AS IS USUALLY THE CASE HERE...TRICKY P-TYPE FCST...
LRGLY DEPENDENT ON DEPTH OF WRMG ABV SFC (ETA MR AGGRESSIVE THAN GFS)
AND HOW MUCH WRMG (IF ANY) CAN TAKE PLC FM ENE (OFF THE OCN)
Makes me think they are leaning to less ans less on WAA here....thoughs anyone?
SNIPPET FROM NWS WAKEFIELD
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- hurricanedude
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SNIPPET FROM NWS WAKEFIELD
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You would think that after all the cold weather we've had that the Ocean would be pretty chilly by now.
But, As I have said time after time after time concerning N VA:
A lot of different things have to come together just right for N VA to even see snow, let alone see major accumulations.
I sure wish for it, but between the strong WAA and oceanic air feedback issues, I am beginning to think that one of our local forecasters here in the DC area who said VA would see mainly a mix south of DC on Sunday into Monday may well turn out to be right.
However, it will still be very fun to watch that sleet fall Sunday night and pile up about 2 inches. Two inches of sleet and frzra may not sound like much to you, but when that stuff freezes (Like it did on Feb 9-10 1994), we will have a Glacier here in N VA that with all the arctic air here, WILL NEVER MELT.
-JEB
But, As I have said time after time after time concerning N VA:
A lot of different things have to come together just right for N VA to even see snow, let alone see major accumulations.
I sure wish for it, but between the strong WAA and oceanic air feedback issues, I am beginning to think that one of our local forecasters here in the DC area who said VA would see mainly a mix south of DC on Sunday into Monday may well turn out to be right.
However, it will still be very fun to watch that sleet fall Sunday night and pile up about 2 inches. Two inches of sleet and frzra may not sound like much to you, but when that stuff freezes (Like it did on Feb 9-10 1994), we will have a Glacier here in N VA that with all the arctic air here, WILL NEVER MELT.



-JEB
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