WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)

[HURAKAN]

Strong, but weakening is ocurring as we speak!

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Yeah its going through a EWRC right now. Also it getting a little dry air from China. But still expecting 120 to 125 knots at landfall.

[JonathanBelles]

wow

[P.K.]

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 26.5N 122.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 090KT
50KT 60NM EAST 50NM WEST
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 28.7N 117.7E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
48HF 120000UTC 30.8N 113.5E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION

[whereverwx]

A really notable change in intensity; maybe its eye will collapse before landfall.

[AJC3]

File this article under 'W' for WTF?!

http://english.chosun.com/w21data/html/ ... 90024.html

"Nation Prays for a Typhoon in the Midst of Unbearable Heat"

"...Typhoon Saomai -- this year's eighth - held a promise of cooling off the Korean Peninsula, but has disappointingly veered off toward southern China. The Korea Meteorological Administration predicted that only a typhoon will be able to bring down the insufferable temperatures. "

[Beam]

File this article under 'W' for WTF?!

http://english.chosun.com/w21data/html/ ... 90024.html

"Nation Prays for a Typhoon in the Midst of Unbearable Heat"

"...Typhoon Saomai -- this year's eighth - held a promise of cooling off the Korean Peninsula, but has disappointingly veered off toward southern China. The Korea Meteorological Administration predicted that only a typhoon will be able to bring down the insufferable temperatures. "

Does Korea have an import ban on cold fronts or what? and don't they realize the heat'll just be back a day later except with more humidity and no air conditioning?

[wxmann_91]

Rapid weakening occurring as we speak. Hopefully, this will make landfall no higher than a 3.

[HURAKAN]

A really notable change in intensity; maybe its eye will collapse before landfall.

There seems to be a weakening of the convection, but the eye remains almost intact. Does this means that the typhoon is not weakening at all, or it's weakening slowly?

[wxmann_91]

No, it's weakening pretty rapidly. Look at the visibles, the eye's filling in.

[SouthFloridawx]

No, it's weakening pretty rapidly. Look at the visibles, the eye's filling in.

ERC, land interaction and dry air entrainment will do that.

[mike815]

yup every time.

[miamicanes177]

they are really going to dodge a bullet. This looked like it could come in as a strong 160mph hurricane. I'm guessing it will make landfall at about 125-130mph.

[cheezyWXguy]

its pulling a katrina!

[miamicanes177]

or a dennis

[HURAKAN]

FROM NOAA (PLAGIARISM AVOIDED):

[mike815]

cool good job no plagerism here well done.

[wxdude67]

FROM NOAA (PLAGIARISM AVOIDED):

I agree with Mike815: Very nicely done.

[HurricaneBill]

Guys, it doesn't matter what it comes in at. This is still a dangerous storm that could unleash torrential rains.

Whether Saomai landfalls as a Category 5 or a Category 1 makes no difference in the fact that this could be a potential disaster.

[wxmann_91]

Yellow has intruded the inner core. Not only are downsloping winds from mountains from China hurting it, mountains from Taiwan are too.

WV shows shear and dry air at the upper levels.

And finally, look at the Heat Content maps.



Is it just me or can that area only support a marginal 3?