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Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 4:18 pm
by bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 4:38 pm
by Iceresistance
Iceresistance wrote:Surprise severe storm just NE of Norman, OK


Found a storm report of wind gusts at 73 just to the ENE of Norman by 2 miles.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 4:54 pm
by Clearcloudz
Southeast Texas could be getting some very healthy rain this week and could take away a lot of the remaining drought. Here is the latest HRRR 18Z

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A disturbance is suppose to pass through sometime on Tuesday that could dump 2 to 4 inches if it sets up as the model is showing.

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Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 5:35 pm
by Cpv17
Clearcloudz wrote:Southeast Texas could be getting some very healthy rain this week and could take away a lot of the remaining drought. Here is the latest HRRR 18Z

https://i.imgur.com/aNDGDdu.gif

A disturbance is suppose to pass through sometime on Tuesday that could dump 2 to 4 inches if it sets up as the model is showing.

https://i.imgur.com/zXudm4q.png

https://i.imgur.com/Q2mCDZj.png

https://i.imgur.com/M51has6.gif


Dang. Isolated areas of 8+”

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 7:53 pm
by Iceresistance
Lots of strong/severe storms Along I-40 from Bridgeport to OKC, and along I-44 from OKC to Bristow.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 8:57 pm
by Brent
Iceresistance wrote:Lots of strong/severe storms Along I-40 from Bridgeport to OKC, and along I-44 from OKC to Bristow.


Yeah I'm kind of annoyed there's nothing here :spam:

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Sun Aug 28, 2022 10:45 pm
by Yukon Cornelius
Made it to 100 today. Not cool.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 12:16 am
by Brent
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Made it to 100 today. Not cool.


Yeah still not impressed with this pattern here. It did rain for about 20 minutes earlier but probably didn't even wash my car

The GFS does show some hope in the long range but it's the long range and the GFS has been all over the place

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 5:50 am
by Clearcloudz
Southeast Texas has been placed under a slight risk for excessive rainfall

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Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 6:58 am
by Iceresistance
Brent wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Lots of strong/severe storms Along I-40 from Bridgeport to OKC, and along I-44 from OKC to Bristow.


Yeah I'm kind of annoyed there's nothing here :spam:


The storms collapsed before they got to me last night, my mother told me there was a lot of wind and lightning, but very little rainfall . . . :(

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 7:20 am
by Cpv17
Clearcloudz wrote:Southeast Texas has been placed under a slight risk for excessive rainfall

https://i.imgur.com/3BEl8tk.png
https://i.imgur.com/97tDB0M.gif


Models cut back on our totals overnight. We’ll see what happens.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 10:34 am
by SoupBone
I hate to ask for a regional outlook, but what's this weekend looking like in Houston? Seems we were supposed to get rain all weekend, but some models have backed off.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 11:04 am
by Ntxw
SoupBone wrote:I hate to ask for a regional outlook, but what's this weekend looking like in Houston? Seems we were supposed to get rain all weekend, but some models have backed off.


If one believed the GFS modelcanes in the gulf then that was the injection for the higher qpf associated. But as it starts losing it, energy is focused on the open Atlantic and background subsidence will cool off modeled qpf in our region.

That doesn't mean no rainfall though just cutting back.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 11:17 am
by Cpv17
Ntxw wrote:
SoupBone wrote:I hate to ask for a regional outlook, but what's this weekend looking like in Houston? Seems we were supposed to get rain all weekend, but some models have backed off.


If one believed the GFS modelcanes in the gulf then that was the injection for the higher qpf associated. But as it starts losing it, energy is focused on the open Atlantic and background subsidence will cool off modeled qpf in our region.

That doesn't mean no rainfall though just cutting back.


What’s up with what the NAM is showing? Some low drifting west towards Texas later this week?

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 11:20 am
by Ntxw
Cpv17 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:
SoupBone wrote:I hate to ask for a regional outlook, but what's this weekend looking like in Houston? Seems we were supposed to get rain all weekend, but some models have backed off.


If one believed the GFS modelcanes in the gulf then that was the injection for the higher qpf associated. But as it starts losing it, energy is focused on the open Atlantic and background subsidence will cool off modeled qpf in our region.

That doesn't mean no rainfall though just cutting back.


What’s up with what the NAM is showing? Some low drifting west towards Texas later this week?


That's mostly at the upper levels, some weak upper vorticity. Surface pressures are pretty high relatively for it, just higher resolution on the NAM. There's too much shear in the NW Gulf for anything to form.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 2:12 pm
by Iceresistance
Currently at the High School, but it's crashing and banging outside without any rain!

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 4:10 pm
by Brent
Iceresistance wrote:Currently at the High School, but it's crashing and banging outside without any rain!


Finally some decent rain here. Hopefully a sign of things to come. Euro and GFS both have a hurricane recurving near Baja around day 10

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 4:28 pm
by Iceresistance
Crashing and banging all over the place! Currently got .5 inch of rain, but there is a LOT more coming! :eek:


Also under Severe Thunderstorm warning too!

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 4:30 pm
by Clearcloudz
Received 3.5 inches of rain so far today in Rosenberg Tx. and still pouring outside.

Re: Texas Summer 2022

Posted: Mon Aug 29, 2022 4:33 pm
by Iceresistance
Jeez! Another very close lightning strike!