Texas Fall-2014

[KatDaddy]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
235 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
LAVACA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF HALLETTSVILLE...

* UNTIL 315 PM CST

* AT 233 PM CST...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR EZZELL...OR 8
MILES SOUTH OF HALLETTSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SUBLIME

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND VERY HEAVY RAINS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

[ndale]

TORRENTIAL RAIN. Just got caught driving here in Pflugerville in the heaviest rain I have seen in a long, long time. Had to weave around high water on the streets. Just checked my rain gauge and have 2 inches mostly in the last hour. We have at least a momentary break right now.

[Rgv20]

Is my calender correct??? Is it November 22??

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
226 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

.SHORT TERM /NOW THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

IMPACTS...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE.

RELEVANT FEATURES...
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER IS OVER CHIHUAHUA STATE MEXICO...ABOUT ON
SCHEDULE WITH ITS PROGRESS SLOWED BY A BROAD SOUTHWESTERLY 70 TO
90 KT JET MAXIMUM OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. A
STRONGER SOUTHEASTERLY JET IS MARCHING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 110 TO 120 KTS. THIS WILL REACH THE UPPER
CLOSED LOW OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND TILT THE TROUGH NEGATIVELY
AND RESULT IN A LARGE AMOUNT OF DIFFLUENCE/DIVERGENCE OVER SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO. LEE TROUGHING AND RESPONSE TO THIS
UPPER LEVEL FEATURE IS ALREADY UNDERWAY WITH STRONG SOUTHEAST
WINDS OCCURRING ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION WITH GUSTS PUSHING 30 TO
35 MPH UNDER A THIN LAYER OF OVERCAST GENERATED BY WEAK WARM AIR
ADVECTION. 1800 UTC SPECIAL RELEASE SHOWS A MODEST CAP AROUND
800MB TO SURFACE BASED PARCELS BUT RELATIVELY STRONG MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND STRONG LOW LAYER AND DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR. THE
1200 UTC SOUNDING FROM MONTERREY MEXICO SHOWED A MUCH SHARPER
TERRAIN INDUCED INVERSION AND THE TRAJECTORY OF WINDS OVER
NORTHEASTERN TAMAULIPAS AND THE ABSENCE OF ANY CONVECTION
CURRENTLY SUGGESTS AT LEAST SOME OF THIS ELEVATED MIXED LAYER IS
SPREADING OVER SOUTH TEXAS...WHICH IS COMMON IN SUCH REGIMES.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT...
THE PRESENCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED CAP WILL LIKELY KEEP CONVECTION
AT BAY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL PREVENT STORMS FROM
TAPPING THE FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES CURRENTLY PRESENT. HOWEVER
THE ARRIVAL OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL RESULT IN VERY STRONG
LARGE SCALE ASCENT WHICH SHOULD EASILY OVERCOME ANY RESIDUAL
CAPPING. THE ARRIVAL OF THIS EXTRA UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE ALSO
STRENGTHENS 925/850MB WINDS ALONG THE COAST IN NAM/RAP GUIDANCE.

THERE IS GOOD GUIDANCE CONSENSUS ON CONVECTION INITIATING IN A FEW
HOURS OVER THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS. THIS CONCEPT IS SUPPORTED
BY VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWING CUMULUS BEGINNING TO BUBBLE IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND PLATEAU AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH. THESE TSTMS ARE
THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY AROUND 6
TO 7 PM TONIGHT. SHEAR PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPER CELLS WHICH WILL EVENTUALLY LIKELY UPSCALE INTO A SQUALL
LINE/MCS BEFORE PUSHING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP EARLY IN THE EVENING WILL HAVE BETTER SURFACE
HEATING TO WORK WITH AND LARGER MIXED LAYER CAPE VALUES. THE NWS
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS HIGHLIGHTED OUR WESTERN COUNTIES WITH AN
ENHANCED POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...GREATER THAN TWO INCHES IN
DIAMETER...WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN THE LARGER CAPES THAT WILL
BE AVAILABLE AT THAT TIME FRAME AMID FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES.

THE LARGE SCALE LIFT IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO
BE SUFFICIENT HOWEVER TO KEEP AROUND 1000 TO 1500 J/KG OF MLCAPE
AVAILABLE AS THE STORMS/CLUSTERS MOVE EAST AMID STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR. 0-3 KM CAPE VALUES WILL BE AROUND 500 TO 800 J/KG WITH LOW
LCL HEIGHTS. ADDITIONALLY INCREASES IN THE 850/925MB WIND FIELDS
AS THE UPPER LOW STRENGTHENS LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHWEST RESULTS
IN 0-1KM SHEAR VALUES OF 20 TO 25 KTS CREATING ABOUT 150 M2/S2 OF
STORM RELATIVE HELICITY EAST OF THE 281 CORRIDOR THIS EVENING.
THIS WOULD SUPPORT A POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES IN EITHER DISCRETE
SUPER CELLS OR QUASI LINEAR CONVECTIVE STRUCTURES AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES EASTWARD IN ADDITION TO A MORE WIDESPREAD THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS. STORM MOTION WILL ALSO LIKELY BE QUICK...AT 40 MPH OR
MORE...ESPECIALLY IN LINEAR STRUCTURES. STORM MOTION SHOULD BE TOO
FAST FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CONCERNS ALTHOUGH DEEP MOISTURE WILL
SUPPORT BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.

