SE TX/SW LA Winter WX - 2011-2012

Winter Weather Discussion

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Tireman4
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1101 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:21 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Well it appears we have reached our high of 43f today as the temp has started to drop slowly. At least on OCM is calling for snow flurries mid week with the short wave expected to come through. I will take a look later and see what I think. right now I think it is COLD!! :cold: :cold:



Wxman57 still thinks it will be too dry, but who knows...:)
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#1102 Postby southerngale » Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:51 pm

We haven't gotten out of the 30s! 39° is my high so far and it's only reached 41° down at the airport! Brrrr! Image
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1103 Postby srainhoutx » Mon Jan 10, 2011 3:58 pm

Yep. Those 50's forecasted for today are going to bust and big time. I finally have warmed to a balmy 41.
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#1104 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Jan 10, 2011 4:00 pm

46 at Hobby, but I do not buy it. Very cold here at the campus.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1105 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Jan 11, 2011 9:20 am

Latest from Jeff:
Long advertised arctic cold front has pushed through the area overnight ushering in a very cold air mass.

Hard Freeze Warning has been issued for tonight along and N of I-10.

Arctic boundary has pushed deep into the Gulf of Mexico this morning with strong cold air advection in place across the region. Temperatures have fallen into the mid/upper 30’s at all sites with wind chill values in the low 30’s and upper 20’s. Real core of the arctic dome is just now reaching the TX panhandle where Pampa, TX is currently 1 and Lubbock, TX 9. Upstream temperatures over NC TX are in the mid 20’s to upper teens and this very dry and cold air mass will continue to advect southward today on strong NW winds. Low level stratus are starting to erode over NC TX from the NW as very dry low level air mass moves southward with dewpoints into the 1’s. Should see a slow but gradual clearing of the skies from NW to SE today with clear skies over all areas by late afternoon. Highs will struggle to reach to low to mid 40’s today.

Clear skies will allow for a very cold night tonight even with winds staying in the 5-10mph range. Temperatures will fall below freezing quickly this evening with lows at or below 25 degrees N of I-10 Wednesday morning. A Hard Freeze Warning is in effect for these areas for 8-12 hours of temperatures at or below freezing. Along and north of US 59 lows will range from 25-28 with temperatures below freezing for 5-9 hours. South of US 59 temperatures will range from 28-31 with temperatures below freezing for 4-6 hours.

Short wave aloft will move toward TX Wednesday with a mid level cloud deck along the Rio Grande plains tonight rapidly advecting NE early Wednesday. Skies will gradually become cloudy from the SW during the day limiting heating and keeping highs in the 40’s. Cloud deck in place Wednesday night should keep temperatures 2-4 degrees warmer than tonight…still a freeze for many locations. Very dry sub cloud layer should prevent any precipitation from reaching the ground.

Friday-Weekend:

Coastal trough develops along the middle TX coast locking in NE flow with SW flow overrunning the shallow cold dome. Cold dome will be slow to erode with NE winds keeping the cold air entrenched and clouds/light rain helping to prevent modification. Will likely see more clouds/drizzle than rain during this period until late Saturday/Sunday when the trough becomes a warm front and begins to lift northward finally eroding the cold dome and allowing highs back into the 60’s by Sunday and Monday. Next front is due in Monday of next week.

Forecast Lows for Wednesday Morning:

Houston, Madison, Trinity, Brazos, Grimes, Walker, Polk Counties: 20-23

Washington, Waller, Montgomery, Austin, Colorado, San Jacinto, Liberty: 22-25

Harris outside the Beltway: 24-26

Harris inside the Beltway: 26-29

Harris inside 610 Loop: 28-32

Fort Bend, Wharton, Victoria, N Jackson: 24-27

Chambers, Galveston, Brazoria, Matagorda, Jackson, Calhoun: 28-32

Freeze Precautions:

Forecasted temperatures tonight along with the duration below freezing will impact sensitive tropical vegetation and exposed outside pipes. Plants and pipes should be covered to protect against the cold. Last January the majority of the issues with pipes were on the back flow preventer for yard sprinkler systems and these should be covered and protected tonight. Winds will remain in the 5-10mph range overnight so coverings should be tightly secured. With winds staying up (advective freeze), the covering of plants to produce the “greenhouse effect” will only be marginally effective when compared to a calm night (radiative freeze) where the warmth from the ground becomes trapped under the covering.
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#1106 Postby jasons2k » Tue Jan 11, 2011 10:57 am

Yuck, it's going to be a long, cold evening wrapping stuff in the dark when I get home :(
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#1107 Postby southerngale » Tue Jan 11, 2011 6:47 pm

My forecast for the next 3 nights:


Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 27. East wind around 5 mph.


Image


And the NWS is often too warm with their temps here!
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1108 Postby Yankeegirl » Tue Jan 11, 2011 7:59 pm

Cold is such a waste without the white stuff falling from the sky.... where is the moisture when ya need it???
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1109 Postby srainhoutx » Tue Jan 11, 2011 9:54 pm

36 at 9 PM. It's going to be a chilly night.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1110 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Jan 11, 2011 10:00 pm

srainhoutx wrote:36 at 9 PM. It's going to be a chilly night.

I'm showing 33.3f here at the house and 37f at the weatherbug nearest to me.

edit @ 10:30-Went below 32f sometime between 9:30 and 10. Now 30.6f.
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#1111 Postby southerngale » Wed Jan 12, 2011 12:10 am

Same here at 11pm, David. Below 31 - gonna be (already is) a coooold night!

I wasn't anticipating such a cold winter and I'm almost out of firewood. I may have enough for one more fire and we've got several days of really cold weather.
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#1112 Postby southerngale » Wed Jan 12, 2011 8:55 am

Holy Moly, it's cold!!!!

The overnight low was supposed to be 25° here and it got down to 23° and currently sitting at 24°!

Tonight's low was supposed to be 23° but I just checked and it's been lowered to 21°!!! If they're off a couple of degrees, which happens often, I could possibly see teens. :eek: Regardless, it's ridiculously cold!
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1113 Postby srainhoutx » Wed Jan 12, 2011 8:58 am

24 here this morning and the pool antifreeze protection system started running around mid night. 10 hours below freezing so far in NW Harris County. :cold:
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1114 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Jan 12, 2011 9:59 am

21.9 was the low here this morning. So far my location in Spring Branch has been below freezing for almost 12 hours. Current is 26.6. With clouds moving in from the SW I am wondering how much "warmer" the temps will go today. Sun is out currently to help with the warming, but if the clouds move in soon enough we might not get out of the 30s today. Next question would be how cold tonight gets and if there is enough moisture available overnight to give us some wintry precip. As dry as the air is it will definitely be hard to get much of anything in the way of precip to reach the ground if it materializes.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1115 Postby jasons2k » Wed Jan 12, 2011 1:31 pm

I had a low of 26F this morning. Everything is wrapped tightly so hopefully everything will be OK.
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#1116 Postby Mr. Weather » Wed Jan 12, 2011 2:46 pm

really hoping that se houston area will see some flurries tonight maybe in the morning that a way we atleast got something this winter
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#1117 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Jan 12, 2011 3:01 pm

Mr. Weather wrote:really hoping that se houston area will see some flurries tonight maybe in the morning that a way we atleast got something this winter



The air is soo dry...I am not sure...Wxman57 doubts it...but....
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1118 Postby jasons2k » Wed Jan 12, 2011 5:41 pm

OMG - my wife just called --

She said Channel 2 news is shooting live from our front porch and back yard on the 4/5/6 news about the proper way to protect your plants and pipes from freezing weather!! I guess my freeze protection measures have earned quite the reputation!!!!!!!!! HA!
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1119 Postby southerngale » Wed Jan 12, 2011 7:23 pm

jasons wrote:OMG - my wife just called --

She said Channel 2 news is shooting live from our front porch and back yard on the 4/5/6 news about the proper way to protect your plants and pipes from freezing weather!! I guess my freeze protection measures have earned quite the reputation!!!!!!!!! HA!


LOL - that's cool! Why don't you take pics and share your famous method with everyone on here?
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Re: SE TX/SW LA Winter Wx

#1120 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Jan 12, 2011 8:31 pm

jasons wrote:OMG - my wife just called --

She said Channel 2 news is shooting live from our front porch and back yard on the 4/5/6 news about the proper way to protect your plants and pipes from freezing weather!! I guess my freeze protection measures have earned quite the reputation!!!!!!!!! HA!



Woo Hoo...Yall are movie stars!!!
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