ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

[crownweather]

Low pressure system in northernmost Gulf of Mexico has been designated Invest 90L. Discuss.

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invest_al902012.invest
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201209050953
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INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 90, 2012, DB, O, 2012090506, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL902012
AL, 90, 2012090418, , BEST, 0, 336N, 874W, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2012090500, , BEST, 0, 322N, 877W, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 90, 2012090506, , BEST, 0, 307N, 879W, 20, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 150, 0, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

[N2FSU]

Nice call Rob. How organized do you think it can become? I have been following your discussions on Facebook.

[N2FSU]

I just caught your morning discussion. Thanks!

[cycloneye]

In case anyone missed last night's Facebook message by NHC about which name this will be if it develops,here it is.

Our view is that while this disturbance has some association with Isaac, the primary remnant of Isaac was a separate decaying circulation to the north of this one. Therefore, should this disturbance develop into a tropical cyclone it would get a new name.

[northjaxpro]

Conditions look marginally conducive for 90L to spin-up to a TD or possibly a TS in the next 48 hours. Shear may pick up some this weekend as a significant trough dropping down southeast from Canada wil bring a cold front down to pick up 90L. Another significant rainmaker in store for the weekend for areas in Florida and potentially up the East Coast depending on the ultimate track this tropical entity takes when the trough grabs it.


__________________

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast. They are just the opinion of this poster. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[superstareporter]

Look at the little circulation on this incredibly cool map! I am just in awe with who ever developed this concept for mapping the surface winds.
http://hint.fm/wind/

[cycloneye]

8 AM TWO:

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ALONG THE COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
LATER TODAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR
SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD
TO SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[LSU2001]

Here in lower Lafourche Parish we have west wind about 10-15 mph with lots of low scud clouds moving to the east. It sure looks like there is a definite surface circulation to our east. As 90L continues to drift south I would expect the winds to turn out of the east so I guess we will just have to wait and see.
Tim







Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Dean4Storms]

1009mb and a dead calm wind here in Destin now. I think this makes a run at a weak TS, we'll see!

[Dean4Storms]

If radar is pretty much indicative of the Low then it does look like it's right on top of me.


http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... X&loop=yes

[Dean4Storms]

Scroll down to my weather sites graph and you can see how my winds here have just gone downhill....

Looks like the center passed to my south just after 5am!

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KFLMIRAM6

[tolakram]

Scroll down to my weather sites graph and you can see how my winds here have just gone downhill....

Looks like the center passed to my south just after 5am!

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KFLMIRAM6

As of the 8am weather reports the center still appears to be in the panhandle of Florida.

http://hint.fm/wind/

For those stuck with a slow browser who can't view that map:

[AnnularCane]

It's gray and overcast here and looks like it's going to rain any minute, but according to radar everything is moving away from me.

[OuterBanker]

Will this be called storm formely known as Isaac?

Ghost of Beryl past in track I think

[rainstorm]

it would get a different name according to the NHC.

[CrazyC83]

AL, 90, 2012090512, , BEST, 0, 307N, 864W, 25, 1010, LO

Status change: DB to LO

[micktooth]

AL, 90, 2012090512, , BEST, 0, 307N, 864W, 25, 1010, LO

Status change: DB to LO

Can you please explain what "DB" and "LO" mean? Thanks!

[CrazyC83]

AL, 90, 2012090512, , BEST, 0, 307N, 864W, 25, 1010, LO

Status change: DB to LO

Can you please explain what "DB" and "LO" mean? Thanks!

Disturbance and Low (means now there is a weak circulation)

[Aric Dunn]

This does have a pretty decent chance to develop and depending on how quickly it can develop once it moves offshore/reforms later today will give it a better chance to strengthen. nearly all guidance keeps it well offshore for 3 to in some cases 4 days plenty of time be come a TS and cant even rule out a minimal hurricane. shear looks to be on the low to medium side.

[petit_bois]

Strong thunderstorms moved from north to south last night... looks like they
are rallying and forming this. Obviously the ground is VERY saturated throughout
the entire region.