ATL: OSCAR - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139498
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
First plots go away from Caribbean to the fishes.
Code: Select all
598
WHXX01 KWBC 302327
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2327 UTC SUN SEP 30 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962012) 20120930 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120930 1800 121001 0600 121001 1800 121002 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 9.9N 29.0W 10.1N 30.4W 10.9N 32.0W 12.0N 33.9W
BAMD 9.9N 29.0W 10.4N 30.6W 11.3N 32.1W 12.5N 33.6W
BAMM 9.9N 29.0W 10.3N 30.7W 11.1N 32.4W 12.1N 34.1W
LBAR 9.9N 29.0W 10.3N 31.1W 11.3N 33.5W 12.4N 35.9W
SHIP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS
DSHP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
121002 1800 121003 1800 121004 1800 121005 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.2N 36.0W 16.5N 40.5W 19.7N 42.8W 22.6N 38.6W
BAMD 14.0N 35.0W 17.1N 37.7W 20.4N 37.1W 25.6N 28.6W
BAMM 13.3N 35.8W 15.9N 39.2W 18.9N 40.8W 23.1N 35.6W
LBAR 13.7N 38.3W 15.6N 42.5W 17.0N 45.0W 19.2N 44.0W
SHIP 38KTS 47KTS 50KTS 48KTS
DSHP 38KTS 47KTS 50KTS 48KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.9N LONCUR = 29.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 9.7N LONM12 = 27.0W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 9.5N LONM24 = 25.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139498
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
00z plots.
Code: Select all
WHXX01 KWBC 010029
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0029 UTC MON OCT 1 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962012) 20121001 0000 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
121001 0000 121001 1200 121002 0000 121002 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 10.0N 30.0W 10.4N 31.7W 11.5N 33.5W 12.6N 35.5W
BAMD 10.0N 30.0W 10.5N 31.9W 11.5N 33.5W 12.7N 35.1W
BAMM 10.0N 30.0W 10.6N 31.9W 11.6N 33.8W 12.8N 35.6W
LBAR 10.0N 30.0W 10.6N 32.1W 11.6N 34.4W 12.7N 36.8W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 42KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 36KTS 42KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
121003 0000 121004 0000 121005 0000 121006 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 14.0N 37.8W 17.0N 42.1W 19.4N 44.1W 21.3N 40.9W
BAMD 14.1N 36.4W 16.8N 38.7W 19.1N 38.3W 22.0N 32.7W
BAMM 14.1N 37.3W 16.9N 40.4W 19.7N 41.1W 22.9N 36.0W
LBAR 13.9N 39.2W 15.6N 43.5W 16.9N 45.7W 19.3N 44.4W
SHIP 47KTS 54KTS 53KTS 52KTS
DSHP 47KTS 54KTS 53KTS 52KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.0N LONCUR = 30.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 9.8N LONM12 = 28.0W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 10KT
LATM24 = 9.6N LONM24 = 26.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139498
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
The 00z ECMWF develops 96L into a TD/weak Tropical Storm in 96 hours.
GFS develops 96L in 72 hours.
GFS develops 96L in 72 hours.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 33
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139498
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
The 12z runs of GFS and ECMWF continue to develop 96L into a TD/weak Tropical Storm in a recurving track.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139498
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models
The updated 18z plots has SHIP going very bullish now.
Code: Select all
WHXX01 KWBC 012159
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2159 UTC MON OCT 1 2012
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962012) 20121001 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
121001 1800 121002 0600 121002 1800 121003 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 36.8W 11.6N 38.5W 12.6N 40.1W
BAMD 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 36.7W 11.5N 38.3W 12.3N 39.7W
BAMM 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 36.8W 11.6N 38.5W 12.7N 39.9W
LBAR 9.8N 35.0W 10.6N 37.5W 11.6N 40.2W 12.5N 42.8W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 39KTS 50KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 39KTS 50KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
121003 1800 121004 1800 121005 1800 121006 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.7N 41.4W 16.5N 42.9W 21.0N 37.8W 27.8N 25.7W
BAMD 13.0N 40.8W 14.2N 42.3W 16.2N 41.6W 17.6N 40.8W
BAMM 13.6N 41.1W 15.9N 42.1W 19.8N 37.1W 24.7N 26.1W
LBAR 13.6N 45.4W 15.5N 48.7W 18.5N 49.1W 21.9N 46.0W
SHIP 61KTS 78KTS 90KTS 99KTS
DSHP 61KTS 78KTS 90KTS 99KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.8N LONCUR = 35.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 9.6N LONM12 = 32.0W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 9.5N LONM24 = 28.8W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 120NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests