ATL: MARGOT - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
No change.
AL, 14, 2023090812, , BEST, 0, 177N, 318W, 35, 1005, TS
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Sciencerocks
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
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ElectricStorm
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
This looks awful right now. Center is exposed now and it's getting blasted by shear. Should have a better chance at intensification further north so a hurricane can't be ruled out but it's certainly got its work cut out for it.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Remains as a storm.
AL, 14, 2023090818, , BEST, 0, 185N, 336W, 35, 1005, TS
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WalterWhite
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
ElectricStorm wrote:This looks awful right now. Center is exposed now and it's getting blasted by shear. Should have a better chance at intensification further north so a hurricane can't be ruled out but it's certainly got its work cut out for it.
It appears as if, with the exception of Lee, the MDR has been unfavorable in terms of intensification. The subtropics appear to be more favorable than the MDR, which is what you should expect for an El Niño year.
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Sciencerocks
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
The hurricane models have been very consistent about Margot starting to improve and intensify tomorrow, so it should become a lot more interesting soon. Decent chance we get a relatively high latitude major out of this.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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Sciencerocks
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Sciencerocks
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Up to 45kt.
AL, 14, 2023091000, , BEST, 0, 213N, 390W, 45, 1000, TS
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Sciencerocks
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Sciencerocks
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looking a lot better today. While it’s still sheared, convection is attempting to wrap down shear and is in general more organized than the last few days. We should see a hurricane in a few days, maybe even a major this week if Margot gets lucky.
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: MARGOT - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Up to 55 kt.
AL, 14, 2023091018, , BEST, 0, 235N, 401W, 55, 996, TS
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Sciencerocks
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