SE TX/SW LA Winter WX - 2011-2012

[PTrackerLA]

I'm just hoping it won't be 70 degrees for Christmas, as of yesterday it looked possible.

[Jagno]

Doesn't everyone own Christmas skorts and short sets. LOL

I am amazed that it's still such a heavy fog here at 11am.

[Agua]

Wouldn't feel like Christmas without the fog and heat.

[PTrackerLA]

It's awful today, bring back the blue bird sunny and crisp days with cold nights that we had earlier this fall! It will be warm and muggy at least until Sunday .

[jinftl]

Excerpt from Discussion...


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
ISSUED 550 AM CST WED DEC 17 2008

SOME REALLY...REALLY COLD AIR IS EXPECTED TO ESCAPE THE CANADIAN
TUNDRA THIS WEEKEND...BRINGING A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE AREA SUN. HOWEVER...WE WILL ONLY BE SEEING A LITTLE PIECE OF
THIS VERY COLD AIR...AS THE WIND PATTERN ALOFT WILL ONLY BE WNW OR
ZONAL AT BEST.

WHAT WOULD BRING MOST OF THE COLD AIR DOWN HERE
WOULD BE A PERSISTENT HUDSON BAY TROF OF CUT OFF LOW...AND NEITHER
THE GFS OR ECMWF INDICATE SUCH A SCENARIO. ANYRATE...EXPECT A
CHANCE OF RAIN ALONG FROPA SUN...WITH STRONG N WINDS USHERING COLD
AIR AND LOWER WINDS CHILLS SUN EVENING/MON MORNING. WENT SLIGHTLY
BELOW GUIDANCE FOR MON LOWS..GOING WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 20
ACROSS INLAND SE TX/C LA...TO NEAR 32 ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR.

AS STATED ABOVE...THE CENTER OF THE HIGH...ALONG WITH THE BULK OF
THE ARCTIC AIR...WILL REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF THE REGION. AS THE W
TO E PROGRESSIVE FLOW CONTINUES...THIS HIGH WILL BE ACROSS THE E
COAST BY TUE...WITH ANOTHER STRONG LOW CRANKING UP ACROSS THE
CENTRAL U.S.

[southerngale]

It's awful today, bring back the blue bird sunny and crisp days with cold nights that we had earlier this fall! It will be warm and muggy at least until Sunday .

It's 50° and light rain. Yuck. It should be a little colder and the precip a little fluffier...

[Agua]

Try 70 and heavy fog on the Miss. Gulf Coast.

[jasons2k]

Well, I don't like the cold so I'm glad it's back in the 60's with 70's forecasted tomorrow.

There is a lot of variability today - it's 72 in Bay City, 68 in Angleton, but still only 57 in Palacios to its southwest. It's even still only 57 in Harlingen as well.

[CajunMama]

It's 75 and muggy here. But that's ok with me. I like warm weather. That's why i live choose to live in the south The occasional cold is ok but i much prefer to be warm.

[southerngale]

I was just noticing that, Jason. Frick said it was 75 in Lafayette. It's only 54 here, 56 down at the airport, and even only 58 on the coast in Sabine Pass. But it's warmer to the east in Lafayette and west in Houston. Why's that? Anyone know exactly where the warm front is and why it isn't here? lol - just wondering.

[jasons2k]

The warm from is offshore the Texas coast and slices through LA to the northeast between Lack Charles and Lafayette.

Some spots like Bay City managed to warm-up because the sun peaked out and that may have acted to mix-out some of the cold air in those areas, but we're still technically on the cold side.

http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_map.html

[CajunMama]

I actually had to turn the ac on while cooking dinner.

[southerngale]

I actually had to turn the ac on while cooking dinner.

And I'm thinking about starting a fire in the fireplace.







j/k... it's not that cold... only 55° right now, the high of the day - although the heater comes on occasionally

[srainhoutx]

Well look what HGX just sent out...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
331 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY ANOTHER IN A STRING OF CLOUDY...WARM DAYS WITH MANY AROUND
THE HOUSTON METRO AREA ACHIEVING A HIGH MARK OF 80 F. WHAT A
DIFFERENCE 48 HOURS WILL MAKE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
EXPECTING DENSE FOG OVER GALVESTON BAY AND THOSE NEAR SHORE WATERS
SURROUNDING THE ISLAND LATER TONIGHT...WILL DEFER THE ISSUANCE OF
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY TO FUTURE SHIFTS IN BEING MORE ATTUNE TO
THIS AFTERNOON BETTER LL MIXING. SW`ERLIES ARE NOT AS STRONG AS
YESTERDAY`S RETURN SO...IF THEY DO DECOUPLE FOR A BRIEF TIME EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING...VISIBILITIES WILL QUICKLY CRATER MAINLY ACROSS
THOSE COUNTIES SURROUNDING GALVESTON BAY.

