TC 03B and 04B thread
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WTIN20 DEMS 280700
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 28-06-2007.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT
0600 UTC (.)
YESTERDAYS WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH & ADJOINING
CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL CONCENTRATED INTO A DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTRED
AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 28TH JUNE, 2007 OVER NORTHWEST AND
ADJOINING WEST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LAT. 18.5 DEG N AND LONG.
87.0 DEG.E, ABOUT 200 KM SOUTHEAST OF PURI(43053) REMAINING
PRACTICALLY STATIONARY,IT FUTURE INTENSIFY INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION
AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY NEAR LAT.18.5 DEG N AND LONG.
87.0 DEG.E ABOUT 200 KM SOUTEAST OF PURI(43053) IT IS LIKELY TO
INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE IN A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND
CROSS ORISSA COAST BETWEEN GOPALPUR (43049) AND PARADIP (42976)
CLOSE TO PURI BY TODAY,THE 28TH JUNE 2007 MID-NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND IS 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS
AROUND SYSTEM CENTRE .SEA CONDITION IS VERY ROUGH TO HIGH.
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER
WEST CENTRAL AND ADJOINING NORTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SYSTEM (.)
MSG OVER ????/
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI 28-06-2007.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA ) VALID FOR NEXT 24 HOURS ISSUED AT
0600 UTC (.)
YESTERDAYS WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH & ADJOINING
CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL CONCENTRATED INTO A DEPRESSION AND LAY CENTRED
AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 28TH JUNE, 2007 OVER NORTHWEST AND
ADJOINING WEST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL NEAR LAT. 18.5 DEG N AND LONG.
87.0 DEG.E, ABOUT 200 KM SOUTHEAST OF PURI(43053) REMAINING
PRACTICALLY STATIONARY,IT FUTURE INTENSIFY INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION
AND LAY CENTRED AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY NEAR LAT.18.5 DEG N AND LONG.
87.0 DEG.E ABOUT 200 KM SOUTEAST OF PURI(43053) IT IS LIKELY TO
INTENSIFY FURTHER AND MOVE IN A WEST-NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION AND
CROSS ORISSA COAST BETWEEN GOPALPUR (43049) AND PARADIP (42976)
CLOSE TO PURI BY TODAY,THE 28TH JUNE 2007 MID-NIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WIND IS 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS
AROUND SYSTEM CENTRE .SEA CONDITION IS VERY ROUGH TO HIGH.
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTIVE CLOUDS ARE SEEN OVER
WEST CENTRAL AND ADJOINING NORTH WEST BAY OF BENGAL IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE SYSTEM (.)
MSG OVER ????/
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- P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/INVEST 96B TCFA
BOB 04/2007/03 Dated : 28th June, 2007
Subject: DEEP DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL
BAY OF BENGAL
The deep depression over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal moved north-westwards and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 28th June, 2007 over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal near lat. 19.00N and long. 86.50E, about 120 km southeast of Puri. It is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterlly direction and cross Orissa coast between Gopalpur and Paradip, close to Puri by today, the 28th June 2007 mid-night.
Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) are likely over north Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and Chattisgarh during next 48 hours.
Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 Kmph are likely along and off north Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coasts during the same period. Sea condition will be very rough to high.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
Subject: DEEP DEPRESSION OVER NORTHWEST AND ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL
BAY OF BENGAL
The deep depression over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal moved north-westwards and lay centred at 1430 hrs IST of today, the 28th June, 2007 over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal near lat. 19.00N and long. 86.50E, about 120 km southeast of Puri. It is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterlly direction and cross Orissa coast between Gopalpur and Paradip, close to Puri by today, the 28th June 2007 mid-night.
Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) are likely over north Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and Chattisgarh during next 48 hours.
Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 Kmph are likely along and off north Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coasts during the same period. Sea condition will be very rough to high.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
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WTIO31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280721Z JUN 07//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.2N 86.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 86.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 19.5N 85.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.6N 85.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 21.5N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 86.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B (NONAME) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST
OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND
SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM REPORTING STATIONS ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF INDIA SUPPORT A SUSTAINED WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF 35 KTS. THE
SYSTEM HAS TAKEN A NORTHWARD TURN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE EAST. AS A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CHINA MOVES EASTWARD, RIDGING WILL
BUILD TO THE NORTH OF TC 04B AND NUDGE THE TRACK A BIT WESTWARD
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER TC 04B IS
MODERATE, WITH A STRONG SHEAR GRADIENT OBSERVED JUST SOUTH OF THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE AND A SLIGHT DECREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW
THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 12. THEREAFTER, TC 04B WILL
MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 280721Z JUN 07 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 280730). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
281200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z AND 291500Z.//
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280721Z JUN 07//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.2N 86.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 86.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 19.5N 85.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.6N 85.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 21.5N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 86.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B (NONAME) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST
OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND
SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM REPORTING STATIONS ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF INDIA SUPPORT A SUSTAINED WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF 35 KTS. THE
SYSTEM HAS TAKEN A NORTHWARD TURN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE EAST. AS A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CHINA MOVES EASTWARD, RIDGING WILL
BUILD TO THE NORTH OF TC 04B AND NUDGE THE TRACK A BIT WESTWARD
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER TC 04B IS
MODERATE, WITH A STRONG SHEAR GRADIENT OBSERVED JUST SOUTH OF THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE AND A SLIGHT DECREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW
THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 12. THEREAFTER, TC 04B WILL
MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 280721Z JUN 07 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 280730). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
281200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z AND 291500Z.//
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Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B
WTIO31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280721Z JUN 07//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.2N 86.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 86.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 19.5N 85.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.6N 85.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 21.5N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 86.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B (NONAME) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST
OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND
SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM REPORTING STATIONS ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF INDIA SUPPORT A SUSTAINED WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF 35 KTS. THE
SYSTEM HAS TAKEN A NORTHWARD TURN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE EAST. AS A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CHINA MOVES EASTWARD, RIDGING WILL
BUILD TO THE NORTH OF TC 04B AND NUDGE THE TRACK A BIT WESTWARD
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER TC 04B IS
MODERATE, WITH A STRONG SHEAR GRADIENT OBSERVED JUST SOUTH OF THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE AND A SLIGHT DECREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW
THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 12. THEREAFTER, TC 04B WILL
MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 280721Z JUN 07 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 280730). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
281200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z AND 291500Z.//
NNNN
From JTWC
Not sure how they get a 24 hour position over land. Those coordinates are OVER WATER, and their track map shows the same. What is it with this basin?
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280721Z JUN 07//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.2N 86.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 86.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 19.5N 85.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 20.6N 85.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 21.5N 84.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.5N 86.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B (NONAME) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST
OF VISAKHAPATNAM, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES AND
SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM REPORTING STATIONS ALONG THE EAST COAST
OF INDIA SUPPORT A SUSTAINED WIND SPEED ESTIMATE OF 35 KTS. THE
SYSTEM HAS TAKEN A NORTHWARD TURN OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE EAST. AS A
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER CENTRAL CHINA MOVES EASTWARD, RIDGING WILL
BUILD TO THE NORTH OF TC 04B AND NUDGE THE TRACK A BIT WESTWARD
DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER TC 04B IS
MODERATE, WITH A STRONG SHEAR GRADIENT OBSERVED JUST SOUTH OF THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. HOWEVER, FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE AND A SLIGHT DECREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ALLOW
THE SYSTEM TO INTENSIFY THROUGH TAU 12. THEREAFTER, TC 04B WILL
MAKE LANDFALL AND DISSIPATE. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 280721Z JUN 07 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 280730). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
281200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z AND 291500Z.//
NNNN
From JTWC
Not sure how they get a 24 hour position over land. Those coordinates are OVER WATER, and their track map shows the same. What is it with this basin?
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Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Ye ... ion_BOB_03
Update on the last cyclone, 410 dead is now the death toll. 140 in India, 230 in Pakistan, and 40 in Afghanistan
Update on the last cyclone, 410 dead is now the death toll. 140 in India, 230 in Pakistan, and 40 in Afghanistan
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Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B
hanging my head in shame. I misread the satellite labels on the NRL website
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BOB 04/2007/04 DATED: 28TH June 2007
Sub: Deep Depression over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal.
The deep depression over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal moved westwards and lay centred at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 28th June 2007 over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal near lat. 19.00 N and long. 86.00 E, about 100km south of Puri. It is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction and cross Orissa coast between Gopalpur and Paradip, south of Puri (near Chilka) by today, the 28th June 2007 mid-night.
Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) are likely over north Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and Chhattisgarh during next 36 hrs.
Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph are likely along and off north Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coasts during next 24 hours. Sea condition will be very rough to high.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
Midnight IST = 1830Z.
Sub: Deep Depression over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal.
The deep depression over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal moved westwards and lay centred at 1730 hrs IST of today, the 28th June 2007 over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal near lat. 19.00 N and long. 86.00 E, about 100km south of Puri. It is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction and cross Orissa coast between Gopalpur and Paradip, south of Puri (near Chilka) by today, the 28th June 2007 mid-night.
Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) are likely over north Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and Chhattisgarh during next 36 hrs.
Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph are likely along and off north Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coasts during next 24 hours. Sea condition will be very rough to high.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
Midnight IST = 1830Z.
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Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B
I think we are seeing some serious RI, or possibly even EI with this system. It is not moving that much (last 3 fixes from SSD had about a whole 15NM of motion), so the equivalent of hurricane status may not be out of the realm of possibility
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Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B
335
TPIO10 KGWC 281815
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN BAY OF BENGAL
B. 28/1731Z (31)
C. 18.5N/4
D. 86.3E/7
E. FIVE/MET7
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS -28/1731Z-
G. IR/EIR
38A/ PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .75 ON LOG10 SPIRAL.
ADDED .05 FOR WHT BAND YIELDING AN UNREP DT OF 3.5.
FT BASED ON PT. MET AGREES.
WEAVER
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... PIO10.KGWC
TPIO10 KGWC 281815
A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN BAY OF BENGAL
B. 28/1731Z (31)
C. 18.5N/4
D. 86.3E/7
E. FIVE/MET7
F. T3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS -28/1731Z-
G. IR/EIR
38A/ PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .75 ON LOG10 SPIRAL.
ADDED .05 FOR WHT BAND YIELDING AN UNREP DT OF 3.5.
FT BASED ON PT. MET AGREES.
WEAVER
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... PIO10.KGWC
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- P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B
No upgrade yet for BOB 0704.
BOB 04/2007/05 Dated : 28th June 2007
Sub: Deep Depression over northwest and adjoining west central
Bay of Bengal.
The Deep Depression over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centred at 2030 hrs IST of today, the 28th June 2007 over northwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal near lat. 19.0o N and long. 86.0oE, about 100 km south of Puri. It is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction and cross Orissa coast between Gopalpur and Paradip, south of Puri (near Chilka) by today, the 28th June 2007 mid-night or by tomorrow the 29th June 2007 early morning.
Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) are likely over north Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and Chhattisgarh during next 36 hours.
Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph are likely along and off north Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coast during next 24 hours. Sea condition will be very rough to high.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
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Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B
well...
I have to give them credit for being consistent. Not upgrading either system that was (is) clearly at TS intensity (and not minimal TS either). Maybe Great One did get a job
I have to give them credit for being consistent. Not upgrading either system that was (is) clearly at TS intensity (and not minimal TS either). Maybe Great One did get a job
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BOB 04/2007/08 Dated : 29th June 2007
Sub: Deep Depression over northwest Bay of Bengal crossed Orissa
coast near Puri.
Available coastal observations indicate that the Deep Depression over northwest Bay of Bengal moved slightly northwards and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST very close to Puri and crossed Orissa coast near Puri between 0530 and 0630 hours IST of today, the 29th June 2007. It lay centred over coastal Orissa close to Puri at 0630 hrs IST. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction and weaken gradually.
Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) are likely over north Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and Chhattisgarh during next 24 hours.
Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph are likely along and off north Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coast during next 12 hours. Sea condition will be very rough to high.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
Sub: Deep Depression over northwest Bay of Bengal crossed Orissa
coast near Puri.
Available coastal observations indicate that the Deep Depression over northwest Bay of Bengal moved slightly northwards and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST very close to Puri and crossed Orissa coast near Puri between 0530 and 0630 hours IST of today, the 29th June 2007. It lay centred over coastal Orissa close to Puri at 0630 hrs IST. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction and weaken gradually.
Under its influence, widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls and isolated extremely heavy falls (>25 cms) are likely over north Andhra Pradesh, Orissa and Chhattisgarh during next 24 hours.
Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph are likely along and off north Andhra Pradesh and Orissa coast during next 12 hours. Sea condition will be very rough to high.
Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.
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Re: NIO: Deep Depression over BOB/TC 04B LANDFALL
Wow, the system's still pretty organized. I shudder to think what this could've become if it just had 24 hr more over water.
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