SPAC: YASI (14U /11P) - Severe Tropical Cyclone

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#401 Postby btangy » Wed Feb 02, 2011 11:59 am

Worried about Cardwell. They were in the southern part of the eyewall and given the shape of the coast, movement of Yasi, and the layout of the town, the entire town was probably inundated by surge. The population of that town is 1,250 according to Wikipedia, so hopefully everyone got out before the storm hit.
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#402 Postby Chacor » Wed Feb 02, 2011 12:03 pm

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area from Cooktown to Proserpine and inland to
the Northern Territory border are requested to USE the Standard Emergency
Warning Signal before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 27
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 2:58am EST on Thursday the 3rd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cooktown to
Proserpine, extending west across the tropical interior to the Northern
Territory border.

The Cyclone Warning is cancelled between Cape Flattery and Cooktown.

At 3:00 am EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 4 was estimated to be 140
kilometres south southwest of Cairns and 95 kilometres southwest of Innisfail
and moving west southwest at 33 kilometres per hour.

YASI IS MOVING INLAND FROM TULLY BUT REMAINS A DANGEROUS CYCLONE.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 4, will weaken as it continues to move in a
west-southwesterly direction towards the Georgetown area during the morning.

HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES and large waves will continue between Innisfail and
Bowen and sea levels may again exceed the high water mark on the morning high
tide.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts up to 260 km/h between Cairns and Ingham and
the adjacent ranges will extend inland and weaken.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h between Cairns and Ayr will
spread inland overnight.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal areas
between Cooktown and Proserpine, and are forecast to extend through to Mt Isa
during the day.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during the morning.

FLOODING RAINS between Cairns and Proserpine will gradually extend inland.

FLOOD WARNINGS are current for a number of rivers between Cairns and Mackay.


People in the path of the very dangerous cyclone should stay calm and remain in
a secure shelter, above the expected water level, while the very destructive
winds continue.
- Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone; very
destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time.
- Follow the evacuation advice or directions of Police, Emergency Services
personnel and local authorities.

People in remaining areas between Coktown and Proserpine and extending west
across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border, should complete
preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 3:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 18.1 degrees South 145.4 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 33 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 260 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 4
.Central pressure......... 941 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 4:00 am EST Thursday 03 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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#403 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Feb 02, 2011 12:29 pm

Image

eye disappearing
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Re:

#404 Postby Chacor » Wed Feb 02, 2011 12:32 pm

0300 local time:

Coastal:
Cairns 26G32 kt Q989.6
Lucinda 65G84 kt Q983.7
Townsville 45G54 kt Q994.6
Alva Beach 34G40 kt Q999.7

Inland:
Georgetown 20G27 kt Q991.2
Hughenden 19G29 kt Q1001.6
Richmond 20G27 kt Q1001.2
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#405 Postby Chacor » Wed Feb 02, 2011 12:34 pm

Lucinda has now reported sustained storm-force winds or higher since 11:16 pm local time.
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#406 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Feb 02, 2011 12:42 pm

Image

at landfall
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Re: Re:

#407 Postby Chacor » Wed Feb 02, 2011 12:58 pm

0330 local time:

Coastal:
Cairns 26G32 kt Q991.3 (winds steady, pressure increasing)
Lucinda 61G78 kt Q985.5 (winds decreasing, pressure increasing)
Townsville 44G53 kt Q994.6 (winds and pressure steady)

Inland:
Georgetown 19G30 kt Q992.0 (winds steady, gusts increasing, pressure steady)
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#408 Postby Chacor » Wed Feb 02, 2011 1:04 pm

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area from Cooktown to Proserpine and inland to
Richmond and Croydon are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal
before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 28
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 3:54am EST on Thursday the 3rd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cooktown to
Proserpine, extending west across the tropical interior to the Northern
Territory border.

The Cyclone Warning is cancelled between Cape Flattery and Cooktown.

At 4:00 am EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 4 was estimated to be 165
kilometres south southwest of Cairns and 100 kilometres west of Cardwell and
moving west southwest at 34 kilometres per hour.

YASI IS MOVING INLAND AND WEAKENING SLOWLY, BUT REMAINS A DANGEROUS CYCLONE.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 4, will weaken as it continues to move in
a west-southwesterly direction towards the Georgetown area during the morning.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core, with gusts up to 230 km/h, is continuing to move
inland west of Cardwell.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h are occurring between
Innisfail and Townsville and extending inland.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts above 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal
areas between Cooktown and Proserpine, and are forecast to extend through to Mt
Isa during the day.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during the morning.

HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES and large waves will continue between Innisfail and
Bowen and sea levels may again exceed the high water mark on the the morning
high tide.

FLOODING RAINS between Cairns and Proserpine will gradually extend inland.

FLOOD WARNINGS are current for a number of rivers between Cairns and Mackay.

People in the path of the very dangerous cyclone should stay calm and remain in
a secure shelter while the very destructive winds continue.
- Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone; very
destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time.
- Follow the evacuation advice or directions of Police, Emergency Services
personnel and local authorities.

People in remaining areas between Cooktown and Proserpine and extending west
across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border, should complete
preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 18.2 degrees South 145.1 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 34 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 230 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 4
.Central pressure......... 950 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 5:00 am EST Thursday 03 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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#409 Postby Chacor » Wed Feb 02, 2011 1:05 pm

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Re: SPAC: YASI (14U /11P) - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#410 Postby JTE50 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 1:43 pm

Storm Hunters Geoff Mackley and Brad Ambrose were near the Bingil Bay area. The eye went over them for an extended period. Geoff will likely post an update when he gets a breather on his site http://geoffmackley.com/

Just received an email from Geoff he advised all the doors in their building blew out and one went thru his car window. He sounded pretty shook up with this one and he's been through many.
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Re: SPAC: YASI (14U /11P) - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#411 Postby Crostorm » Wed Feb 02, 2011 2:22 pm

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: Transmitters serving the area from Cairns to Proserpine and inland to
Richmond and Croydon are requested to USE the Standard Emergency Warning Signal
before broadcasting the following warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 29
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:49am EST on Thursday the 3rd of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal and island communities from Cape
Tribulation to Proserpine, extending west across the tropical interior to the
Northern Territory border.

The Cyclone Warning is cancelled between Cooktown and Cape Tribulation.

At 5:00 am EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 3 was estimated to be 205
kilometres south southwest of Cairns and 130 kilometres west of Cardwell and
moving west southwest at 35 kilometres per hour.

YASI IS MOVING INLAND AND WEAKENING SLOWLY, BUT REMAINS A DANGEROUS CYCLONE.

Tropical Cyclone Yasi, CATEGORY 3, will continue to weaken as it moves in a
west-southwesterly direction towards the Georgetown area during the morning.

The VERY DESTRUCTIVE core, with gusts up to 205 km/h, is continuing to move
inland west of Cardwell towards the Georgetown area.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts in excess of 125 km/h are occurring between
Innisfail and Townsville and extending inland to east of Georgetown.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts above 90 km/hr are occurring in remaining coastal
areas between Cape Tribulation and Proserpine, and are forecast to extend
through to Mt Isa during the day.

Winds are forecast to gradually ease about the east coast during the morning.

HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES and large waves will continue between Innisfail and
Bowen and sea levels may again exceed the high water mark on the morning high
tide.

FLOODING RAINS between Cairns and Proserpine will gradually extend inland.

FLOOD WARNINGS are current for a number of rivers between Cairns and Mackay.

People in the path of the very dangerous cyclone should stay calm and remain in
a secure shelter while the very destructive winds continue.
- Do not venture outside if you find yourself in the eye of the cyclone; very
destructive winds from a different direction could resume at any time.
- Follow the evacuation advice or directions of Police, Emergency Services
personnel and local authorities.

People in remaining areas between Cape Tribulation and Proserpine and extending
west across the tropical interior to the Northern Territory border, should
complete preparations quickly and be prepared to shelter in a safe place.
- Boats and outside property should be secured.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 5:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 18.5 degrees South 144.8 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 30 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 35 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 205 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 3
.Central pressure......... 961 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 6:00 am EST Thursday 03 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.


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Re: SPAC: YASI (14U /11P) - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#412 Postby Crostorm » Wed Feb 02, 2011 2:25 pm

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#413 Postby Crostorm » Wed Feb 02, 2011 2:31 pm

RAW FOOTAGE: Cyclone Yasi begins to rattle the streets of Innisfail. Vision: Lyndon Mechielsen

http://video.heraldsun.com.au/177682235 ... -Innisfail

http://video.heraldsun.com.au/177698622 ... ideoindex1
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Re: SPAC: YASI (14U /11P) - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#414 Postby Crostorm » Wed Feb 02, 2011 3:01 pm


On Feb. 2 at 03:35 UTC/1:35 p.m. Australia local time, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument on NASA's Aqua satellite captured a visible image of Cyclone Yasi before it made landfall in Queensland, Australia. The eye of the cyclone was very clear and indicative of the power of this tropical cyclone. Damaged buildings, downed trees and power outages have been reported.

