WPAC: KOINU - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#41 Postby doomhaMwx » Mon Oct 02, 2023 8:41 pm

Increasing shear has significantly disrupted the inner core.

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#42 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 03, 2023 11:00 am

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#43 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Oct 03, 2023 11:42 am

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#44 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Oct 03, 2023 4:08 pm

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#45 Postby sikkar » Tue Oct 03, 2023 5:28 pm

Looks like it's deepening on radar...
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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#46 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Oct 03, 2023 5:57 pm

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#47 Postby doomhaMwx » Tue Oct 03, 2023 9:47 pm

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#48 Postby dexterlabio » Tue Oct 03, 2023 11:57 pm



Bad news for Taiwan. But quite a bit of good news for the storm chasers who went to Taiwan to chase Koinu. Josh, for one, is known to chase only the significant cyclones but he decided to chase Koinu even though it looked like shear would limit Koinu's intensity to <Cat 2. It seems that he just misses the thrill of flying out to chase a storm on the other side of the world. But now that Koinu is looking unexpectedly intense, he's in for a treat.
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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#49 Postby doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 04, 2023 1:04 am

The NTU-2 buoy off the SE coast of Taiwan is about to enter the eye of Koinu. Pressure is 962.08 mb as of 1pm TST (05Z).

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#50 Postby doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 04, 2023 3:12 am

Min pressure recorded by the NTU-2 buoy was about 944 mb at the edge of the eyewall (the actual buoy position is slightly south than I thought).

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 https://twitter.com/CyanideCN_/status/1709475277620040050


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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#51 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 04, 2023 7:26 am

Getting closer to the southern tip of Taiwan.

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#52 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Oct 04, 2023 7:59 am

Gust in Lanyu has reached 64.7 m/s
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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#53 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:14 am

mrbagyo wrote:Gust in Lanyu has reached 64.7 m/s


gust got even stronger at 74.9 m/s. Crazy

 https://twitter.com/yangyubin1998/status/1709553143913357412


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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#54 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Oct 04, 2023 8:51 am

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#55 Postby Hurricane2022 » Wed Oct 04, 2023 9:06 am

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Landfall!
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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#56 Postby doomhaMwx » Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:00 am

Very impressive wind observations from Lanyu Island:

47.6 m/s (93kt) sustained gusting to 95.2 m/s (185kt) at 324 MASL.
55.2 m/s (107kt) sustained gusting to 77.6 m/s (151kt) at 27 MASL.

 https://twitter.com/yangyubin1998/status/1709577919247650852



 https://twitter.com/yangyubin1998/status/1709572520146526531


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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#57 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:01 am

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#58 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:06 am

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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#59 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:07 am

pressure at the main station of Lanyu Island dropped to a minimum of 900.3 hPa at 22:40
That translates to sea level pressure between 933 and 934 hPa.

Pressure suddenly jumped by 8 hPa as it enters the Eye - that suggests that the minimum pressure is likely caused by a mesovortex

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Last edited by mrbagyo on Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:22 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: KOINU - Typhoon

#60 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Oct 04, 2023 10:12 am

I am going to estimate 125 knots for intensity...If deeper convection can continue to wrap around the eye and the eye can warm this has a chance to possibly strengthen to 130-135knots.
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