THE BEST OF BOTH WORLDS AS MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES GO FROM NEAR 80F
SATURDAY TO LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S SUNDAY. THE IMPETUS TO THIS LATEST
COLD AIR OUTBREAK WILL BE A SOUTHERN CANADIAN PLAINS AIR MASS THAT
DESCENDS DOWN OVER SE TX SUNDAY MORNING. THESE AIR MASSES TAKE ON
THEIR NEIGHBORING SURFACE CHARACTERISTICS. CURRENT TEMPERATURES
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CANADIAN PLAINS ARE HOVERING AROUND 0 F (-10
TO -20 F TDS) WITH ANYWHERE TO 1/2 FOOT...UPWARDS TO A FOOT...OF
SNOW PACK. THUS...AS 1040-ISH MB HIGH COMES DOWN ALONG THE ROCKY
LEES TOMORROW...THIS MODIFIED COLD AIR MASS WILL KEEP OUR SUN/MON
MAXIMUMS IN THE 40S/MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S. QUITE
DRY...AS WELL...AS CURRENT FORECAST HAS OUR INTERIOR DEW POINTS
LOWERING INTO THE LOWER TEENS (NORTH) TO THE NEAR FREEZING AT THE
COAST.
THINGS COULD GET INTERESTING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND THE THREAT
OF RECEIVING ANOTHER ROUND OF FREEZING RAIN IS BECOMING MORE OF A
REALITY. DID NOT MENTION IN FORECAST B/C THE 12Z RUNS HAVE BEEN
THE FIRST TO HINT AT THIS SCENARIO. 12Z GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS (WARM
MID-LEVELS AND FREEZING NEAR SURFACE)...ALONG WITH THE HIGHER
CONFIDENCE/RESOLUTION NAM12 FORECASTING SUB-FREEZING SFC TEMPS...
SUPPORT FREEZING RAIN AND WILL MENTION THE AFFECTED LOCATIONS IN
THE SATHWOHGX. THE AIR MASS WILL BE DRY...BUT THERE COULD BE ENOUGH
800-600MB LAYER MOISTURE (ADVECTING IN FROM WEST) TO INITIATE
PRECIPITATIVE PROCESSES. HIGHLY CONFIDENT THAT...IF ANY PRECIPITATION
DOES FALL THROUGH THIS SUB-FREEZING LOWER 5K FT COLUMN MONDAY
MORNING...WE WILL BE BACK IN FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MODE. STAY
TUNED!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=HGXAFDHGX

May get "interesting" after all

[weatherrabbit_tx]

Well look what HGX just sent out...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
331 PM CST FRI DEC 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY ANOTHER IN A STRING OF CLOUDY...WARM DAYS WITH MANY AROUND
THE HOUSTON METRO AREA ACHIEVING A HIGH MARK OF 80 F. WHAT A
DIFFERENCE 48 HOURS WILL MAKE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
EXPECTING DENSE FOG OVER GALVESTON BAY AND THOSE NEAR SHORE WATERS
SURROUNDING THE ISLAND LATER TONIGHT...WILL DEFER THE ISSUANCE OF
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY TO FUTURE SHIFTS IN BEING MORE ATTUNE TO
THIS AFTERNOON BETTER LL MIXING. SW`ERLIES ARE NOT AS STRONG AS
YESTERDAY`S RETURN SO...IF THEY DO DECOUPLE FOR A BRIEF TIME EARLY
TOMORROW MORNING...VISIBILITIES WILL QUICKLY CRATER MAINLY ACROSS
THOSE COUNTIES SURROUNDING GALVESTON BAY.

