WPAC: DOKSURI - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#201 Postby Hurricane2022 » Thu Jul 27, 2023 10:06 am

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#202 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 10:23 am

Xiamen Radar animation (6 minute interval)

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#203 Postby doomhaMwx » Thu Jul 27, 2023 10:52 am

Textbook EWRC

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#204 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 10:54 am

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Whew, will it pass over the buoy?
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#205 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 10:58 am

CMA now has Doksuri at Super typhoon level with winds of force level 17 at 58 m/s (209 kph) - with estimated central pressure at 925 hPa
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#206 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jul 27, 2023 11:24 am

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#207 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 11:40 am

0000 CST (16 UTC)

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#208 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 11:55 am

Channel 2 Buoy - 935.8hPa as of 0040 CST. Whoa

 https://twitter.com/CharlieFurWx/status/1684608039972990976


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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#209 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:02 pm

Last edited by mrbagyo on Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#210 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:07 pm

Zhangzhou radar animation
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#211 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:17 pm

Between satellite and buoy pressure I'd say 125 knots.
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#212 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:21 pm

Surface pressure estimates of different agencies at the time of Doksuri's passage over a buoy - 930.9 hPa.

JTWC - 05W DOKSURI 230727 1200 21.8N 119.2E WPAC 105 943
JMA - 955 hPa / 80 knots
CMA - 925
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#213 Postby doomhaMwx » Thu Jul 27, 2023 12:58 pm

The buoy recorded max 10-min sustained winds of 49 m/s (95kts), corresponding to 100kts in 1-min using a conversion factor of 1.05, but the actual intensity would be higher when considering the forward speed and anemometer height (which I assume is near the standard 10m).

 https://twitter.com/yangyubin1998/status/1684614873458888704


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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#214 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 27, 2023 1:55 pm

05W DOKSURI 230727 1800 22.9N 118.9E WPAC 105 942
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#215 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:07 pm

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#216 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jul 27, 2023 6:33 pm

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#217 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Jul 27, 2023 7:48 pm

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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#218 Postby doomhaMwx » Thu Jul 27, 2023 8:29 pm

About to make landfall.

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05W DOKSURI 230728 0000 24.0N 118.7E WPAC 95 940

T2305(Doksuri)
Issued at 2023/07/28 00:45 UTC
Analysis at 07/28 00 UTC
Grade TY
Scale Large
Intensity -
Center position N24°10′ (24.2°)
E118°50′ (118.8°)
Direction and speed of movement N 20 km/h (12 kt)
Central pressure 955 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
Radius of 50-kt wind area 110 km (60 NM)
Radius of 30-kt wind area NE800 km (425 NM)
SW500 km (270 NM)

ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 280000 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
SuperTY DOKSURI 2305 (2305) INITIAL TIME 280000 UTC
00HR 24.1N 118.8E 935HPA 52M/S
30KTS WINDS 200KM NORTHEAST
170KM SOUTHEAST
160KM SOUTHWEST
120KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 80KM NORTHEAST
80KM SOUTHEAST
80KM SOUTHWEST
80KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST
40KM SOUTHEAST
40KM SOUTHWEST
40KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NNW 24KM/H
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#219 Postby doomhaMwx » Thu Jul 27, 2023 9:26 pm

CMA has announced landfall.
ZCZC
WHCI40 BABJ 280200
STY 2305 (2305) DOKSURI LANDED ON JINJIANG FUJIAN PROVINCE
280155GMT (50m/s)
NNNN

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Image

 https://twitter.com/squirtleinhk/status/1684744197855686656


Last edited by doomhaMwx on Thu Jul 27, 2023 9:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC: DOKSURI - Typhoon

#220 Postby Foxfires » Thu Jul 27, 2023 9:35 pm



My guess is that they simply weren't aware of the data. Chances are they'll revise it later or in post analysis.
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