ATL: LISA - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

[Florida1118]

I dont know...7 more storms by the end of Oct.? 6 formed in 2005, so we might match that. Im thinking around 16 NS.

If your following the models, actually we will be 14/?/? by this week. GFS has also been showing spurious low pressure everywhere and the MJO is now positive. I''m just saying it's not 7 because we likely have 2 coming, so that makes it 5. Isn't that the same number you called with 2005? Yeah we can do it. I believe it.

Some form 3 storms, so yes theres 14 if they all make it. I have no doubt about Lisa and Matthew, but Nicole I dont know. 13/14, that leaves 5 or 6. I suppose, yeah 19 is quite reachable.

[Swimdude]

Wow... I can't believe we aren't catching a break! But overall, this has been an extremely lucky season. Imagine if Earl had gone further West, or if Igor had maintained cat-3 strength until it reached Bermuda, or if Alex had headed further to the North, or if Hermine had had more time to strengthen... SO much luck this season. I hope it holds. As for TD11, I hope you follow all your friends up to the North and away from land!

[Florida1118]

Wow... I can't believe we aren't catching a break! But overall, this has been an extremely lucky season. Imagine if Earl had gone further West, or if Igor had maintained cat-3 strength until it reached Bermuda, or if Alex had headed further to the North, or if Hermine had had more time to strengthen... SO much luck this season. I hope it holds. As for TD11, I hope you follow all your friends up to the North and away from land!

To bad it probably will run out in a week...

[Macrocane]

I mentioned in the models thread that it looks so organized that it may go directly to Lisa in the first advisory, an ASCAT pass would be helpful to see if there are already 35 kt winds.

[KWT]

Ah good to see this one is finally going to get upgraded, should be a fairly simple recurver this one, maybe the last system that forms this far east this CV season, everything else will probably get going further west from now on...

[AJC3]

Attention all hands....the U.S. versus the islands crap will stop...and will stop now! This has gotten old and tiresome to see this happen again and again!

1. To those who forget that there are other land areas in the Atlantic and Caribbean basins (and wherever else for that matter) that have been affected by TC's this year, and every year: Try and remember that this is the case before you post! Be clear and specific about what you are trying to say!

2. For those outside the U.S.: try and remember that those making "U.S. - centric" posts are not INTENTIONALLY being insensitive! Instead of turning the thread into a publically visible us versus them thing, a PM to the poster is more appropriate.

From here on out, posts regarding this subject will be either moved, or edited for clarity/accuracy by the mods.

We don't need this type of thing to continue on the boards. It does nothing but spread ill will and hard feelings.

Thanks for listening.

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 31.9W
ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM W OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES

[AdamFirst]

Look at that forecast track, you don't see that very often. Do long range models bring it back to the west or will it make an early exit to the graveyard?

[HURAKAN]

Not much of an agreement

[Ptarmigan]

I think we will have Lisa by tomorrow. Don't think it will strengthen much because the water has been stirred up so much.

[Migle]

This one has exploded! http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/ ... e_anim.gif

Convection growing and looks like a TS right now.

[Weatherfreak000]

I agree. TS Lisa is here

[Ladylight]

This one has exploded! http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/ ... e_anim.gif

Convection growing and looks like a TS right now.

Oh my gosh! I last looked at satellite several hours ago and would not have expected this to happen so quickly. I wonder if they'll name her at 2 am.

[dwsqos2]

Looking at the 0445Z satellite image, I have to wonder if the gfs will indeed verify. I am beginning to suspect that this will be a short-lived tc.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[Brent]

AL, 14, 2010092106, , BEST, 0, 176N, 318W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 35, 35, 0, 20, 1010, 220, 35, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, LISA, M,

[pojo]

AL, 14, 2010092106, , BEST, 0, 176N, 318W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 35, 35, 0, 20, 1010, 220, 35, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, LISA, M,


Now, just waiting for NHC to update the website.

[KWT]

Well thats another name off the list, now have TS Lisa.

Not that impressive right now but it does have deep convection present for most of the time recently so not surprising its been upgraded.

[SouthFLTropics]

Welcome to the Atlantic Lisa...May your stay be short lived...



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[cwachal]

We have now gone since August 22 w/o a day of no storms... 1 month mark is tomorrow we should make it through 1 month with a storm every single day... going for 2 now

[HURAKAN]

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