A Cyclone Warning is still in effect today for coastal and island communities from Cooktown to Proserpine, and west inland to the Northern Territory border. The Cyclone Warning was cancelled between Cape Flattery and Cooktown. The Australian Bureau of meteorology warned that flooding rains between Cairns and Proserpine will gradually move inland as Yasi tracks to the west. Flood Warnings are in effect for several rivers between Cairns and MacKay

At 03:29 UTC/1:29 p.m. Australia local time on February 2 (10:29 p.m. EST, Feb. 1), the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) instrument captured an infrared image of Cyclone Yasi as its center was just southeast of Willis Island. The infrared image showed powerful thunderstorms with strong convection and heavy rainfall surrounding a large area around a very clear eye. The temperatures in the cloud tops were as cold as or colder than -63 Fahrenheit (-52 Celsius).

Tropical Cyclone Yasi was making landfall as a powerful Category Four cyclone with maximum sustained winds near 135 knots (155 mph/ 250 kmh) on Feb. 2, at 1500 UTC (10 a.m. EST/ 1 a.m. Australia local time on Feb. 3). It was located about 245 miles east of Cairns near 17.5 South and 146.8 East and moving west-southwest near 13 knots (15 mph/ 24 kmh). Maximum waveheights associated with Yasi were 42 feet (~13 meters) in the Coral Sea.

The automated Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) weather station on Willis Island provided amazing data this morning as Cyclone Yasi swept past. Willis Island is located east of Queensland, Australia. Rainfall exceeded 60 mm (2.36 inches) in one hour and pressure had fallen to near 938 millibars. Windspeed peaked at 75 knots (86 mph/138 kmh) before the equipment stopped working.

As Yasi made landfall and swept inland, Cairns, located to the north of Townsville, recorded a low reading of atmospheric pressure near 983 millibars. Rainfall was 16 mm (0.6 inch) in one hour, and maximum sustained winds were recorded as high as 34 knots (39 mph/63 kmh).

Lucinda, which is south of Cairns, and north of Townsville recorded a low atmospheric pressure of around 977 millibars. Rainfall totals in one hour were recorded near 27 mm (1.06 inch) and maximum sustained winds were recorded near 73 knots (84 mph/135 kmh).

In Townsville, the atmospheric pressure had dropped to near 993 millibars. The BoM website indicated that Townsville had received as much as 90 mm (3.5 inches) of rainfall in one hour and sustained winds were around 57 knots (65 mph/105 kmh). South of Townsville, the town of Proserpine received 50 mm (2 inches) of rainfall in one hour and pressure dropped as low as 1005 millibars. Maximum sustained winds were recorded near 27 knots (31 mph/50 kmh).

At 3 a.m. local time, the center of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi had moved inland and was located near 18.1 South and 145.4 East. It was moving west-southwest near 33 kmh (20 mph) and had a minimum central pressure of 941 millibars. The storm is forecast to weaken and dissipate within 48 hours.

http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewsr.html?pid=35962
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#415 Postby KWT » Wed Feb 02, 2011 3:15 pm

Microwave imagery still looks quite decent considering its been inland for a few hours now.

Anyway very impressive system this one and striking more or less a similar region as to what Larry did, not much difference in it.
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#416 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 02, 2011 3:28 pm

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Very impressive storm for sure. My guess for landfall intensity is 125 kt, with a pressure of 923mb (that is an estimate based on extrapolation from the 937mb yesterday and slow but steady strengthening since then).
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#417 Postby KWT » Wed Feb 02, 2011 3:34 pm

For once with this storm I think JWTC was pretty much spot on, that microwave presentation was real impressive and the eye was perfectly clear, it reminds me of what Dean did in 2007 in its run up to landfall...

I honestly think 135kts just before landfall was a peak.
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#418 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Feb 02, 2011 3:35 pm

Image

very impressive
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#419 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Feb 02, 2011 3:35 pm

Image

latest, eye almost gone
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Re: SPAC: YASI (14U /11P) - Severe Tropical Cyclone

#420 Postby Crostorm » Wed Feb 02, 2011 3:44 pm

From Geoff Mackley site

We weathered the chaos at the Elandra Resort in Mission Beach with about

20 people, they have barricaded themselves in the kitchen, we are having

290k winds thru the foyer and restaurant and we are cut off by fallen trees.

Our car window has been broken by a flying door

The eye passed directly over us

Myself and Bradley Ambrose are safe, the people at the hotel are safe,

we have no idea of how others have fared, people were texting others at

the hotel with messages like " our house is coming apart, this is serious,

we are *****" we cannot go and assist these or any other people for now.


http://geoffmackley.com/
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