Macrocane wrote:Could Sean become a hurricane? My personal opinion is no, but we've had systems reaching or maintaining hurricane strength farther north than normal this season (Maria, Ophelia, Katia) so I won't say it's impossible.
They dont discount it now. From 11 AM AST discussion.
SEAN HAS ABOUT 24 TO 36
HOURS OF RELATIVELY LOW SHEAR CONDITIONS...WHICH WOULD SEEM TO
FAVOR SOME INTENSIFICATION. MODEL GUIDANCE IS A BIT HIGHER...AND
THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST IS RAISED FROM THE LAST ONE...
BETWEEN THE STATISTICAL MODELS AND THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST MIGHT BE CONSERVATIVE IF A CENTRAL CORE BECOMES
WELL ESTABLISHED.