ATL: INVEST 93L - DISCUSSION

[srainhoutx]

We'll gladly take some of that moisture in TX.

[HeeBGBz]

Wow. I thought it was gonna be that spot in the Caribbean. I didn't see this one.

[vbhoutex]

I would love to see that track into TX verify as long as this doesn't become anything more than a weak TS and a rainmaker. If it does hold together and the track verifies it could be good news for Florida and the N Gulf Coast.

[SETXPTNeches]

I would love to see that track into TX verify as long as this doesn't become anything more than a weak TS and a rainmaker. If it does hold together and the track verifies it could be good news for Florida and the N Gulf Coast.

Me Too!!! I thought my eyes were playing tricks on me when I looked at the satelite images and saw invest 93L moving south...

[tailgater]

I'll take a strong tropical wave, anything to give my sprinklers a break.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

As BigB said would love for this to somehow make it in the gulf and come this way. We are forecast to be in the upper 90's to some areas getting to 100 tomorrow then mid to upper 90's for the remainder of the week, of course with only the slightest chances of rain. In my parish we had the 2nd driest may and 1st driest combined april and may on record. We need some kind of tropical system in a bad way.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

tailgater we need more than a tropical wave to help us out around ascension. Of course it would be a good start but we need a good multi day soaking. I wouldn't even care if it came way by a cat 1 or weak 2 as dry as things are right now.

[floridasun78]

it look like wont affect south fl but from palm beach north it could that could get rain into big lake

[summersquall]

10% --- Yellow


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A SMALL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES EAST OF
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA IS PRODUCING A CONCENTRATED AREA OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT
REACHES LAND IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
NNNN

[KWT]

I'd be surprised if anything cmes of it, esp given the shear that is obviously present. It's been a very impressive mid level circulation though it has to be said!

[northjaxpro]

I just checked the Jacksonville long range radar and it shows a well defined tight little circulation of 93L. Also, decent banding of the convection.

It is a good thing 93L is moving in quickly or I think we would be seeing the development of a TD or even a minimal TS. 93L looks to come ashore just south of me betwen St. Augustine and Daytona Beach. Hopefully, some much needed rain will come for our region today for sure.

[KWT]

Yeah if it had been moving abit slower it'd have a shot at developing, given how strong that circulation is at mid levels.

[Nimbus]

The ensemble models on Weather Underground have this tracking south west out into the mid gulf after crossing Florida. Unless it gets under an upper level high the shear should dissipate whatever is left though.

Wonder what the pro Mets think 93l's chances of becoming a TD in the gulf are 20%, more, less?

[feederband]

Man I hope we get some rain out of this...

[ronjon]

Coming into JAX long range RAD now.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=JAX&loop=yes

[ronjon]

Convective ball holding together pretty good - I'm located just south of Cedar Key so I'll keep the storm 2K gang of any impacts here in north-central FL today.

[srainhoutx]

[alan1961]

First visible of the day



IR 93L



And this baby needs to be packed away quickly

[HURAKAN]

Buoy 41010

06 01 6:20 am SSW 3.9 5.8 4.6 10 6.3 - 30.06 - 77.0 80.4 66.7 - - -
06 01 5:50 am WSW 1.9 3.9 4.3 9 6.0 - 30.06 -0.01 77.0 80.4 66.4 - - -
06 01 5:20 am WSW 3.9 3.9 4.6 10 6.2 - 30.05 - 76.8 80.4 65.8 - - -
06 01 4:50 am SW 1.9 3.9 4.6 10 6.2 - 30.06 -0.03 77.0 80.4 65.8 -

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES EAST OF
JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH.
THE LOW CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A CONCENTRATED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM BEFORE IT MOVES OVER
NORTHERN FLORIDA LATER TODAY. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS
DISTURBANCE COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.