Big ones for 2024

[JetFuel_SE]

I think storm names starting with "H" and after will be the big ones.

Helene will be a 35kt "waste of a name" over the Azores.

[ScottNAtlanta]

I recall JB going on an epic rant about Ernesto being robbed of being a hurricane one year (not sure which rotation)...that might put it in the "cursed to repeat" category like Emily and Issac

where was this on
youtube?

It think it was while he was with Accuweather

[DioBrando]

I recall JB going on an epic rant about Ernesto being robbed of being a hurricane one year (not sure which rotation)...that might put it in the "cursed to repeat" category like Emily and Issac

where was this on
youtube?

It think it was while he was with Accuweather

which year

[LemieT]

Which storms do you think are the big ones for 2024?

Alberto Beryl Chris Debby Ernesto Francine Gordon Helene Isaac Joyce Kirk Leslie Milton Nadine Oscar Patty Rafael Sara Tony Valerie William

My money is on Francine, Joyce, Nadine and a late season surprise from Tony.

I'm adding Gordon, Isaac and Oscar. Without actually planning it, I've got them in pairs which I believe may be a theme this season. Back to back biggies, a lull and a burst type of pattern repeating itself.

[DioBrando]

Which storms do you think are the big ones for 2024?

Alberto Beryl Chris Debby Ernesto Francine Gordon Helene Isaac Joyce Kirk Leslie Milton Nadine Oscar Patty Rafael Sara Tony Valerie William

My money is on Francine, Joyce, Nadine and a late season surprise from Tony.

I'm adding Gordon, Isaac and Oscar. Without actually planning it, I've got them in pairs which I believe may be a theme this season. Back to back biggies, a lull and a burst type of pattern repeating itself.

>no mention of ernesto or rafael

[DioBrando]

I think storm names starting with "H" and after will be the big ones.

rafael and deshawn

[Hurricane2022]

Atlantic
Ernesto, Gordon, Isaac, Nadine and Rafael
(Aux. List: Caridad, Deshawn, Heath)
Edit: Added Deshawn and Heath.

Eastern Pacific
Carlotta, Emilia, Gilma, John, Norman

Updating my list!!

Atlantic.
Ernesto, Francine, Isaac, Nadine, Oscar.
Aux. List: Caridad, Deshawn and Heath.

Eastern Pacific.
Carlotta, Emilia, Gilma and Norman.

My next update: May 31!!

Making my last bet 30 days before the said date, as I suffer from anxiety.

*Final*

ATLANTIC.
xxxx
I .ERNESTO:
A Caribbean-cruiser in July that will reach C4 for a moment before weakening. Similar track to Emily '05.

II .GORDON;
A brief (~5d) but powerful Category 4/5 hurricane in the GOM that will make life hell for the population somewhere in the USA at the end of July/beginning of August.

III .ISAAC:
A strong Category 2/3 hurricane that could be a threat to Europe or North Africa by mid-August.

IV .NADINE:
A long-lived CV Category 4/5 that will sail the open ocean for around 15+ days in search of land between the end of August and the beginning of September.

V .OSCAR:
Another long-lived CV Category 5 in the MDR that will also sail a lot and will be the 2nd strongest storm of 2024 (150 - 165 kt/925 - 910 mb) in the first half of September.

VI .CARIDAD:
A strong Category 3/4 with similar track to Eta/Iota '20, but which will weaken considerably before making landfall in Central America due to a failed and long EWRC in late September/early October.

VII .EMERY:
A powerful WCAR hurricane in the first half of October that will make a rapid and surprising intensification to Category 5 (+/- 145 kt) before doing an almost successful EWRC just before the landfall in the Yucatan peninsula, MX.

VIII .HEATH:
The strongest storm of the year (165 - 175 kt/900 - 880 mb), which will be a beautiful long-lived carib-cruiser, which will be a Category 5 and will remain as one for ~3 consecutive days as it moves slowly, until it crosses Cuba as a moderate C4 and then beginning to quickly head OTS in early November.
.
.
Retirements:
Gordon: replaced with Geraldo.
Isaac: replaced with Iuri.
Nadine: replaced with Natalia.
Oscar: replaced with Oswald.
Caridad: replaced with Cinthia.
Emery: replaced with Elaine.
Heath: replaced with Herbert.
---------
EAST PACIFIC.
xxxx
I .EMILIA:
Your usual OTS Category 4 hurricane in mid-July that isn't a threat to anybody. It will be the strongest storm (120 - 130 kt) of the 2024 EPac Season.

II .ILEANA:
A very strong low-end C4 hurricane that later makes landfall in Sinaloa MX as a Category 2/3 hurricane in August.

III .MIRIAM:
A moderate Category 3 hurricane in early October that could be a threat to Baja California Peninsula as a weak/moderate sheared TS.
.
.
Retirements:
Ileana: replaced with Ilsa.

NNNN
**do not take it seriously, unless one or some of these bets come to fruition**



Edit: added retired names!!!

[Category5Kaiju]

My predictions:

Isaac: Late August. High-end Cat 4. Ends up impacting the Caribbean islands, including the Antilles and Hispaniola before moving on out to sea. Many speculations on Storm2k that it will defy the curve and hit the US, except it doesn't.

Leslie: Early-mid September. Moderate Cat 5. Becames the first major East Florida coast hit since Jeanne in 2004 (but barely misses Miami), and then moves across the Gulf and hits Galveston Texas as a moderate Cat 4. Storm2k goes insane.

Patty: Late September. Moderate Cat 2. Impacts Central America. Storm2k complains about how sloppy and sheared it is, but then completely becomes serious when they realize how wet and slow-moving it will be.

Adria: Mid-October. High-end Cat 5. Becomes the season's strongest storm. Ends up as a powerful Caribbean cruiser, the first since 2007, and impacts Jamaica before moving over Cuba and hitting Sarasota Florida as a low-end Cat 4. Storm2k goes insane again.

Season ends with 4 storms retired. Isaac is replaced by Irving, Leslie is replaced by Layla, Patty is replaced by Paige, and Adria is replaced by Alyssa.

[AnnularCane]

My predictions:

Isaac: Late August. High-end Cat 4. Ends up impacting the Caribbean islands, including the Antilles and Hispaniola before moving on out to sea. Many speculations on Storm2k that it will defy the curve and hit the US, except it doesn't.

Leslie: Early-mid September. Moderate Cat 5. Becames the first major East Florida coast hit since Jeanne in 2004 (but barely misses Miami), and then moves across the Gulf and hits Galveston Texas as a moderate Cat 4. Storm2k goes insane.

Patty: Late September. Moderate Cat 2. Impacts Central America. Storm2k complains about how sloppy and sheared it is, but then completely becomes serious when they realize how wet and slow-moving it will be.

Adria: Mid-October. High-end Cat 5. Becomes the season's strongest storm. Ends up as a powerful Caribbean cruiser, the first since 2007, and impacts Jamaica before moving over Cuba and hitting Sarasota Florida as a low-end Cat 4. Storm2k goes insane again.

Season ends with 4 storms retired. Isaac is replaced by Irving, Leslie is replaced by Layla, Patty is replaced by Paige, and Adria is replaced by Alyssa.

I don't know about the rest of this, but "Storm2k goes insane" is probably a sure bet this season, possibly more than once.

[StPeteMike]

Isaac just calls to continue the dreaded I name.

[IcyTundra]

Hurricane Issac large 150 mph cat 4 hits Freeport, Texas in late August.

[Stratton23]

I have Leslie as a cat 5 striking the freeport tx area, texas got lucky just barely missing out on laura and delta a few years ago, I just have a bad feeling our luck runs out this season