Texas Spring 2024

[bubba hotep]

Cluster of supercells to the SW of WF continues to produce tor warnings but it appears that there have only been a few brief touchdowns so far this afternoon.

[bubba hotep]

CU field across DFW is becoming slightly agitated, and a few returns are starting to show up on radar.

[Ntxw]

There is deep moisture transport surging northward. It's likely too late for the daytime peak severe, if the overnight MCS can hold or slow there would be some very good rainfall rates. Scattered bubbling of lower level showers is very tropical-like.

[bubba hotep]

I don't want to speak too early but it looks like the best case scenario might be playing out for most of C OK today, with thick cloud cover and poor lapse rates leading to an environment not great for storms. Hopefully that continues but for now I'm not very concerned for the OKC metro and surrounding areas. Still a few hours to go though.

It does appear that models overestimated the amount of convection in Central OK today. It could still get going, but the 12z run had a good bit more convection in Oklahoma by this point than what we are seeing.

[Brent]

Still not even a tornado watch here

The line supposedly blows up on top of us but that whole area has been struggling to fire anything so far... So it's making me wonder if the flood threat was overdone too

[snownado]

Folks might be a bit too quick to write off Central OK.

The HRRR is pretty consistent on propagating the activty near Wichita Falls NNE into the OKC later than evening.

Now, whether this activity maintains or looses its intensity before then remains to be seen.

[ElectricStorm]

PDS warning in S OK now

[bubba hotep]

Pop ups across DFW are making legit runs at getting surface based. Some pretty crisp towers going up, but most appear to be failing to sustain.

[Brent]

Oh look finally a tornado watch

[ElectricStorm]

I don't want to speak too early but it looks like the best case scenario might be playing out for most of C OK today, with thick cloud cover and poor lapse rates leading to an environment not great for storms. Hopefully that continues but for now I'm not very concerned for the OKC metro and surrounding areas. Still a few hours to go though.

*facepalm*

Don't listen to this guy he doesn't know what he's talking about

[Brent]

HRRR trying to show a bow echo now hopefully we dont get a repeat of last June

[ElectricStorm]

New Day 1 still has the moderate but drops the 15# tornado area. Keeps the 45# hail

Confirmed tornado west of Marlow on the cell moving towards the metro

[HockeyTx82]

HRRR trying to show a bow echo now hopefully we dont get a repeat of last June

Remind me, what happened last June?

[snownado]

HRRR trying to show a bow echo now hopefully we dont get a repeat of last June

Remind me, what happened last June?

A nighttime QLCS with hurricane force winds blew through Tulsa.

[CaptinCrunch]

Crazy how once the shower get outside the cap they explode. Cap is strong across DFW, but north of Denton it becomes weak.

[Anti-freeze]

^^^Seems like May storms are usually worse up near the Red River compared to DFW.

Meanwhile, the line is extending out west. Down to south of Big Spring, and now popping up all the way down to I-10 south of McCamey.

[ElectricStorm]

Tornado on the ground SW of me

[bubba hotep]

00z 3k NAM would verify the Flash Flood Watch for DFW

[Brent]

Tornado on the ground SW of me

Looks like it's time for the annual Norman tornado

[WacoWx]

The cell abt to hit Norman appears to be cycling, but the whole thing appears to be rotating in reflectivity mode. Hopefully the storms out in front of it steal its inflow.