Texas Spring 2023

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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1281 Postby rwfromkansas » Fri May 12, 2023 9:42 pm

That was a hairy drive through the storm on I-20 ahead of Abilene. HEAVY rain. Phew. Going to the wife’s family for Mother’s Day. It’s expanding as it moves east so I think DFW may get lucky. Hope so.
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Texas Snowman
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1282 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri May 12, 2023 9:54 pm

Interesting….just more than a hundred years ago.

 https://twitter.com/tracesoftexas/status/1657211560845266951


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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1283 Postby Tejas89 » Fri May 12, 2023 10:03 pm

Converging lines of slow moving storms across central Texas… from OK to MX border.

Radar reminds me a lot of 2015.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1284 Postby Gotwood » Fri May 12, 2023 10:27 pm

Feels like the models didn’t get this even close. Looks like a rain out event.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1285 Postby Brent » Fri May 12, 2023 10:45 pm

Big storms to my NW... This is the most promising all week for sure and the models have been struggling here too
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1286 Postby Cpv17 » Fri May 12, 2023 11:51 pm

Brent wrote:Big storms to my NW... This is the most promising all week for sure and the models have been struggling here too


Man, you’re not lying. Those are some pretty big storms. Especially just north of OKC.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1287 Postby Cpv17 » Sat May 13, 2023 12:00 am

Kingfisher, OK is getting flooded.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1288 Postby Brent » Sat May 13, 2023 1:16 am

Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1289 Postby South Texas Storms » Sat May 13, 2023 4:50 am

Big storm in SA a few hours ago brought some much needed widespread 1-3 inch rainfall totals to the city! I'm thankful :D

I think even Edwards Limestone got some heavy rain from that storm :wink:
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1290 Postby Gotwood » Sat May 13, 2023 7:08 am

Brent wrote:Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west

Yeah was a sight to see fortunately my area received almost 2 inches of rain but I couldn’t believe the rain didn’t make it into DFW.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1291 Postby gpsnowman » Sat May 13, 2023 7:33 am

Gotwood wrote:
Brent wrote:Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west

Yeah was a sight to see fortunately my area received almost 2 inches of rain but I couldn’t believe the rain didn’t make it into DFW.

When I went to bed the line of storms were on the edge of western Tarrant county. I woke up at 6 to dry ground. WTH!!!
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1292 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 13, 2023 8:16 am

DFW airport picked up 0.00" of rain last night lol
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1293 Postby DallasAg » Sat May 13, 2023 8:16 am

Gotwood wrote:HRRR better not verify basically has everything falling apart into DFW.


Stunning to watch that happen overnight. Looked great on radar, and then it just evaporated as it hit the Tarrant/Parker county line. Another batch tried to make a run at DFW from the south, but that too just evaporated as it got into Ellis/Johnson Counties. New development to the SE heading our way looks to be suffering the same fate.

Oh well. Glad to see the folks who needed it most are cashing in so far. It's still early, and DFW can usually catch a few NW Flow MCS events as we get into June. Plenty of time!
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1294 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat May 13, 2023 8:37 am

Woke up in Abilene after going to bed after midnight. Checked my home station. Shocking zero inches. Looked good even late for DFW. It was getting less intense and skinny but still moving fast. Crazy.

Goes to show you can’t rely on even CAM models as gospel. Both the NAM and HRRR were wrong in different ways.

This is the craziest radar precip total graphic:

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1295 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat May 13, 2023 9:42 am

rwfromkansas wrote:Woke up in Abilene after going to bed after midnight. Checked my home station. Shocking zero inches. Looked good even late for DFW. It was getting less intense and skinny but still moving fast. Crazy.

Goes to show you can’t rely on even CAM models as gospel. Both the NAM and HRRR were wrong in different ways.

This is the craziest radar precip total graphic:

https://i.imgur.com/BvPef6V.png

Agreed, both have awful the last couple weeks with these systems that have weak forcing
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1296 Postby Iceresistance » Sat May 13, 2023 10:50 am

Cpv17 wrote:
Brent wrote:Big storms to my NW... This is the most promising all week for sure and the models have been struggling here too


Man, you’re not lying. Those are some pretty big storms. Especially just north of OKC.

I could not sleep properly because of that, lol.

I got 1.1 inches

Unfortunately, the San Antonio Force Field has moved to DFW. It's now the DFW Force Field.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1297 Postby bubba hotep » Sat May 13, 2023 12:37 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Gotwood wrote:
Brent wrote:Prolific lightning for sure

Meanwhile down in DFW the line has stalled to the west

Yeah was a sight to see fortunately my area received almost 2 inches of rain but I couldn’t believe the rain didn’t make it into DFW.

When I went to bed the line of storms were on the edge of western Tarrant county. I woke up at 6 to dry ground. WTH!!!


I knew it was over when I saw that big outflow boundary spit out with the line still west of Tarrant County.

On the bright side, FWD has updated the forecast, they went from an 80% chance of storms this afternoon and tonight for DFW to 30% & 60%... oh wait
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1298 Postby gpsnowman » Sat May 13, 2023 12:48 pm

Yesterday was muggy as hell. Air much drier today with dews about 10 degrees lower than yesterday.
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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1299 Postby Iceresistance » Sat May 13, 2023 1:29 pm

Just posted this video, it was taken on May 11th



Link: https://youtu.be/hQ6iCv3iQbs
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Spring 2023

#1300 Postby Cpv17 » Sat May 13, 2023 1:31 pm

Could be a wet week ahead. Some models keep the low pressure sticking around for a few more days.
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