

The op gfs not included

That would make a lot of folks happy around here. I know I'd be happy with 5 inches! No pun intended....

A 2 to 3 inch snowfall that melts on Monday is a huge win in these parts. Just witnessing something so naturally magical that everyone can enjoy is so rare. Winter time is here snow starved Texans.

Indeed. I wouldn't be shocked if it overperforms but honestly I just want the snowless streak gone lol. I only saw a couple inches in Abilene and remember how beautiful it was

[Cerlin]

Not sure if it was mentioned but the SREF had a massive northern shift from the 15z to the 21z, looking way more in line with the RGEM, NAM, and Euro