Texas Winter 2020-2021

Winter Weather Discussion

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Texas Snow
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1101 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:18 pm

The AFD is almost an hour later than yesterday and still not out yet their short term was out 30 minutes earlier. Hmmmm.

Yes I am reading into things
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1102 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:21 pm

DonWrk wrote:Sure hope that ICON isn’t on to something.

Icon was behind the trends the whole way on the NYE storm, I can’t see that being much different this time
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1103 Postby Haris » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:21 pm

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This is quite a curveball. I dont trust ICON though. It has a northern piece of energy over the dakots (on the NAM but less significant) kick it SE quick.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1104 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:29 pm

DonWrk wrote:Sure hope that ICON isn’t on to something.


Similar precip shield just different thermals. I wouldn't worry too much about it. On the get go the ICON hasn't shown much for anyone outside of west Texas on a consistent basis.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1105 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:33 pm

TXDot now pretreating roads in DFW
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1106 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:34 pm

Texas Snow wrote:TXDot now pretreating roads in DFW


The kiss of death
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1107 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:34 pm

Texas Snow wrote:TXDot now pretreating roads in DFW


I saw that driving back from Oklahoma :spam:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1108 Postby Captmorg70 » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:36 pm

With this cold air. If we can get this thing negatively titled coming across central TX, someone is going to be really happy Sunday Evening.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1109 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:36 pm

Texas Snow wrote:TXDot now pretreating roads in DFW


Snow cancel.

It probably means FW is giving the updated forecast and we can probably expect increase wording in the AFD.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1110 Postby HockeyTx82 » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:40 pm

So now the big question. School on Monday, if we get to that. Will remote students still have school......... :spam:
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1111 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:43 pm

Brent wrote:
Texas Snow wrote:TXDot now pretreating roads in DFW


I saw that driving back from Oklahoma :spam:


I only know this because I am having my 15 year old daughter drive so I can check for updates on this website and for the AFD.


Yes I am becoming obsessed. If this doesn’t happen I may need therapy. :sick:




A new graphic is out and it looks good. Can’t post now.
Last edited by Texas Snow on Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1112 Postby Captmorg70 » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:48 pm

Texas Snow wrote:
Brent wrote:
Texas Snow wrote:TXDot now pretreating roads in DFW


I saw that driving back from Oklahoma :spam:


I only know this because I am having my 15 year old daughter drive so I can check for updates on this website and for the AFD.

Yes I am becoming obsessed. If this doesn’t happen I may need therapy. :sick:


Honestly it’s great to have a system to track that feels like a real snowstorm. We’ve spent the last few years staring at the Nam/Hrrr hoping for a slight wobble or temp bust that could result in a little snow.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1113 Postby foulbeast » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:48 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1114 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:48 pm

Texas Snow wrote:The AFD is almost an hour later than yesterday and still not out yet their short term was out 30 minutes earlier. Hmmmm.

Yes I am reading into things


Coordinating with surrounding offices on watch area and timing

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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1115 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:51 pm

Still think biggest snowfall amounts overall will be south of I-20 (Waco area points east). I think Dallas will finally break the drought though. Greater QPF the further south you go on most ensembles. Just my .02.
Last edited by txtwister78 on Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1116 Postby rwfromkansas » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:53 pm

HockeyTx82 wrote:So now the big question. School on Monday, if we get to that. Will remote students still have school......... :spam:


I think most districts will just let it be a snow day.

If the kids have school, I am not teaching them anything new. It will be a catch-up day, no Zoom meeting or anything.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1117 Postby Haris » Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:56 pm

Why is the GFS so sheared? Precip falls apart quick and is light except initially?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1118 Postby Cerlin » Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:00 pm

Haris wrote:Why is the GFS so sheared? Precip falls apart quick and is light except initially?

I think that is also in part why it’s running warmer than the other models. Stronger southerly winds leading to more shear and higher temperatures.
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1119 Postby BTAYLOR5021 » Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:01 pm

So is the NWS predicting a more northern track per the updated snow map?
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Re: Texas Winter 2020-2021

#1120 Postby txtwister78 » Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:04 pm

Wow. One thing to watch though (caution) is the GFS develops low pressure off the coast of Texas and scours out a lot of the precip from the northern trough has it moves further into Texas. Would definitely not be good for snow chances across north Texas if this wins out. Too warm
Last edited by txtwister78 on Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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