A SURGE OF DEEP DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM 850-700MB MOVES IN BEHIND
THE FRONT TONIGHT...ENDING RAINFALL/STORM CHANCES.

[Rgv20]

SEL7

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 557
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF DEL RIO TEXAS TO 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MCALLEN
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING OVER THE E SLOPES OF THE
MOUNTAINS IN NE MEXICO...AND WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
INTO TX IN THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS AS A MIDLEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES MOVING
EWD. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS PRESENT OVER THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY...WITH THE STRONGEST VERTICAL SHEAR EXPECTED FARTHER S IN
PROXIMITY TO THE MID-UPPER JET. SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THE INITIAL STORMS...WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN RISK GIVEN RELATIVELY
STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES. OTHERWISE...STORMS MAY TEND TO GROW
UPSCALE BY LATE EVENING ACROSS S TX WITH AN INCREASING RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE SOMEWHAT STRONGER.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.

[Portastorm]

Looks like a rough go for the Valley this evening. Be safe Rgv20 and others down there!

Meanwhile, I've recorded about 2.75" of liquid gold here at the Portastorm Weather Center since midnight. A great and fairly widespread rainfall event for the Hill Country and South Central Texas. And it looks like more may be on the way this evening before the upper low moves away.

[Rgv20]

First Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued for Zapata Texas

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC505-222345-
/O.NEW.KBRO.SV.W.0029.141122T2253Z-141122T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
453 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ZAPATA COUNTY IN DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

* UNTIL 545 PM CST

* AT 453 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND
DESTRUCTIVE 70 MPH WINDS...14 MILES SOUTH OF SAN YGNACIO...MOVING
EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
SAN YGNACIO.
ZAPATA.
MORALES-SANCHEZ.
BUSTAMANTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL THAT COULD CAUSE
SERIOUS INJURY TO THOSE CAUGHT OUTDOORS...SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OR
DESTRUCTION OF ROOFS AND VEHCILES...AND BREAK WINDOWS. PERSONS IN
MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES SHOULD MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO STRONGER SHELTER.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 58 MPH OR
HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER...AND ANY WIND DAMAGE TO
YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BROWNSVILLE BY CALLING 956-504-1432.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 2709 9944 2710 9944 2718 9918 2680 9899
2674 9924 2679 9925 2681 9927 2684 9927
2687 9933 2691 9933 2693 9939 2696 9940
2697 9938 2701 9942 2701 9944 2702 9945
2706 9946
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 254DEG 42KT 2685 9949

$$

JGG

[weatherdude1108]

1.6 inches in the gauge. Coming down nicely right now! I'll check gauge later.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC209-453-491-230415-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0066.141123T0121Z-141123T0415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
721 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
HAYS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WIMBERLEY...SAN MARCOS...DRIPPING
SPRINGS...
TRAVIS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...AUSTIN...TANGLEWOOD FOREST...
PFLUGERVILLE...
WILLIAMSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...TAYLOR...ROUND ROCK...
GRANGER...GEORGETOWN AND CEDAR PARK...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CST

* AT 708 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS HAVE
DETERMINED THAT THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING ACROSS MUCH OF HAYS...TRAVIS AND
WILLIAMSON COUNTIES. THE HEAVY RAINS RECEIVED EARLIER TODAY ALONG
WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL MAKE RAPID FLASH
FLOODING POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO AUSTIN...
GEORGETOWN...WIMBERLEY...SUN CITY...LIBERTY HILL...LEANDER...
JARRELL...HUTTO...GRANGER DAM... GEORGETOWN DAM...FLORENCE...
PFLUGERVILLE...INTERSTATE 35 AND HIGHWAY 71.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 2982 9798 3005 9828 3027 9819 3077 9794
3090 9784 3087 9765 3072 9728 3045 9741
3025 9752 3004 9773

[TexasSam]

I don't like that 70% area where I live.

[Portastorm]

PWC reporting 3.7" of liquid gold since midnight. We've had several waves of convection since early today. Been awesome!

[KatDaddy]

..A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CST
FOR EASTERN CALDWELL...EASTERN GONZALES AND NORTH CENTRAL DEWITT
COUNTIES...

