ATL: IGOR - Ex Hurricane - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
ColinDelia
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 918
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
- Location: The Beach, FL
-
Blown Away
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9870
- Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
TAFB suggesting 91L will be in a position to recurve east of the islands.
0 likes
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…
-
ColinDelia
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 918
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
- Location: The Beach, FL
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139505
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
70%
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 8 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE...CURRENTLY LOCATED
INLAND ABOUT 150 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DALLAS TEXAS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CONTINUING TO ORGANIZE NEAR A
WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER
THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND THIS LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THE REMNANTS OF GASTON...LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...ARE PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED SEP 8 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS ISSUING PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE...CURRENTLY LOCATED
INLAND ABOUT 150 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DALLAS TEXAS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS CONTINUING TO ORGANIZE NEAR A
WELL-DEFINED LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS OVER
THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND THIS LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
THE REMNANTS OF GASTON...LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...ARE PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
ColinDelia
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 918
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
- Location: The Beach, FL
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Shear forecast from 6z SHIPS (which was already 6 hours ago)
28 knots and decreasing to 17 knots in 24 hours and then 10 knots in 48 hours before increasing again to 20 knots in 84 hours and then
rapidly decreasing after that.
28 knots and decreasing to 17 knots in 24 hours and then 10 knots in 48 hours before increasing again to 20 knots in 84 hours and then
rapidly decreasing after that.
0 likes
Yeah exposed, easterly winds are quite strong in the lower levels but its got strong low level circulation clearly...and therefore no reason why this doesn't develop...
Got a feeling this will be Hurricane number 4 for the season next week.
Got a feeling this will be Hurricane number 4 for the season next week.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Models are defiantly developing the disturbance just south of the islands and NOT the one just exiting the coast?
0 likes
2010 Archive: HURRICANE ALEX, TD TWO, TS BONNIE, TS COLIN, TD FIVE, HURRICANE DANIELLE, HURRICANE EARL, TS FIONA, TS GASTON, TS HERMINE, HURRICANE IGOR, HURRICANE JULIA, HURRICANE KARL, HURRICANE LISA, TS MATTHEW, TS NICOLE, HURRICANE OTTO, HURRICANE PAULA (Active)
It'll probably end up being a fusion of the two areas that develop I'd suspect canes101.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The name Igor just sounds like it wants to be big and ugly no?
0 likes
2010 Archive: HURRICANE ALEX, TD TWO, TS BONNIE, TS COLIN, TD FIVE, HURRICANE DANIELLE, HURRICANE EARL, TS FIONA, TS GASTON, TS HERMINE, HURRICANE IGOR, HURRICANE JULIA, HURRICANE KARL, HURRICANE LISA, TS MATTHEW, TS NICOLE, HURRICANE OTTO, HURRICANE PAULA (Active)
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139505
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
12z Best Track
AL, 91, 2010090812, , BEST, 0, 137N, 233W, 30, 1005, DB
Moving at 260 degrees.
AL, 91, 2010090812, , BEST, 0, 137N, 233W, 30, 1005, DB
Moving at 260 degrees.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Winds upto 30kts already, the circulation is strong but its a little exposed at the moment, probably the shear will ease with time though
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139505
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Moving at 260 degrees.
LATCUR = 13.7N LONCUR = 23.3W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATCUR = 13.7N LONCUR = 23.3W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re:
KWT wrote:It'll probably end up being a fusion of the two areas that develop I'd suspect canes101.
New Sat image just came out (uploaded instead of hot linking so image wouldn't change) and it defiantly looks like they will in fact "fuse" together to develop IMO
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Last edited by canes101 on Wed Sep 08, 2010 8:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
2010 Archive: HURRICANE ALEX, TD TWO, TS BONNIE, TS COLIN, TD FIVE, HURRICANE DANIELLE, HURRICANE EARL, TS FIONA, TS GASTON, TS HERMINE, HURRICANE IGOR, HURRICANE JULIA, HURRICANE KARL, HURRICANE LISA, TS MATTHEW, TS NICOLE, HURRICANE OTTO, HURRICANE PAULA (Active)
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139505
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Sandy, I cant have access to the site that has these images but I know you can. 
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22498
- Age: 66
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Little doubt this will be Igor. It'll probably take 2-3 days to get organized and upgraded. But it's quite far north for so far east. Fortunately, systems that far north near the CV Islands rarely enter the Caribbean. Just the same, I'd keep an eye on it if I was in the NE Caribbean.
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139505
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 91L - Discussion
Almost a TD. Thank you for the larger image.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests