Texas Winter 2023-2024
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8931
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8931
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
November 2023 PDO index has just came in at -1.79
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- starsfan65
- Category 2
- Posts: 675
- Age: 46
- Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
- Location: Garland,Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Iceresistance wrote:Not the Christmas Torch!
https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1731667170940305898
I hate warm weather!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
0 likes
- starsfan65
- Category 2
- Posts: 675
- Age: 46
- Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
- Location: Garland,Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Is it down or up?Iceresistance wrote:November 2023 PDO index has just came in at -1.79
0 likes
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 642
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: College Station, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Im not buying the cold pattern towards the end of the month, In expecting a mild Christmas for most of the US, teleconnections are unfavorable
0 likes
- starsfan65
- Category 2
- Posts: 675
- Age: 46
- Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
- Location: Garland,Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Who Said?Stratton23 wrote:Im not buying the cold pattern towards the end of the month, In expecting a mild Christmas for most of the US, teleconnections are unfavorable
0 likes
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.
2 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8931
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
starsfan65 wrote:Is it down or up?Iceresistance wrote:November 2023 PDO index has just came in at -1.79
October 2023 was -2.26, so it is indeed going down
1 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- Iceresistance
- Category 5
- Posts: 8931
- Age: 20
- Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5609
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Ntxw wrote:Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.
Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.
ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.
0 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2035
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
bubba hotep wrote:Ntxw wrote:Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.
Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.
ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.
Back in the game for winter weather or severe weather?
What are we talking about?
0 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
bubba hotep wrote:Ntxw wrote:Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.
Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.
ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.
The AO is fairly negative so there some belief a deeper, southerly route is possible. QPF (seasonal trend) and cold air availability is questionable. The southern high plains is the target zone for winter this year from the forecasts, maybe we can sneak something on the fringes.
1 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 642
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: College Station, Tx
- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5609
- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Ntxw wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Ntxw wrote:Euro is still on the train of a potent system this coming weekend. We haven't been buying it as hard because the GFS and CMC have been further north. Got watch these things.
Nice shift from 00z to 12z, wouldn't take much more to get NTX back in the game. It will be interesting to see what the 12z EPS shows. However, the recent trend on the EPS would suggest that the 12z op run is an outlier at this point.
ETA: If anything, the 12z EPS is a step backward from the 00z. However, I have noticed that the op can pick up trends before the EPS, and we might not see the EPS adjust until 00z tonight.
The AO is fairly negative so there some belief a deeper, southerly route is possible. QPF (seasonal trend) and cold air availability is questionable. The southern high plains is the target zone for winter this year from the forecasts, maybe we can sneak something on the fringes.
If you extrapolate the 18z Euro (at your own peril), then it probably ends up deeper and slower than 12z, which was deeper and slower than 00z.
0 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37143
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
That 12z euro was way closer than I imagined here but will it show it again at 0z is the big question
0 likes
#neversummer
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2035
- Joined: Tue Oct 27, 2009 11:17 am
- Location: Ponder, TX
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
What are you all talking about and for who?
I feel like him right now
https://youtu.be/u_Xxayw0uPo?feature=shared
I feel like him right now
https://youtu.be/u_Xxayw0uPo?feature=shared
1 likes
Don't hold me accountable for anything I post on this forum. Leave the real forecasting up to the professionals.
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 642
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: College Station, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
They are talking about the bowling ball upper low, and probably oklahoma im guessing as well as wintry precipitation / rain, no chance texas gets in on the wintry part, maybe some rain
1 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37143
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
Stratton23 wrote:They are talking about the bowling ball upper low, and probably oklahoma im guessing as well as wintry precipitation / rain, no chance texas gets in on the wintry part, maybe some rain
Heck the other day it appeared it may not even rain so the fact we're back talking about precip at all is a win
Well see... The 12z euro was a big outlier to be fair
0 likes
#neversummer
-
- Category 2
- Posts: 642
- Joined: Fri Jul 21, 2023 10:59 pm
- Location: College Station, Tx
Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024
tonights model runs are getting interesting in the 9-10 day period
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests