ATL: KARL - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

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cyclonic chronic

#1401 Postby cyclonic chronic » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:43 am

lol sacrifice island will be sacrificed for the better of the meteorogical science. karl looks to be making a bee line for veracruz. should have good obs for this one as opposed to a major making landfall in a not so populated area.
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#1402 Postby artist » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:44 am

they are showing some light wind damage on the tv there now.
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#1403 Postby Vortmax1 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:49 am

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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1404 Postby Sanibel » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:53 am

Karl looks like it is taking a dip towards Veracruz at the last second. (Talk about a devil of a hurricane)


The city of La Antigua just up the coast should take the teeth of the eyewall (If Karl doesn't do a hard wobble back west).


There is a steep escarpment up into Mexico's volcanic ranges just behind the landfall area that should create disasterous floods. The area between the cities of Xalapa and Orizaba should see floods.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1405 Postby Floodo_Is_My_Hero » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:55 am

Live webcam in Veracruz:

http://www.telmex.com/mx/corporativo/vi ... tml?sec=01

¿De qué zona ? - Choose "Veracruz"

Cámaras - Choose "1ro de mayo"

I hope they are getting people out of there! :double:
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#1406 Postby artist » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:59 am

live tv report- the wind is really eerie right now and it hasn't even hit.
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#1407 Postby cyclonic chronic » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:59 am

the people of veracruz are about to go thru hell. good luck to all in the path
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#1408 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 9:59 am

The northern suburbs of Veracruz will likely end up in the northern eyewall at this point. The population of La Antigua is about 25,000.
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#1409 Postby cyclonic chronic » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:04 am

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?89

that inlet or series of lakes s.w. of veracruz, that goes a great deal inland, should see a very high storm surge. winds are pushing alot of water in there. does anyone know if there are any populated areas around that inlet?
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#1410 Postby shah8 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:05 am

La Antigua might actually be to the north of the worst...
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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1411 Postby Sanibel » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:09 am

I think the eye should clobber Zempoala Aztec (or Mayan?) ruins just north of La Antigua:



http://www.delange.org/Zempoala/Zempoala.htm
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#1412 Postby Vortmax1 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:14 am

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#1413 Postby Vortmax1 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:20 am

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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1414 Postby Simone Lussardi » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:22 am

Floodo_Is_My_Hero wrote:Live webcam in Veracruz:

http://www.telmex.com/mx/corporativo/vi ... tml?sec=01

¿De qué zona ? - Choose "Veracruz"

Cámaras - Choose "1ro de mayo"

I hope they are getting people out of there! :double:


Thanks for the cam ! It is going ballistic now, amazingly still a lot of people driving around. With more than 50 hpa to go in just about 25 km, is gonna be disabled soon, unfortunately...
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#1415 Postby cyclonic chronic » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:44 am

nhc totally nailed the track. wnw once it left the yucatan, w over the b.o.c., wsw right before landfall.they were predicting this 2 days ago. may not have been exactly where they thought it was gonna go 48 hr. ago, but the general synoptics were/are sound. now for the intensity, well idk if we'll ever get that down. too many variables.
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#1416 Postby cyclonic chronic » Fri Sep 17, 2010 10:50 am

wow recon is not at all in agreement with satelite intensity. the t.c.r. might be a cat 2 at landfall.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Hurricane - Discussion

#1417 Postby Blown Away » Fri Sep 17, 2010 11:07 am

Looks like Veracruz gets the southern eyewall and maybe some calm as the center moves very close.
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#1418 Postby ColinDelia » Fri Sep 17, 2010 11:11 am

Part of the circulation is over VERY high mountains. The highest peak in mexico is 18,400 feet at 19.8N, 97.3W; just 83 nm from Karl's center at 10 am CDT; 19.4N, 95.9W.
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#1419 Postby HenkL » Fri Sep 17, 2010 11:17 am

Latest METAR report from Veracruz:
southern wind 30kt, gust 40kt, 997 mb
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#1420 Postby shah8 » Fri Sep 17, 2010 11:19 am

Maybe it's that the high north of Karl that's making it 118kts at 972mb.
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