What GIves??

[chadtm80]

Everyone was calling for low to mid 70's for us all week. Now the low as they have it is 79.. What happend?

[Amanzi]

Chad.. as soon as we have a promising look for some lower temps in the forecast.. sure as God made little green apples the next day our promise for cooler weather has gone down the toilet!!!!!!!!!

Sux BIG time I really have had enough of this heat!

[Stormchaser16]

Chad first of all, mid 70's implies a range from 74-76 degrees, therefore 79 degrees is not that far off. Second of all, you live in Florida what do you expect?, it is uncommon for a major trough or front to drop your temperatures dramatically. The models usually overdo a trough far out, however by the time the mid to short range rolls around, there is a better grasp on the situation. And usually it leads to a less amplified pattern.

[Stormsfury]

Chad, I would have expected this kind of surge from the 850mb temperatures I saw several days ago ... with the southerly surge progged ahead (of what was originally supposed to be a closed 500mb low/NEG tilt trough). However, despite that the 500mb low won't close off and become NEG tilt, still I'm NOT surprised for Florida. What I AM surprised about it the amount of sunshine I'm getting here right now and I'm already 80º in CHS. But the colder air that was originally expected won't be as cold ... PACIFIC JET to blame.

SF

[JetMaxx]

Earlier in the week it appeared we'd be close to freezing (33-35°) in this area west of Atlanta by mid-week...now it looks more like 39-40° -- with a warming trend by Halloween.

[StormCrazyIowan]

Well, I was told I may see my first flakes, but they shot that out as well! You wanna trade? I'll come stay in your gorgeous 70's and you can have my chilly highs in the 40's and 50's, deal??

[chadtm80]

Chad first of all, mid 70's implies a range from 74-76 degrees, therefore 79 degrees is not that far off. Second of all, you live in Florida what do you expect?, it is uncommon for a major trough or front to drop your temperatures dramatically. The models usually overdo a trough far out, however by the time the mid to short range rolls around, there is a better grasp on the situation. And usually it leads to a less amplified pattern.

Yesturday they were calling for 72 - 75 all week.. Now we have ONE day of 79 then back in the 80s... so, that is what I expected

[StormCrazyIowan]

LOL, me thinks my temps are TOO cold for Chad!

[Josephine96]

I like the warm weather.. The chill bugs me lol

[ColdFront77]

Yes indeed, the forecast high temperatures for Tuesday were in the low 70's Wednesday and Thursday for central Florida. Now.....

(at least for northern Lake county)

Tonight. Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Monday. Partly cloudy. Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Monday night. Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Scattered evening thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tuesday. Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Rain chances were also reduced some, but at least thunderstorms are still in the forecast with this system.

[StormCrazyIowan]

Yeah, it gets to me when I am sick, and after a while I just want Spring! I think winter should end shortly after the New Year!! LOL

[Stormsfury]

Latest RUC 4 panel Precip-type indicates snowfall in the high elevations of Mexico SW of El Paso in the next few hours.

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.rucusptype.html

[Stormsfury]

Notice quite a COLD pool of air at the 850mb on the RUC South of the Rio Grande Valley ... interesting setup for this time of year ...

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.rucus850t.html