Alex Advisories
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Mdecoy233 wrote:If that were too actually happen (very unlikely). I do believe that would be the first hurricane in history to go that far out and then come all the way back. Maybe I am wrong. I know Alberto a few years ago kept doing loops, but finally got kicked out to sea.
Hurricane Ginger in 1971 did it.
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TWC top story: "Cleaning up after Alex"......
I know that the people in NC got a pretty good show of what Alex could have done but, it didn't even come within 30 miles of the coast..... Sounds like they are kind of late for making it a top story........ That's my take on it....
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- wx247
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Well, there were clouds in and around Atlanta yesterday...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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ALEX is RACING AWAY!!!
...Alex beginning to weaken as it races east-northeastward...
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Hurricane Alex was located near
latitude 43.6 north...longitude 52.8 west or about 215 miles...345
km... south of Cape Race Newfoundland.
Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 45 mph
...72 km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours.
Alex has weakened to a category two hurricane...with maximum
sustained winds are near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours as
Alex moves over colder waters.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 345 miles...555 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb...28.64 inches.
Repeating the 5 PM AST position...43.6 N... 52.8 W. Movement
toward...east-northeast near 45 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 970 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 PM AST.
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Hurricane Alex was located near
latitude 43.6 north...longitude 52.8 west or about 215 miles...345
km... south of Cape Race Newfoundland.
Alex is moving toward the east-northeast near 45 mph
...72 km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours.
Alex has weakened to a category two hurricane...with maximum
sustained winds are near 105 mph...165 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 24 hours as
Alex moves over colder waters.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 345 miles...555 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb...28.64 inches.
Repeating the 5 PM AST position...43.6 N... 52.8 W. Movement
toward...east-northeast near 45 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 970 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 11 PM AST.
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This is getting a little, well... hard to fathom.
People. When a storm is very raggedly defined, like a tropical depression.. it cannot take racing westward (or eastward if you want to get hypothetical) 20 miles per hour. Saying, 'Um, but what about a storm which will quickly become extratropical moving over twenty miles per hour' is clearly missing the point.
Alex is a hurricane. You can see the center, its VERY evident. There is a LLC there and if not, we might as well forget forecasting the weather. But could you say absolutely there was a LLC with td2? Perhaps.. but was it very strong? Was it very defined from its surrounding environment? Nope, nope.. it wasn't defined much at all... certainly it wasn't below 1005 mb..
So a small weak, maybe system cannot take 20 mph. And soon you will see neither can Alex... not at that latitude. But even if by some crazy occurance Alex was moving 30mph through the Caribbean: it would still be a hurricane, and it is better stacked. The LLC would not be overrun I think, or it would at least be less hindered.
OK, I'm done. Lets see if I got something right in the above. =)
People. When a storm is very raggedly defined, like a tropical depression.. it cannot take racing westward (or eastward if you want to get hypothetical) 20 miles per hour. Saying, 'Um, but what about a storm which will quickly become extratropical moving over twenty miles per hour' is clearly missing the point.
Alex is a hurricane. You can see the center, its VERY evident. There is a LLC there and if not, we might as well forget forecasting the weather. But could you say absolutely there was a LLC with td2? Perhaps.. but was it very strong? Was it very defined from its surrounding environment? Nope, nope.. it wasn't defined much at all... certainly it wasn't below 1005 mb..
So a small weak, maybe system cannot take 20 mph. And soon you will see neither can Alex... not at that latitude. But even if by some crazy occurance Alex was moving 30mph through the Caribbean: it would still be a hurricane, and it is better stacked. The LLC would not be overrun I think, or it would at least be less hindered.
OK, I'm done. Lets see if I got something right in the above. =)
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