NDG wrote:Fairly strong narrow mid level ridging across the gulf coast this evening from the 0z sounding, in fact the narrow ridging extends from the Atlantic near Bermuda all the way to the eastern Pacific, TD 9 cannot gain that much latitude overall, the trough across the northern Plains is just going to keep up moving ENE and not dig southward to weaken the ridge.
http://i20.photobucket.com/albums/b245/ ... e0e9c6.gif
Yup. The main thing that will change the landfall point is a center relocation. It just doesn't appear likely that this can keep going northwest, at least right now, since I agree there's no big weakness in that ridge and none expected. Just a slight weakness that a stronger storm would slightly turn into. We will see what the 500mb heights do tomorrow.