Texas Winter 2013-2014

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Annie Oakley
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1103
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2007 12:54 pm
Location: Texas

#1141 Postby Annie Oakley » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:42 pm

Now, we're taking a walk through Texas from the (almost) top down.
0 likes   

Ellsey
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 104
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2011 11:04 am
Location: McKinney, TX

Re:

#1142 Postby Ellsey » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:44 pm

texas1836 wrote:30 in Mckinney and with sleet only, and is collecting on the deck.


I'm in McKinney also, but I'm getting a rain/sleet mix....leaning heavily toward the sleet side though.
0 likes   

downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 663
Age: 45
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re: Re:

#1143 Postby downsouthman1 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:45 pm

downsouthman1 wrote:
Longhornmaniac8 wrote:Has there been any changes as far as what to expect in South Central Texas?

Yes, something has changed. I'm not convinced this moisture axis will move south. Making me think we won't get hardly any precip.

I take that back. Look at Mexico just west of Big Bend. Moisture is being forced over the top of the Mexico mountains & is condensing. This is beginning of the main event.

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash
0 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

User avatar
CaptinCrunch
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8728
Age: 57
Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
Location: Kennedale, TX (Tarrant Co.)

#1144 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:49 pm

Based on the Temp reading from weather underground the freezing (32) line stretches from McKinney northern Dallas Co down through eastern Tarrant and NW Johnson Co. At this rate the Freeze line should be all the through the D/FW Metro area by 6pm.
0 likes   

User avatar
opticsguy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 231
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 9:27 pm
Location: McKinney, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1145 Postby opticsguy » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:49 pm

I just drove 3 miles from N. Dallas to Addison. The parts of my windshield that weren't covered by wipers built up a 1/16" of ice in about 5 minutes.
0 likes   

User avatar
TheProfessor
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3506
Age: 28
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2013 10:56 am
Location: Wichita, Kansas

#1146 Postby TheProfessor » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:50 pm

Will the radar fill out even more or is this event going to end early in Denton county
0 likes   
An alumnus of The Ohio State University.

Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.

User avatar
Longhornmaniac8
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Thu Nov 18, 2010 2:30 am
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Re:

#1147 Postby Longhornmaniac8 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:51 pm

downsouthman1 wrote:
Longhornmaniac8 wrote:Has there been any changes as far as what to expect in South Central Texas?

Yes, something has changed. I'm not convinced this moisture axis will move south. Making me think we won't get hardly any precip.


My understanding based is that our precip likely wouldn't come from this. GFS has it peaking tomorrow around 9 am.
0 likes   

downsouthman1
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 663
Age: 45
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 8:14 pm
Location: Rowlett, TX

Re:

#1148 Postby downsouthman1 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:52 pm

TheProfessor wrote:Will the radar fill out even more or is this event going to end early in Denton county

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/geo/index ... thod=flash
0 likes   
Not a professional MET! My posts are merely speculation.

newtotex
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 231
Age: 37
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:19 pm
Location: Denton, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1149 Postby newtotex » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:56 pm

All sleet, and coming down pretty hard, in Argyle
0 likes   

texas1836
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 223
Age: 55
Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 10:10 am
Location: Ruidoso, New Mexico

Re: Re:

#1150 Postby texas1836 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 3:58 pm

Ellsey wrote:
texas1836 wrote:30 in Mckinney and with sleet only, and is collecting on the deck.


I'm in McKinney also, but I'm getting a rain/sleet mix....leaning heavily toward the sleet side though.

I'm close to the square. It's for sure all sleet.....deck, raised garden bins are sure getting white.
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1151 Postby Portastorm » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:01 pm

I certainly believe you guys ... I'm seeing reports coming into NWS Dallas/Fort Worth which indicate freezing rain/sleet is coming down pretty good in Grayson and Cooke counties. Be safe!
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
TexasStorm
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 174
Joined: Wed Jul 16, 2008 10:00 am
Location: North Texas

Re: Re:

#1152 Postby TexasStorm » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:05 pm

texas1836 wrote:
Ellsey wrote:
texas1836 wrote:30 in Mckinney and with sleet only, and is collecting on the deck.


I'm in McKinney also, but I'm getting a rain/sleet mix....leaning heavily toward the sleet side though.

