Series of Storms to affect the West with more Snow/rain/win

[Metalicwx220]

The latest snowfall reports from The National Weather Service in Medford, OR: 6 miles northwest of Mount Shasta, 12.0"... near Selma, 12.0"... 5 miles northeast of Selma, 11.0"... Ene Happy Camp, 10.0"... 4 miles west of Merlin, 9.0"... Mount Shasta, 9.0"... 4 miles southwest of Merlin, 7.8"... 4 miles southwest of Weed, 7.0"... near Grants Pass, 5.0"... near Williams, 5.0"... Sse Mount Shasta, 4.0"... near Mount Shasta, 3.0"... near Powers, 3.0"... near Merlin, 3.0"... 4 miles southwest of Applegate, 2.0"... 6 miles southwest of Shady Cove, 1.8"... 9 miles east of Roseburg, 1.0"... near Obrien, up to 12.0"... Ese Mount Shasta, up to 10.0"... near Cave Junction, up to 9.5"... 6 miles southwest of Merlin, up to 5.5".

[Metalicwx220]

It can't detect snow in low elevations. Its impossible to snow in San Fransico in 3 hours.

[Metalicwx220]

The 18z gfs with blizzards in seattle these days at the end of the runs. Wow conditions are right with cold air in place.

[Metalicwx220]

Seattle blizzard lol plus the phoenix snow LOL

[Metalicwx220]

These snow maps are silly. Its not going to snow in los angeles in 54 hours.

[Metalicwx220]

This must be the mountains.

[Metalicwx220]

HOly god the 6z has like Literally superstormy at the end of the run with the -10C!!!! line in Seatte which I use metalicwx220 formula and get 30-32 for a high Temp since apparently 0c line was far into California yesterday and seattle made it to 42 degrees. LOL

[somethingfunny]

Now, snow in Seattle isn't all that rare. I've seen quite a few Seahawks games with snow on the field.

[Metalicwx220]

I wonder why it doesn't snow that much there and whhenever it snows it usullly like 50 degrees just kidding like 39-33 outside.

[Metalicwx220]

Im moving to Reno,Nv but if I move there its going to snow in Savannah and reno will miss everything.

[Metalicwx220]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA 609 PM PST FRI FEB 18 2011 UPDATED THE FIRST PARAGRAPH OF THE SHORT TERM SECTION. .SYNOPSIS...A TROUGH OFFSHORE WILL MOVE SOUTH TONIGHT WITH DRY NORTHERLY FLOW PREVAILING ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL PASS TO OUR SOUTH ON MONDAY. A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL SETTLE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MID TO LATE WEEK. && .SHORT TERM... UPDATED THE FORECAST THIS EVENING TO INCLUDE LIGHT SHOWERS THIS EVENING AS SHOWERS OVER OREGON ROTATE NWD ACROSS THE CWA AROUND THE UPPER LOW OFFSHORE. THE SHOWERS SHOULD MAINLY AFFECT THE COAST AND THE OLYMPIC RANGE SWD. EXPECT THE SHOWER THREAT TO DIMINISH OR END LATER THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW SAGS FARTHER S. MEANWHILE...NE PRES GRADIENTS ARE INCREASING AS HIGH PRES SAGS OVER INTERIOR B.C. BELLINGHAM TO WILLIAMS LAKE GRADIENT IS UP TO -17.4 MB WITH GUSTY NE FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE FRASER. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL HELP SCOUR US OUT AND KEEP US COOL AND DRY THROUGH THE REST OF WEEKEND. WILL SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE BUT TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. HIGHS SAT AND SUN ONLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. KEPT THE FORECAST DRY FOR SUN NIGHT AS THE NEXT SYSTEM PASSES WELL TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE CWA. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NE PAC BY MON WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER W WA. 500 MB HEIGHTS DIP INTO THE 530S AS THE FIRST OF SEVERAL SHORT WAVE TROUGHS CLIP THE REGION. SNOW LEVELS ARE ONLY A FEW HUNDRED FEET AGL AND WE COULD SEE SPOTTY LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS...JUST LIKE LAST WED NIGHT/THU MORNING. 33/05 .LONG TERM...WESTERN WA WILL REMAIN IN A COOL AND ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE POLAR JET WILL DIP SOUTH OF THE REGION WITH THE HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE NE PAC...AND A DEEP TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. WITH A COOL AIR MASS IN PLACE...COULD SEE RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS PRETTY MUCH ANYWHERE. HOWEVER...EXACT SNOW AMOUNTS AND COVERAGE IS STILL DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AS IT WILL MOST LIKELY BE TIED TO HEAVIER...CONVECTIVE BANDS OR CONVERGENCE ZONES. THE BEST CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS MAY BE WED NIGHT OR THU AS A SURFACE BOUNDARY DESCENDS FROM B.C. WITH ONSHORE FLOW MEETING FRASER OUTFLOW. MODEL CONSISTENCY IS NOT AT ITS BEST BUT WORTH WATCHING AS WE HEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH LITTLE ADJUSTMENTS AT THIS POINT.

[Metalicwx220]

FXUS66 KPQR 190421
AFDPQR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
822 PM PST FRI FEB 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE S OFF
THE OREGON COAST OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW...LOCALLY
LOWERING TO SEA LEVEL AT TIMES IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. SHOWERS WILL
DIMINISH FROM THE NORTH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS THE LOW MOVES SOUTH
TOWARD CALIFORNIA. ANOTHER COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL FOLLOW A
SIMILAR PATH SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS
REMAINING ALONG THE COAST. VERY COLD AIR MAY SPREAD INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST BY MIDWEEK AND REMAIN OVER US THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...BAND OF THAT EXTENDED N TO S THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
THIS EVENING ASSOCIATED WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
A LITTLE SLOWER THAN EXPECTED IN ENDING...ALTHOUGH RADAR TRENDS IN
THE PAST HOUR INDICATE A GRADUAL DIMINISHMENT IN AREAL COVERAGE AS
WELL AS THE ENTIRE AREA RETREATING BACK TOWARDS THE COAST. MODELS
CONITNUE TO INDICATE THIS BAND OF PRECIPITATION ENDING OVERNIGHT AS
THE SURFACE LOW OFFSHORE MOVES S.

THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
SATURDAY WITH MOST ACCOMPANYING PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF OUR AREA BY
THEN...POSSIBLY JUST BRUSHING OUR SOUTHERN ZONES. WE COULD ALSO SEE
A FEW WRAP-AROUND SHOWERS OVER THE CASCADES IN LANE COUNTY. MOST OF
[color=#800080] THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

ANOTHER COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE GULF OF ALASKA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND DIG SOUTH OFF THE COAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY...IN
A SIMILAR PATH TO THE LOW THAT IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH OVER OUR
OUTER WATERS. THE BEST SHOWER CHANCES WILL LIKELY REMAIN ALONG THE
COAST ONCE AGAIN. LIKENS

.LONG TERM...TODAY/S MEDIUM RANGE MODEL SUITE SHOWS INCREASING
CONFIDENCE THAT AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING UNUSUALLY COLD AIR TO THE
REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL TROF IS
PROGGED TO DROP SOUTH OUT OF CANADA SOMETIME IN THE LATE TUE/WED
TIME FRAME...PULLING IN THE COLDER AIRMASS. IF THE LATEST MODEL
TRENDS ARE CORRECT...TEMPERATURES TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK WOULD
BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE. MODEL PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE ON THE LIGHT
SIDE...BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOW ELEVATION
SNOW ACCUMULATION. A LOT DEPENDS ON THE EXACT TRACK THAT THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH TAKES. THERE IS STILL MODERATE MODEL SPREAD ON THE
POSITIONING OF THIS FEATURE...SO PLENTY OF DETAILS REMAIN UP IN THE
AIR. JPF[/color]

[Metalicwx220]

I would love to know how to change the threads name.

[Metalicwx220]

LOL an 1058mb high

[Metalicwx220]

.SHORT TERM...NICE MOON OUT THERE THIS MORNING. SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND ROOF OB...INDICATE CLEAR SKIES OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS MORNING. SOME PATCHY FOG FORMED OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR EARLIER BUT BOTH KCLS AND KOLM NOW REPORTING UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITIES. SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA. UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CALIFORNIA THROWING SOME HIGH CLOUDS OUR WAY WHICH COULD REACH WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS MORNING. THE FRASER RIVER OUTFLOW FINALLY BROKE THROUGH A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO AT KBLI WITH NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING INTO THE LOW 30S AT 11Z. KBLI-CYWL GRADIENT HAS ACTUALLY PEAKED AND WILL BE SLOWLY DECREASING TODAY SO DO NOT EXPECT THE WINDS AT BELLINGHAM TO GET MUCH STRONGER THAN THEY ARE RIGHT NOW. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS SOUTH OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. WITH THE CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT ANOTHER COLD MORNING ON TAP FOR WESTERN WASHINGTON WITH BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CWA.

