WHXX01 KWBC 171246
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1246 UTC SUN NOV 17 2013
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL982013) 20131117 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
131117 1200 131118 0000 131118 1200 131119 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 23.5N 52.5W 25.5N 52.2W 28.1N 52.1W 31.1N 53.3W
BAMD 23.5N 52.5W 26.2N 51.7W 29.8N 53.2W 31.9N 55.9W
BAMM 23.5N 52.5W 25.6N 51.9W 28.8N 52.5W 31.3N 54.5W
LBAR 23.5N 52.5W 25.1N 52.0W 27.8N 52.1W 30.8N 52.9W
SHIP 35KTS 44KTS 57KTS 70KTS
DSHP 35KTS 44KTS 57KTS 70KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
131119 1200 131120 1200 131121 1200 131122 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 33.1N 55.3W 35.4N 50.8W 40.4N 36.0W 45.0N 27.2W
BAMD 32.2N 57.5W 34.2N 50.5W 41.6N 35.4W 45.6N 24.1W
BAMM 32.4N 56.4W 35.0N 50.1W 41.5N 35.1W 46.1N 25.9W
LBAR 33.9N 52.8W 42.2N 45.0W 45.3N 33.1W 0.0N 0.0W
SHIP 78KTS 87KTS 84KTS 71KTS
DSHP 78KTS 87KTS 84KTS 71KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.5N LONCUR = 52.5W DIRCUR = 355DEG SPDCUR = 1KT
LATM12 = 23.8N LONM12 = 52.3W DIRM12 = 326DEG SPDM12 = 2KT
LATM24 = 23.3N LONM24 = 52.8W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 150NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 400NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 200NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 200NM
ATL: MELISSA - Models
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- cycloneye
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ATL: MELISSA - Models
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
84 and 87 knots?!!! Could this near major status and become our strongest system of 2013 and one of, if not, THE latest hurricane of this strength in this basin?!
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PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
- Hurricane Alexis
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
hurricanes1234 wrote:84 and 87 knots?!!! Could this near major status and become our strongest system of 2013 and one of, if not, THE latest hurricane of this strength in this basin?!
If SHIPS were right we should've had about 4 majors this year.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- TheStormExpert
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SHIPS has done poorly all season, especially with the Cape Verde storms like Chantal and Dorian.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 98L - Models
I still think it has a shot at hurricane strength. But you're right, probably just 75 mph if anything.
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PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
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