I'm close to the square. It's for sure all sleet.....deck, raised garden bins are sure getting white.


Anyone have a more current sounding than the one from NWS FW earlier in the morning? Sounds odd to me that it is falling as all sleet. Would mean there is not as much of a warm nose as we first thought.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22980
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1153 Postby wxman57 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:07 pm

By the way, College Station will be launching a special sounding at 12Z tomorrow. I'll have the data by 7am.
0 likes   

WeatherNewbie
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 231
Joined: Mon Mar 22, 2010 3:42 pm
Location: Richardson, Texas

Re:

#1154 Postby WeatherNewbie » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:09 pm

TheProfessor wrote:Will the radar fill out even more or is this event going to end early in Denton county


The event hasn't even started yet. :wink: This is the opening act.
0 likes   
The above post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22980
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: Re:

#1155 Postby wxman57 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:11 pm

TexasStorm wrote:
Anyone have a more current sounding than the one from NWS FW earlier in the morning? Sounds odd to me that it is falling as all sleet. Would mean there is not as much of a warm nose as we first thought.


You can generate one at the Ohio State site:
http://www.twisterdata.com/

Click the "RAP" tab then click anywhere you want a sounding for on the map. Once it makes the first sounding you can use the map that appears on the right side of the page to adjust the plot location. You can advance the sounding forward if you like. Here's a current model sounding for the Dallas-Ft. Worth area. Looks like the sub-freezing layer is about 4000 ft thick, which is why sleet is being reported. But look at that warm nose above! Up to 50 degrees at about 6000 ft.

Image
0 likes   

ndale
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 429
Joined: Tue Dec 29, 2009 11:12 am
Location: Pflugerville/Austin Tx

#1156 Postby ndale » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:13 pm

Again EWX is taking its time to update the area forecast. My temp still shows 39 here but the winds are stronger and it feels much colder than it did around noon.
0 likes   
Any opinions stated are those of an amateur, please take with several grains of salt and for official forecast refer to the National Weather Service.

Ntxwx
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 153
Joined: Tue Jan 26, 2010 10:43 am
Location: Bridgeport, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1157 Postby Ntxwx » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:14 pm

Moderate-Heavy precip (mostly sleet) falling in Decatur
0 likes   

texas1836
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 223
Age: 55
Joined: Fri Aug 17, 2012 10:10 am
Location: Ruidoso, New Mexico

Re: Re:

#1158 Postby texas1836 » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:18 pm

wxman57 wrote:
TexasStorm wrote:
Anyone have a more current sounding than the one from NWS FW earlier in the morning? Sounds odd to me that it is falling as all sleet. Would mean there is not as much of a warm nose as we first thought.


You can generate one at the Ohio State site:
http://www.twisterdata.com/

Click the "RAP" tab then click anywhere you want a sounding for on the map. Once it makes the first sounding you can use the map that appears on the right side of the page to adjust the plot location. You can advance the sounding forward if you like. Here's a current model sounding for the Dallas-Ft. Worth area. Looks like the sub-freezing layer is about 4000 ft thick, which is why sleet is being reported. But look at that warm nose above! Up to 50 degrees at about 6000 ft.

http://www.twisterdata.com/data/tmp/scr ... .0000W.png

I have a picture, I just don't know how to upload it for you to see.
0 likes   

Ntxwx
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 153
Joined: Tue Jan 26, 2010 10:43 am
Location: Bridgeport, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2013-2014

#1159 Postby Ntxwx » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:18 pm

Highways getting very dicey in Wichita Falls & this is just the beginning : http://its.txdot.gov/ITS_WEB/FrontEnd/d ... lls&t=cctv
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re:

#1160 Postby Portastorm » Thu Dec 05, 2013 4:19 pm

ndale wrote:Again EWX is taking its time to update the area forecast. My temp still shows 39 here but the winds are stronger and it feels much colder than it did around noon.


Did you expect something different?! :lol:

Temps/winds have been fairly consistent here in Austin since this morning but the dewpoint is dropping. That could make one feel "colder." We're holding in the low 40s in the immediate metro area and upper 30s in the north/northwest/west outskirts.
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 15 guests