THE BEST OF BOTH WORLDS AS MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES GO FROM NEAR 80F
SATURDAY TO LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S SUNDAY. THE IMPETUS TO THIS LATEST
COLD AIR OUTBREAK WILL BE A SOUTHERN CANADIAN PLAINS AIR MASS THAT
DESCENDS DOWN OVER SE TX SUNDAY MORNING. THESE AIR MASSES TAKE ON
THEIR NEIGHBORING SURFACE CHARACTERISTICS. CURRENT TEMPERATURES
OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CANADIAN PLAINS ARE HOVERING AROUND 0 F (-10
TO -20 F TDS) WITH ANYWHERE TO 1/2 FOOT...UPWARDS TO A FOOT...OF
SNOW PACK. THUS...AS 1040-ISH MB HIGH COMES DOWN ALONG THE ROCKY
LEES TOMORROW...THIS MODIFIED COLD AIR MASS WILL KEEP OUR SUN/MON
MAXIMUMS IN THE 40S/MINIMUMS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MIDDLE 30S. QUITE
DRY...AS WELL...AS CURRENT FORECAST HAS OUR INTERIOR DEW POINTS
LOWERING INTO THE LOWER TEENS (NORTH) TO THE NEAR FREEZING AT THE
COAST.
THINGS COULD GET INTERESTING EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND THE THREAT
OF RECEIVING ANOTHER ROUND OF FREEZING RAIN IS BECOMING MORE OF A
REALITY. DID NOT MENTION IN FORECAST B/C THE 12Z RUNS HAVE BEEN
THE FIRST TO HINT AT THIS SCENARIO. 12Z GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS (WARM
MID-LEVELS AND FREEZING NEAR SURFACE)...ALONG WITH THE HIGHER
CONFIDENCE/RESOLUTION NAM12 FORECASTING SUB-FREEZING SFC TEMPS...
SUPPORT FREEZING RAIN AND WILL MENTION THE AFFECTED LOCATIONS IN
THE SATHWOHGX. THE AIR MASS WILL BE DRY...BUT THERE COULD BE ENOUGH
800-600MB LAYER MOISTURE (ADVECTING IN FROM WEST) TO INITIATE
PRECIPITATIVE PROCESSES. HIGHLY CONFIDENT THAT...IF ANY PRECIPITATION
DOES FALL THROUGH THIS SUB-FREEZING LOWER 5K FT COLUMN MONDAY
MORNING...WE WILL BE BACK IN FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MODE. STAY
TUNED!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=HGXAFDHGX

May get "interesting" after all

hoping for snow, but who knows.....stranger things have happen ala 2004.......

[CajunMama]

First day of winter and monday mornings low is forecasted to be 29. Welcome to winter!

[southerngale]

What a difference from yesterday!

Hard Freeze Warning

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1259 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS TODAY AND A HARD FREEZE TONIGHT...

.NORTH WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE
REGION OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. AS WINDS
DIMINISH TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET INTO THE LOWER 20S
ALONG AND NORTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 190.

LAZ027>033-TXZ180>182-201-220000-
/O.NEW.KLCH.HZ.W.0003.081222T0400Z-081222T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.LW.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T0000Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...WOODVILLE...
JASPER...NEWTON...LUMBERTON
1259 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM CST MONDAY. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

STRONG NORTH WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A ROBUST COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
SUSTAINED BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR...THE COASTAL
PRAIRIES...WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH THIS EVENING EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.
PERSONS DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST
ORIENTED HIGHWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED ROADWAYS SUCH AS
BRIDGES OR OVERPASSES...SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL AND
BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN WIND SPEED.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING BY AROUND 10 PM
BEFORE FALLING INTO THE LOWER 20S AFTER MIDNIGHT. ABOVE FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL ABOUT 11 AM MONDAY. BOTH THE
DURATION AND EXPECTED MINIMUM TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOWER 20S
MEANS THAT ANY EXPOSED OUTDOOR PIPES SHOULD BE WRAPPED. OUTDOOR
PETS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INTO A WARM SHELTER. ELDERLY RESIDENTS NEED
TO HAVE A WORKING HEATER AND A WARM PLACE TO STAY. BE ESPECIALLY
CAUTIOUS WHEN USING SPACE HEATERS. THEY CAN POSE A FIRE AND A
CARBON MONOXIDE HAZARD.

A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES DOWN TO THE MID 20 OR
BELOW ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL
CROPS AND SENSITIVE UNPROTECTED VEGETATION SUCH AS FRUIT TREES AND
POTTED PLANTS.

$$

Lake Wind Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1259 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

...STRONG AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS TODAY AND A HARD FREEZE TONIGHT...

.NORTH WINDS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE
REGION OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. AS WINDS
DIMINISH TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET INTO THE LOWER 20S
ALONG AND NORTH OF U.S. HIGHWAY 190.

