Earl Advisories

[cycloneye]

As chad said it will be Earl.

[opera ghost]

I'd be happier with him if he underwent a sex change... Bonnie and Danielle were tame- thier brothers Alex and Charley were not so much fun.

[Brent]

It would still be Earl. Frances would come from the next wave to develop.

[HURAKAN]

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI,FL.
1100 AM EDT MON 16 AUGUST 2004
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z AUG 2004
TCPOD NUMBER.....04-079

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM EARL
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 17/1200Z A. 18/0000,0600Z
B. AFXXX 0405A INVEST B. AFXXX 0505A EARL
C. 17/0900Z C. 17/2230Z
D. 15.0N 78.0W D. 16.0N 82.0W
E. 17/1100Z TO 17/1730Z E. 17/2300Z TO 18/0630Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT. F. SFC TO 10,000 FT.

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES
IF SYSTEM REGENERATES AND IS A THREAT.

[cycloneye]

Yes tommorow morning at 8 AM.

[CaluWxBill]

I'd be happier with him if he underwent a sex change... Bonnie and Danielle were tame- thier brothers Alex and Charley were not so much fun.

Danielle is not so tame, just not interested in the US

[Air Force Met]

My vote is no. I think he is still moving too fast. Looking at the steering flow for the next 48 hours remains west - wnw and pretty strong due to the high to it's north. I think it will not slow down...and push into central america. If it does come back it will more than likely remain a weak TS and continue into Honduras or Belieze.

I say a weak TS because it has the winds to be a TS due to the strong gradient, which is why it is moving so fast. But...it is very hard for systems that are moving this fast to close off a circulation.

[corpusbreeze]

where would it be? I'm having a tough time find the center.Earl still has a spin to it, and does not look have bad. But where is the LLC? Is it the nw side, or sw side? Where it is or forms will have great implications on where it will go.

[Anonymous]

The only spin it has is a mid level center, its located where the newest burst of convection is occuring.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[chadtm80]

But where is the LLC?

You cant find one, becuase there isnt one.. I believe He will be back though

[opera ghost]

I'm okay with the fact that there are tropical monsters in the world- as long as they stay away from land Tame is relitive.

[rockythehusky]

I hope not

[chadtm80]

I said Yes, However AFM seems to have it nailed down

[Anonymous]

I thought it would but im agreeing with AFM. The fact that the only thing it has left is a MVC moving west at 32 mph (meaning it would hit Central America by late morning) isn't too much to hang on. Earl is a dud imo.

[ChaserUK]

It could be me WX - could someone clarify?

[PurdueWx80]

Extremely deep convection just popped over the MCV, and there appears to be a pseudo-feeder band to the SW of it. Here comes Earl from the dead. It's very much evident on the 20:31 image, just trust me for now because posting an image w/ a URL will not work. Go to http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html then click on animate and 100% and then over Earl and you'll see.

[Guest]

Earl is lookin like Don King..

[Anonymous]

Earl will say hello to Central America within a day at the speed its going.

[lilbump3000]

You post them by clicking the image button i see you have clicked once, then you put the URL of the image, then u click the img thing again then there you go.

[c5Camille]

is that an outflow boundry to the n-ne?