Possible Major East Coast Storm on the way next week

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

...EAST COAST/WRN ATLC...

RECENT MODEL RUNS AND ENSEMBLES SHOW A WIDE ARRAY OF POTENTIAL
SOLUTIONS WITH RESPECT TO EVOLUTION OF THE ERN CONUS TROF AND THE
RESULTING SFC REFLECTION/COASTAL LOW OVER THE WRN ATLC. AS OF
LATE DAY 5/MON THE ECMWF/UKMET/CANADIAN...AND TRENDS FROM THE 06
UTC GFS...ALL SUGGEST THAT MORE ENERGY WILL BE HANGING BACK ON THE
WRN SIDE OF THE TROF THAN FCST BY THE 00Z GFS OR EVEN MORE
PROGRESSIVE 06 UTC DGEX. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT YDAYS 18Z GFS
AND TO A GREATER EXTENT THE 12Z RUN HAD MORE AGGRESSIVE/SLOWER
SOLUTIONS. TODAYS 12 UTC GFS NOW DEVELOPS A POTENT CLOSED LOW
ALOFT OFF THE SE US COAST BY TUE...BUT IS NOT AS SLOW AS THE
ECMWF/CANADIAN. ALSO...THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS ARE FINALLY
TRENDING TOWARD THE SLOWER MODEL CLUSTER...WITH DAY 7 TIMING
SLOWER THAN THE 00Z GFS. PERSISTENT CORE OF POSITIVE ANOMALIES
JUST E OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WOULD FAVOR
A SLOWER/AMPLIFIED ERN TROF. HOWEVER THE SHAPE/LOCATION OF THE
TROF APPEARS MORE UNCERTAIN BY NEXT WED AS D+8 MEANS DIFFER WITH
EXTENT OF WEAKENING AND/OR EWD PROGRESSION OF THE POSITIVE ANOMALY
CENTER. FOR NOW PREFER TO MAINTAIN A FAIRLY SLOW PROGRESSION
GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR ENERGY TO BECOME CUT OFF FROM THE
WESTERLIES. BLENDING THE ECMWF WITH THE GFS MEAN PROVIDES A
SOLUTION THAT ACCOUNTS FOR UNCERTAIN SPECIFICS IN THE ECMWF AND
INCORPORATES SOME IDEAS OF HPC CONTINUITY.


Source: http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/pmdepd.html

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

I'm posting further Info about this system in the Talkin' Tropics forum, in the below thread:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=91265