#110 Postby LarryWx » Mon Oct 19, 2015 1:15 pm
^For the next 48 hours, the NHC is still following model guidance, which shows a persistent very slow moving weak low that doesn't become a TC, and going with near 0% for that period. I think this is in reality likely at least 10-20% and quite possibly near 30%, which would still mean 70% chance of no development. Perhaps this will be added in the postseason as a TD+ in the WC IF it actually does strengthen into one by tomorrow. It still looks pretty good to me.
Other opinions?
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