[Metalicwx220]

MORE SUNSHINE IN STORE FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVERHEAD. MODELS DIFFER ON THEIR SOLUTIONS FOR THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW KICKING OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE GFS AND THE NAM TAKE THE CENTER OF THE LOW AND MOVES IT BY TO THE WEST OF 130W SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THE ECMWF BRINGS THE LOW CENTER JUST EAST OF 130W RESULTING IN THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION ALONG THE THE COAST AND THE OLYMPICS LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS EXTENDING INLAND SUNDAY NIGHT. ONCE AGAIN THE LOWER LAYERS OF THE AIR MASS WILL BE COOL...1000-850 MB THICKNESS VALUES BELOW 1300 METERS AND IF THE ECMWF VERIFIES THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE WEAK OFFSHORE. THIS WILL PULL THE SNOW LEVEL DOWN TO 1000 FEET OR LESS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND WILL WORD THE FORECAST CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT.

[Metalicwx220]

.LONG TERM...THE EXTENDED MODELS ARE A MIXED BAG AGAIN THIS MORNING. THERE IS A GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT YET ANOTHER COLD TROUGH WILL OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THE MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THE TIMING AND LOCATION OF THE SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED IN THE TROUGH VARY FROM MODEL TO MODEL. THE QUESTION AGAIN WILL BE WILL SOME COLD AIR FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA GET PULLED DOWN OVER WESTERN WASHINGTON CREATING THE POSSIBILITY OF SNOW RIGHT DOWN TO THE SURFACE. THROUGH THE WHOLE EXTENDED PERIOD ALL OF THE MODELS HAVE 1000-850 MB THICKNESS VALUES BELOW 1300 METERS. THE MAIN VARIABLE WILL BE IF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS OFFSHORE AND IF IT DOES WILL THERE BE ANY MOISTURE AROUND. AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE LAST FEW DAYS THE GFS IS MUCH MORE AGGRESSIVE IN TURNING THE LOW LEVEL FLOW OFFSHORE WITH COLD AIR SPILLING INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES SOUTH OF THE AREA OFF THE COAST.

[Metalicwx220]

THE ECMWF IS SLOWER AND WEAKER WITH THIS FEATURE KEEPING MOST OF THE COLD AIR BOTTLED UP OVER SOUTHERN BRITISH COLUMBIA UNTIL LATER THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THE EXTENDED MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT RECENTLY IN BEING OVER AGGRESSIVE WITH THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR GETTING INTO WESTERN WASHINGTON IN THE DAY 5 AND LATER SOLUTIONS. FOR NOW THERE IS NOT MUCH CHOICE BUT CONTINUE TO BROADBRUSH THE FORECAST WITH CHANCE POPS AND LOW...500-1000 FOOT SNOW LEVELS...FOR THE ENTIRE EXTENDED PERIOD. FELTON

[Metalicwx220]

Seattle Washington February 24 Partly Sunny
Hi 34° RealFeel® 27° Day

NNE at 11 mph
Gusts: 22 mph
Partly sunny and cold
Max UV Index: 2 (low)
Thunderstorm Probability: 1%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.00 in
Amount of Rain: 0.00 in
Amount of Snow: 0.0 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 0 hrs
Hours of Rain: 0 hrs

Extreme Cold
Lo 23° RealFeel® 11° Night
NNE at 13 mph
Gusts: 24 mph
Mainly clear and very cold with the temperature approaching the record low of 22 set in 1960 Max UV Index: N/A
Thunderstorm Probability: 1%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.00 in
Amount of Rain: 0.00 in
Amount of Snow: 0.0 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 0 hrs
Hours of Rain: 0 hrs
Very cold Thursday. Accuweather.com

[Metalicwx220]

Salt Lake city, Utah Tommorow
Snow
Hi 42° RealFeel® 37° Day

WNW at 9 mph
Gusts: 20 mph
Occasional snow, accumulating an inch or two
Max UV Index: 2 (low)
Thunderstorm Probability: 24%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.16 in
Amount of Rain: 0.00 in
Amount of Snow: 1.1 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 6 hrs
Hours of Rain: 0 hrs
Flurries

Lo 27° RealFeel® 27° Night

SSE at 6 mph
Gusts: 9 mph
Rather cloudy with a snow shower
Max UV Index: N/A
Thunderstorm Probability: 1%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.04 in
Amount of Rain: 0.00 in
Amount of Snow: 0.2 in
Amount of Ice: 0.00 in
Hours of Precipitation: 2 hrs
Hours of Rain: 0 hrs
Why is it all snow with 42 degrees?