#9 Postby cycloneye » Thu Feb 01, 2024 7:12 am
Bye.
RESIDUAL DEPRESSION number 5
Maximum winds (averaged over 10 minutes) estimated at sea: 55 km/h.
Maximum gusts estimated at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at center: 1004 hPa.
Position on February 1 at 10 a.m. local: 18.8 South / 66.0 East.
Distance from the Reunion coast: 1085 km to sector: EAST
Distance from Mayotte: 2320 km to sector: EAST-SOUTH-EAST
Movement: NORTH-WEST, at 11 km/h.
System information:
- System n°05-20232024 which is currently enduring unfavorable environmental conditions for its development has been downgraded to the residual depression stage.
- Since yesterday evening, the system has had a weak and erratic movement and has started to turn back towards the north-northwest. This trajectory is temporary, because it should return a little later on a trajectory towards the east this evening then south-east tomorrow, to plunge definitively and more quickly towards the southern latitudes. In this context, this weak low pressure system should begin to lose its tropical characteristics beyond the next 36 hours and end its extratropicalization phase after the next 72 hours.
- In this trajectory forecast, the meteor therefore remains to the northeast of Rodrigues Island, more than 270 km from the coast.
- Thunderstorm activity within this system has weakened and remains contained to the east of the system. Rodrigues should therefore not be affected by a significant deterioration in the weather. Only the sea state could deteriorate to reach 4 to 4.5 meters between Thursday afternoon and Friday morning.
- No impact is expected for Mauritius and Reunion Island.
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