AT 928 PM CST...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9
MILES NORTHEAST OF LYTTON SPRINGS TO TILMON TO GONZALES TO 14 MILES
NORTHWEST OF CUERO TO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YORKTOWN...MOVING EAST AT
40 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
HAMON...THOMPSONVILLE...LITTLE NEW YORK AND GLAZE CITY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

[weatherdude1108]

Wow! Portastorm has the record! I have only received a measley 2.2 inches of liquid gold since yesterday. But it is definitely enough to pond up in the yard and make the earthworms come out on the patio to seek higher ground.

[ravyrn]

Lots of rain here tonight in ETX. I was traveling down FM 2138 from Jacksonville to Maydelle this evening at approximately 5:35pm (Sat 11/22) when i saw the hugest mountain lion I've ever seen in my life. Granted, I've only seen one other in person, but given all the videos and photos I've seen of 'em, this was the hugest cat ever. It was about 3' tall and about 8' long counting its tail (possibly upwards to 9'). Holy cow! I was driving to my mom's from Jacksonsville to Maydelle to eat dinner with her and my stepdad tonight. As I began to take a curve, I noticed what I thought was a deer just 2-3' from the side of the road, walking parallel to it on the west-side of the road, heading south just as I was. The weather wasn't good at the time so I was traveling about 45mph, and I slowed down to 25mph as I approached it to pass it cautiously. It wasn't a deer. As I got closer, I noticed a 2 foot long slender tail, and as I approached it, I noticed a very long and bulky body. As I drove by looking through my passenger window no more than 2-3' outside of it, I saw the face of a cougar/mountain lion. It was so close I could see darker/black speckles on some portions of its coat.

If it wasn't wet, almost night-time and rainy on such a dangerous curve, I would have tried to get a photo of it. I couldn't take one from the highway, unfortunately, as I'd risk a wreck. The only option was to park on down the highway and walk back to take a photo which I wasn't about to do.

This is where I saw it at: https://www.google.com/maps/dir//31.888 ... m2!4m1!3e2

The nearby creek seems to be appropriately named. I can't believe how enormous and bulky this cat was. And it was fearless. There was a car in front of me and many others going the opposite way that passed me up just before and after, and this cat didn't care. I passed it with my high beams on with it being roughly 2-3 feet from my passenger side window, and it never so much as turned to look at my vehicle as I passed it. I was literally 7' away from a mountain lion this evening in my car, and I can hardly believe it. If I was in my passenger seat, I probably could have rolled down my window, leaned out of my car, and touched it. Sorry for the OT, but holy cow that was amazing. That mountain lion was just two or three feet from my passenger window as I passed it going fairly slow. I don't imagine I'll ever experience that again in my life. I don't imagine many other folks will experience that either. No clue why that cougar was just walking down the side of the road without a care in the world. That was definitely a rare occurrence.

[Ntxw]

DFW picked up 0.68 inches of rain total, a lot less than what most guidance had. Central Texas did very well the storm moved further south than modeled. You Central Texas folks have gotten quite a few of these rainfall total outbursts when they do happen this year. Austin has seen over 11 inches of rain since September, and is within 80% of normal of rainfall. Mabry is even wetter than Bergstrom and is above normal. San Antonio is a little below normal but has seen 10+ inches since Sept 1st and is only a few inches behind.

[Sambucol]

Any arctic fronts or plain old cold front showing up in the models for Texas? Something like we had recently? Thanks!

[Portastorm]

We were fortunate again in my part of town to receive generous rain amounts yesterday. Totals ranging from 3.9" to close to 5". I'm grateful for the rain as a usual dry creek bed along one of my favorite walking routes was flowing with water! Sounded like a mountain stream. Great stuff!

Oh and I should add that ravyrn, that's a wild story and experience! When you see one of those cats out in the wild it's a real thrill.

[aggiecutter]

Any arctic fronts or plain old cold front showing up in the models for Texas? Something like we had recently? Thanks!

If the 12Z GFS is correct, there won't be any freezing temperatures in NE Texas for the next 2 weeks. Weatherman57 is doing cartwheels as we speak.

[gboudx]

Oh and I should add that ravyrn, that's a wild story and experience! When you see one of those cats out in the wild it's a real thrill.

Unless you're riding a trail, look up and see one 20' in front of you. Lock the brakes, spin around and haul it. I called our local Animal Control when I got away and the lady asked if I happened to get a pic. Wth? No I was too busy being scared.

We got 0.5". Less than guidance suggested but still welcome.

[hriverajr]

83 here :/ Del Rio

[aggiecutter]

83 here :/ Del Rio

Looks like the pattern is doing a 180. Where it is was the coldest, is projected to be the warmest over the next couple weeks.

[Portastorm]

That Portastorm Weather Center prediction of a major winter storm for Texas around Thanksgiving looks ... uh ... well, I hope none of you guys went to Vegas on those odds.