ATL: EIGHT - Remnants - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

Satellite gives the appearance that it is drifting south. Is that correct?

It looks to me as if it is moving, it is a very slow drift, or may be nearly stationary at this time. Shear is still occurring due to an ULL just to the northwest of 91L, which I pointed out above. Shear does not appear to be very disruptive right now, given the decent structure of the system at this time. Good outflow with 91L except the extreme northwest side right now.

[northjaxpro]

Check out the hot tower which has blossomed on 91L on the very last visible imagery tonight

[cycloneye]

An area of disturbed weather, associated with a broad area of low
pressure, has formed a couple of hundred miles south of Bermuda.
Little motion is anticipated during the next two days, and a
slow westward heading should begin thereafter. Development of
this system, if any, is likely to be slow to occur due to this
system's proximity to dry air.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

[northjaxpro]

Yeah, 91L in the short term has an uphill battle with shear, and then with the dry air to the north and northwest of the system. But, if it can survive the next couple of days, 91L may develop further west if it tracks toward the Mid Atlantic coast.

[hurricanedude]

Since this is an east coast threat.....there will be way less comments than the gulf or Florida threats.

[NJWxHurricane]

Since this is an east coast threat.....there will be way less comments than the gulf or Florida threats.

Most likely.

[chaser1]

Since this is an east coast threat.....there will be way less comments than the gulf or Florida threats.

Looking at the sat pic ( http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... 0-lalo.gif ) there will be less comments than the Gulf and Florida threat because 91L looks about as formidable as "yak dung" (oh wait, i'm looking at 99L.... never mind )

[Alyono]

I'm seeing a well defined closed circulation with some convection. Low level winds also look somewhat favorable

[Blinhart]

Since this is an east coast threat.....there will be way less comments than the gulf or Florida threats.

And who said this was an East Coast threat??? I could see it being a Bermuda threat, EC threat, a Florida threat, or no threat at all, haven't seen any models supporting this yet.

[AutoPenalti]

There's no models but something tells me this may be Joaquin 2.0.

[Alyono]

There's no models but something tells me this may be Joaquin 2.0.

Models never picked up on Joaquin until 12-24 hours after genesis

[bamajammer4eva]

sorry for OT but Where was 90L?? Did I sleep through it??

[AJC3]

sorry for OT but Where was 90L?? Did I sleep through it??

Invest 90L became Gaston. It became an Invest on the 20th, 2 days after 99L.

[Hammy]

Is it me or does this look like it's already a TD?

[Alyono]

Is it me or does this look like it's already a TD?

wouldn't be surprised if it were not already a TS

[StormHunter72]

Is it me or does this look like it's already a TD?

wouldn't be surprised if it were not already a TS

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

yep

[OuterBanker]

Surprise, surprise, surprise! Where is Jim Neighbors when you need him.

Simply warching the local news this am and 91l was mentioned. Not sure where they got the models but they all showed a NC landfall.

Certainly not going to amount to much, but it's structure looks better than 99l.

Don't see it on latest GFS or EURO. Odd, because it's fairly obvious.

Is this the ts formely known as Fiona reformed. Will this be Hermine if it forms first?

Stay tuned for as the storm turns.

What a weird season.

[drezee]

91L may beat 99L to getting classified...

[HurricaneBelle]

06Z HWRF takes this close to the NC Coast as a TS before going NE out to sea.

[Alyono]

Think NHC is relying too much on the models like they did Joaquin

I'll say this has already developed into a depression. Chances should be a LOT higher than 30%