LAZ027>033-TXZ180>182-201-220000-
/O.NEW.KLCH.HZ.W.0003.081222T0400Z-081222T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLCH.LW.Y.0037.000000T0000Z-081222T0000Z/
VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-
TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...
DERIDDER...OAKDALE...VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...WOODVILLE...
JASPER...NEWTON...LUMBERTON
1259 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM
CST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM CST MONDAY. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON.

STRONG NORTH WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A ROBUST COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE
SUSTAINED BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR...THE COASTAL
PRAIRIES...WILL BE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH THIS EVENING EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.
PERSONS DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES TRAVELING ON EAST TO WEST
ORIENTED HIGHWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED ROADWAYS SUCH AS
BRIDGES OR OVERPASSES...SHOULD KEEP A FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL AND
BE ALERT FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN WIND SPEED.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FREEZING BY AROUND 10 PM
BEFORE FALLING INTO THE LOWER 20S AFTER MIDNIGHT. ABOVE FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED UNTIL ABOUT 11 AM MONDAY. BOTH THE
DURATION AND EXPECTED MINIMUM TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE LOWER 20S
MEANS THAT ANY EXPOSED OUTDOOR PIPES SHOULD BE WRAPPED. OUTDOOR
PETS SHOULD BE BROUGHT INTO A WARM SHELTER. ELDERLY RESIDENTS NEED
TO HAVE A WORKING HEATER AND A WARM PLACE TO STAY. BE ESPECIALLY
CAUTIOUS WHEN USING SPACE HEATERS. THEY CAN POSE A FIRE AND A
CARBON MONOXIDE HAZARD.

A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS TEMPERATURES DOWN TO THE MID 20 OR
BELOW ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL
CROPS AND SENSITIVE UNPROTECTED VEGETATION SUCH AS FRUIT TREES AND
POTTED PLANTS.

$$

[LaBreeze]

Local met mentioned this evening that it was not out of the question that a sleet pellet or two, or even a flake or two could possibly fall this evening

[southerngale]

NWS mentions snow!!

Yeah, I know. It doesn't take much to get me excited and start staring into the sky.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
934 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

.UPDATE...
ARCTIC AIRMASS CONTINUES TO SETTLE INTO THE AREA THIS
EVENING...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS AREAWIDE. TEMPERATURES ARE
FALLING QUICKLY ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES...WITH MOST LOCATIONS ALREADY IN THE MID 30S. CLOUDY SKIES
AND STRONGER WINDS OVER SOUTHERN ZONES HAS KEPT TEMPS IN 40S SO
FAR.

MAIN ISSUE IS LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND JUST HOW COLD IT
WILL GET. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND VERY DRY AIRMASS OVER
NORTHERN ZONES LOW TO MID 20S FOR LOW TEMPS SEEMS REASONABLE AND
WILL CONTINUE WITH HARD FREEZE WARNINGS FOR THESE AREAS. CLOUD
COVER WILL PERSIST OVER SOUTHERN ZONES OVERNIGHT PER LATEST MODEL
TIME HEIGHT TRENDS BUT CONTINUED STRONG CAA SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO
FALL NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING IN THESE AREAS AS WELL.

RADAR CONTINUES TO SHOW SOME LIGHT ECHOES OVER SOUTHERN ZONES
INDICATIVE OF VIRGA. DESPITE THE VERY DRY LAYER OF AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE PER 00Z KLCH SOUNDING...SOME LIGHT PRECIP HAS MADE IT
THROUGH AS NOTED BY REPORT OF SLEET EARLIER NEAR LAFAYETTE. COULD
SEE SOME MORE REPORTS OF VERY LIGHT SLEET OR EVEN SNOW OVERNIGHT
AS COLD AIR DEEPENS BUT PRECIP IS NOT SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO
MENTION IN ZONES.

MADE OTHER ADJUSTMENTS TO GRIDS WITH UPDATE PRODUCTS OUT SHORTLY.


SHAMBURGER

[southerngale]

I guess I need to go find out what rime icing is.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1116 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2008

.AVIATION...
MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE CONTINUING TO ADVECT ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVE ALONG WITH STRONG NORTH WINDS AT SFC. CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RADAR IS INDICATING AREAS OF LIGHT
PRECIP FALLING ALONG A LINE FROM SOUTHERN HARDIN COUNTY INTO
LOUISIANA NEAR LAFAYETTE. A PILOT REPORT EARLIER THIS EVE
INDICATED SOME PRECIP WAS IN THE FORM OF RIME ICING.