RESPONSE TO COLDFRONT FORECAST FOR WED-THURS(SNOW)

[Lehigh]

SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE AREA. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... WITH SEVERAL INCHES POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY MORNING'S COMMUTE. HIGHEST TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND... WASHINGTON DC... AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA. THIS IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE DEPENDING UPON TRACK OF THE STORM....

[JCT777]

I think the snow will extent up into southern New England, and the heaviest snow will be on the central and southern NJ coast - where up to 8 inches is possible.

[WXBUFFJIM]

Good morning. Looking at a few updates show a minimal winter storm, more likely winter weather advisory type snow amounts in north central Maryland Wednesday night into early Thursday am. 2-5 inches of snow is looking like a good bet. The latest 12z eta model shows snows extending from Pennsylvania and New Jersey down into north central Maryland as the clipper moves through just to our south. While this is looking to cause travel problems, this is not the worse snow in the world. Only problem is it will only serve to enhance the arctic air over the middle atlantic and into new england Thursday night into Friday. I would not be surprised to see sub zero lows in southern PA and near zero in north central Maryland with wind chills of 10-15 degrees below zero at times. This system looks to be a even stronger wind producer, thus the brutal wind chills in through here.

Here is a few graphics for you on the eta model and the gfs. Some changes indeed with a track a bit further south than previous runs, thus a snow accumulation here potentially Wednesday night-early Thursday am. I'll keep ya updated.

12Z or 7 am Eastern ETA

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_036s.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_042s.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_048s.gif

6Z or 2 am eastern GFS

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_048s.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_054s.gif

Seeya.

Jim Schuyler
weatherjas@hotmail.com