Tropical systems and wind shear forecasts
Posted: Fri Aug 25, 2006 9:21 am
There has been an awful lot of divergent views I have read in the last 48 hours on wind shear and wind shear forecasts.
Just how accurate are these wind shear forecasts? Should we consider them more from the "look at the trend they suggest" viewpoint as compared to taking them literally? Just curious ... it seems like as many times as these forecasts verify, they don't.
I'm just kinda curious as several pro mets seem to be banking on wind shear forecasts 48 hours out ... when they might change.
Just how accurate are these wind shear forecasts? Should we consider them more from the "look at the trend they suggest" viewpoint as compared to taking them literally? Just curious ... it seems like as many times as these forecasts verify, they don't.
I'm just kinda curious as several pro mets seem to be banking on wind shear forecasts 48 hours out ... when they might change.