tomatkins wrote:Of the stall could happen a little further north just off shore and make things that much worse.
Maybe, but no indicators of that yet.
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tomatkins wrote:Of the stall could happen a little further north just off shore and make things that much worse.
PavelGaborik10 wrote:Euro East again, it's literally flip flopped with the GFS at this point.
Seems to really slow down as it nears land, unlikely the GFS/ICON who have it stalling, doing a loop offshore and burning out it's energy.
Going to be a close call, if we see another couple of ticks E Teddy could very well still go out to sea as well.
northjaxpro wrote:PavelGaborik10 wrote:Euro East again, it's literally flip flopped with the GFS at this point.
Seems to really slow down as it nears land, unlikely the GFS/ICON who have it stalling, doing a loop offshore and burning out it's energy.
Going to be a close call, if we see another couple of ticks E Teddy could very well still go out to sea as well.
Latest UKMET still has Teddy meandering just near the vicinity of Nova Scotia in 144 hrs @ 988 mb.
PavelGaborik10 wrote:northjaxpro wrote:PavelGaborik10 wrote:Euro East again, it's literally flip flopped with the GFS at this point.
Seems to really slow down as it nears land, unlikely the GFS/ICON who have it stalling, doing a loop offshore and burning out it's energy.
Going to be a close call, if we see another couple of ticks E Teddy could very well still go out to sea as well.
Latest UKMET still has Teddy meandering just near the vicinity of Nova Scotia in 144 hrs @ 988 mb.
Starting to get the impression Teddy will just be a typical moderate Nor' Easter for us here now. I was beginning to grow concerned but the trend from models is slower, weaker and further East.
Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:PavelGaborik10 wrote:northjaxpro wrote:
Latest UKMET still has Teddy meandering just near the vicinity of Nova Scotia in 144 hrs @ 988 mb.
Starting to get the impression Teddy will just be a typical moderate Nor' Easter for us here now. I was beginning to grow concerned but the trend from models is slower, weaker and further East.
I wouldn't lower my guard. Model runs can be all over the place. The NHC track and impact graphics are far more accurate with these storms than is any model.
PavelGaborik10 wrote:Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:PavelGaborik10 wrote:
Starting to get the impression Teddy will just be a typical moderate Nor' Easter for us here now. I was beginning to grow concerned but the trend from models is slower, weaker and further East.
I wouldn't lower my guard. Model runs can be all over the place. The NHC track and impact graphics are far more accurate with these storms than is any model.
To be fair the NHC has also lowered the intensity and now has it landfalling as an extratropical storm with winds of 65 MPH.
Eastern Nova Scotia/Newfoundland get ashed by storms stronger than that seemingly every winter. Unless things really change over the next day or two Teddy is likely to be moving too slow to be much stronger than that.
cheezyWXguy wrote:For what it’s worth, the 18z para and 18z icon have shifted slightly west. Same with 12z CMC and euro. 18z gfs is largely unchanged from 12z, 18z HWRF and HMON are largely the same as well, although the HWRF is a little more perpendicular at landfall. We’ll see what 0z says. So far, doesn’t look like the worst storm that’s hit the area, but far from a non-event
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